Sunway REIT (SREIT MK): Riding On Upswing; Keep BUY






Sunway REIT: Riding On Upswing; Keep BUY


Sunway REIT (SREIT MK): Riding On Upswing; Keep BUY

Date: 13 August 2025

Sector: Property | REITS

Recommendation
Buy (Maintained)

Target Price (Return)
MYR2.42 (12.6%)

Price (Market Cap)
MYR2.15 (USD1,739m)

ESG score
3.2 (out of 4)

Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD)
8.41m/1.99m

Analysts

Tai Yu Jie
+603 2302 8132
tai.yu.jie@rhbgroup.com


Loong Kok Wen, CFA
+603 2302 8116
loong.kok.wen@rhbgroup.com

Summary & Outlook

  • Stay BUY, new DDM-derived MYR2.42 TP from MYR2.13, 13% upside and 6% yield. Sunway REIT’s 1H25 results met expectations. We continue to like the REIT for its solid growth prospects underpinned by active acquisition strategy and continuous asset enhancement initiatives. We see further upside despite its share price rally due to the wider yield spread (230bps) post interest rate cut and the growing investors’ interest in domestic defensive assets. This report marks the transfer of coverage to Tai Yu Jie.
  • Within expectations. SREIT’s 1H25 core profit of MYR200.9m (+21.1% YoY) met 49% and 51% of our and Street’s full-year estimates. 2Q25 DPU came to 5.7 sen (2Q24: 4.7 sen), while 2Q25 gearing stood at 41% (2Q24: 44%).
  • Results review. YoY, 1H25 revenue grew 21.5% to MYR430.3m – driven by contributions from newly acquired properties in 2024 (Sunway 163 Mall, Sunway Kluang Mall, and six hypermarkets), as well as higher revenue from Sunway Pyramid Mall following the opening of its Oasis Wing in Nov 2024. That said, 1H25 NPI margin contracted 0.8ppts to 72.5%, likely due to higher utilities and maintenance expenses. QoQ, 2Q25 revenue dipped slightly by 3.4% to MYR211.4m, likely due to softer seasonality in the absence of festive periods. 2Q25 core profit rose 3.8% QoQ to MYR102.3m due to higher interest income from larger cash balances – mainly advance rentals ahead of sales & service tax (SST) implementation.
  • Outlook. We expect 3Q25 retail sales (turnover rent: 10-15% of rental income) to remain seasonally subdued in the absence of major festive periods, although this should be partly offset by the recently declared additional September public holiday and continued government measures to spur consumer spending. Despite the SST expansion, we forecast high single-digit retail rental reversions in FY25, supported by full occupancy and strong landlord bargaining power following asset enhancement efforts. In addition, the full-year contribution from 2024 acquisitions is set to drive a robust FY25F (+13.1%) profit growth, which should offset the soft hotel and office segments from rising competition. Meanwhile, the active property development activities of SREIT’s sponsor Sunway (SWB MK, BUY, TP: MYR5.81) should provide a healthy pipeline of potential acquisition opportunities to drive inorganic growth.
  • Forecast and ratings. Post results, we maintain our forecasts but raise our TP to MYR2.42 after updating our cost of equity (CoE) assumption (from 7.6% to 6.8%) to reflect a revised beta and a lower risk-free rate following the recent rate cut. Our TP implies a FY26F yield of 5%, offering a spread of 160bps over the 10-year Malaysian Government Bond yield – in line with other retail REITs under our coverage. Key risks: Lower-than-expected occupancy and rental reversions, and longer-than-expected delays in acquisitions.

Share Performance (%)

Period YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m
Absolute 16.2 0.0 12.0 10.3 31.9
Relative 20.7 (2.1) 10.6 12.5 34.3
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) 1.60 – 2.27
Chart: Sunway REIT (SREIT MK) Price Close vs Relative to FBM KLCI (RHS)

Forecasts and Valuation

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total turnover (MYRm) 705 767 877 898 924
Net property income (MYRm) 516 570 649 665 684
Reported net profit (MYRm) 338 362 409 438 451
Total distributable income (MYRm) 319 181 389 418 431
DPS (MYR) 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13
DPS growth (%) (2.8) 7.8 13.1 7.6 3.1
P/B (x) 1.33 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25
Dividend Yield (%) 4.3 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.9
Return on average equity (%) 6.1 6.4 7.0 7.5 7.7
Return on average assets (%) 3.6 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.3
Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)
E Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
G Score: 3.0 (GOOD)

Emissions And ESG

Trend analysis: Total emissions increased by 11% from FY23 with the addition of new buildings into its portfolio.

Emissions (tCO2e) Dec-22 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25
Scope 1 11 14 12 na
Scope 2 56,827 45,156 59,523 na
Scope 3 113,647 115,998 119,989 na
Total emissions 170,485 161,168 179,524 na

Latest ESG-Related Developments

  • Has an internal carbon pricing framework at MYR15 per tonne of CO2 emitted.
  • The first M-REIT to implement a Green Lease Partnership programme.
  • Was excluded from FTSE Indices, including FTSE4Good because of low liquidity trading volume.
  • On Oct 2024, Sunway REIT completed its maiden issuance of MYR500m sustainability-linked rated perpetual securities.
  • Extended green lease clauses to its “industrials and others” segment.

ESG Unbundled

Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)
Last Updated: 14 May 2025

E Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
Sunway REIT’s buildings strive for green certification standards through sustainable refurbishment practices, and supports clean energy use by providing charging bay facilities for electric vehicles – effectively reducing almost 50,000 tonnes of CO2 emission, with water consumption gradually decreasing over the years.

S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
In addition to the many benefits (care for nursing mothers, childcare subsidy) for employees of the Manager, training and engagement are also prioritised. Safety of employees is also ensured by the proper hazard identification, risk assessment, and incident investigation. Community enrichment is also of utmost importance.

G Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
A diverse and skilled board comprising 57% independent directors – 43% of whom are female. The tenure of an independent director is capped at 9 years, and the details of remuneration in the annual report are on a named basis.

Chart: ESG Rating History (showing a consistent rating of 3.2 from Aug-23 to Aug-25, with a peak of 3.4).

Financial Exhibits

Financial summary

(MYR) Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Recurring EPS 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13
EPS 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13
DPS 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13
BVPS 1.61 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71
Return on average equity (%) 6.1 6.4 7.0 7.5 7.7
Weighted avg adjusted shares (m) 3,424.81 3,424.81 3,424.81 3,424.81 3,424.81

Valuation metrics

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Recurring P/E (x) 21.81 20.36 18.01 16.80 16.31
P/E (x) 21.81 20.36 18.01 16.80 16.31
P/B (x) 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
FCF Yield (%) 4.1 5.5 6.0 6.8 7.1
Dividend Yield (%) 4.3 4.7 5.3 5.7 5.9
EV/EBITDA (x) (3.05) (2.86) (2.47) (2.21) (2.14)
EV/EBIT (x) (3.05) (2.86) (2.47) (2.21) (2.14)

Income statement (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total turnover 705 767 877 898 924
EBITDA 468 518 579 593 610
Operating profit 468 518 579 593 610
Net interest (129) (154) (172) (157) (161)
Pre-tax profit 339 365 407 436 449
Taxation (1) (3) 2 2 2
Recurring net profit 338 362 409 438 451

Cash flow (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Change in working capital 49 (34) (1) 20 26
Cash flow from operations 299 403 445 500 520
Cash flow from investing activities 125 (1,224) 0 475 0
Dividends paid (339) (354) (409) (438) (451)
Cash flow from financing activities (268) 697 (852) (1,357) (895)
Cash at beginning of period 251 425 290 340 450
Net change in cash 156 (124) (407) (382) (375)
Ending balance cash 408 301 (117) (42) 76

Balance sheet (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total cash and equivalents 425 290 340 450 552
Tangible fixed assets 0 0 2 3 4
Total investments 8,990 10,385 10,385 9,910 9,910
Total other assets 0 87 96 105 116
Total assets 9,539 10,803 10,854 10,497 10,613
Short-term debt 1,637 1,737 1,737 1,737 1,737
Total long-term debt 2,000 2,730 2,836 2,466 2,572
Total liabilities 4,023 4,931 4,982 4,625 4,741
Shareholders’ equity 5,516 5,872 5,872 5,872 5,872
Total equity 5,516 5,872 5,872 5,872 5,872
Net debt 3,212 4,177 4,233 3,753 3,757
Total liabilities & equity 9,539 10,803 10,854 10,497 10,613

Key metrics

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Revenue growth (%) 10.2 8.9 14.3 2.5 2.9
Recurrent EPS growth (%) 0.3 7.1 13.1 7.2 3.0
Operating EBITDA margin (%) 66.4 67.5 66.0 66.0 66.0
Net profit margin (%) 47.9 47.1 46.6 48.8 48.9
Dividend payout ratio (%) 94.5 95.1 95.1 95.5 95.6
Interest cover (x) 3.37 3.11 3.16 3.53 3.54

Results At a Glance

Figure 1: SREIT’s results summary

FYE Dec (MYRm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 1H24 1H25 YoY (%) Comments
Revenue 175.6 218.9 211.4 (3.4) 20.4 354.2 430.3 21.5 Revenue grew from the contribution of new acquisitions, and stronger performance from Sunway Pyramid
Net property income 129.3 157.2 154.9 (1.5) 19.8 259.8 312.1 20.1
Interest expense (40.0) (42.5) (43.8) 3.1 9.5 (77.6) (86.3) 11.2
Interest income 2.1 3.4 5.1 51.7 >100 8.4 8.5 >100 Higher interest income from larger cash balances – mainly advance rentals ahead of SST implementation
Pretax profit 145.1 104.6 102.4 (2.1) (29.4) 232.0 206.9 (10.8)
Tax 0.0 0.0 0.0 nm nm 0.0 0.0 nm
Reported net profit 145.1 104.6 102.4 (2.1) (29.4) 232.0 206.9 (10.8)
Core net profit 78.9 98.6 102.3 3.8 29.7 165.8 200.9 21.1 Within expectations
Core earnings per unit (sen) 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.8 29.7 4.8 5.9 21.1
Dividends per unit (sen) 4.7 0.0 5.7 nm 21.9 4.7 5.7 21.9 Dividends announced semi-annually
NPI margin (%) 73.6 71.8 73.3 73.4 72.5
Pretax margin (%) 82.6 47.8 48.4 65.5 48.1
Net margin (%) 44.9 45.0 48.4 46.8 46.7

Figure 2: SREIT’s segmental revenue

FYE Dec (MYRm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 1H24 1H25 YoY (%) % of total revenue contribution (%)
Retail 123.7 168.4 160.0 (5.0) 29.4 250.0 299.7 19.9 75.2
Hospitality 19.2 16.1 16.7 3.9 (12.9) 38.3 32.9 (14.3) 8.2
Office 20.8 20.4 20.4 (0.3) (2.2) 42.1 40.8 (3.1) 10.2
Services 9.6 9.8 9.8 0.0 2.3 19.2 19.6 2.3 4.9
Industrial 2.2 4.2 4.5 7.4 99.7 4.5 5.5 22.0 1.4
Total Revenue 175.6 218.9 211.4 -3.4 20.4 354.2 398.4 12.5 100.0

Figure 3: SREIT’s segmental NPI

FYE Dec (MYRm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 1H24 1H25 YoY (%) % of total NPI contribution (%)
Retail 86.2 116.8 114.1 (2.3) 32.4 173.1 215.2 24.3 73.2
Hospitality 18.5 15.0 15.6 4.1 (15.8) 36.6 30.5 (16.6) 10.4
Office 13.0 12.4 12.2 (1.2) (6.1) 26.9 24.6 (8.5) 8.4
Services 9.6 9.8 9.8 0.0 2.3 19.2 19.6 2.3 6.7
Industrial 2.0 3.2 3.2 (1.7) 57.4 4.0 4.0 (1.1) 1.4
Total NPI 129.3 157.2 154.9 -1.5 19.8 259.8 293.9 13.1 100.0

Recommendation Chart

Chart: Price Close and Recommendations (Aug-20 to Feb-25)
Date Recommendation Target Price Price
2025-05-15 Buy 2.13 2.00
2025-02-03 Buy 2.07 1.87
2024-12-04 Buy 2.07 1.85
2024-11-15 Buy 1.94 1.82
2024-08-26 Buy 1.92 1.69
2024-08-16 Buy 1.85 1.67
2024-06-23 Buy 1.77 1.58
2023-11-17 Buy 1.74 1.55
2023-11-06 Buy 1.74 1.53
2022-11-20 Buy 1.60 1.40
2022-08-19 Neutral 1.46 1.54
2022-05-19 Neutral 1.46 1.52
2022-01-31 Neutral 1.45 1.39
2021-10-20 Neutral 1.54 1.46
2021-09-01 Neutral 1.48 1.43

See important disclosures at the end of this report.


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