SD Guthrie (SDG MK)
Result in line
- 6M25 core earnings grew 57% YoY to RM1.0bn, meet expectations
- 2Q25 revenue and core net profit delivered a resilient 2Q25 performance, underpinned by stronger upstream results
- Maintain our BUY rating and TP at RM5.21
COMPANY DATA
- BLOOMBERG TICKER SDG MK EQUITY
- O/S SHARES (MN): 6,916
- MARKET CAP (USD mn / RM mn): 7788 / 32988
- 52 – WK HI/LO (RM) : 5.19 / 4.33
- 3M Average Daily T/O (mn): 2.66
- NET CASH/(DEBT) (RMbn) (5.10)
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)
- Amanah Saham Nasional 53.2%
- Employees Provident 9.6%
- Kumpulan Wang Persar 7.4%
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
1MTH | 3MTH | YTD | |
---|---|---|---|
COMPANY | (1.2) | 4.3 | (1.6) |
FBMKLCI RETURN | (0.5) | 0.6 | (4.1) |
PRICE VS. FBMKLCI
Chart shows SDG MK EQUITY versus FBMKLCI Index from Aug-24 to Aug-25.
Source: Bloomberg
noorhayati.maamor@phillipcapital.com.my
Resilient performance YoY
SD Guthrie (SDG) delivered a resilient 2Q25 performance, underpinned by stronger upstream results. Excluding the RM26m exceptional item (comprising essentially of RM51m unrealised forex gain, RM9m PPE disposal gain, RM33m inventory write-down, and RM6m PPE write-off), core net profit rose to RM479m (+13% YoY). Revenue increased by 4% YoY to RM5.2bn, driven by an 8% YoY growth in the upstream segment on the back of higher FFB production, better oil extraction rate (OER), lower costs, and higher realised CPO and PK prices; more than offset the softer downstream contribution. 2Q25 EBITDA margin expanded by 2.4ppts YoY to 22% on the back of improved operational efficiency. SDG declared an interim DPS of 7.75sen, on track to achieve our full-year DPS payout of 15sen.
6M25 results meet expectations
6M25 core net profit came in at RM1.03bn (+57% YoY), in line with our forecast but ahead of consensus, accounting for 58% and 60% of the respective earnings forecast. The strong results were mainly driven by more substantial upstream profit on the back of higher realised ASP, improved productivity, and improved operational efficiency. Meanwhile, the downstream segment remained under pressure, especially in Europe, as compressed RSPO premiums and weak demand persisted. JV contributions declined marginally as a result of margin contraction in the oleochemicals market, despite higher sales volumes. Management remains optimistic for 2H25, expecting better FFB output to sustain earnings momentum.
Maintain BUY with unchanged TP at RM5.21
We maintain our 12-month TP of RM5.21, based on a 22x PE multiple on 2026E EPS and reiterate our BUY call, given SDG’s solid fundamentals, including steady cash flow generation, prudent capital management, and consistent dividend payout with a 3% yield. Key downside risks to our call include lower-than-expected CPO prices, production and demand, escalating cost pressures, and broader macroeconomic uncertainties.
Key Financials
Y/E Dec | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (RMm) | 18,427.9 | 19,831.0 | 19,854.3 | 19,271.6 | 18,589.3 |
EBITDA (RMm) | 4,319.5 | 4,739.1 | 4,268.2 | 4,130.5 | 3,943.0 |
Pretax profit (RMm) | 2,752.5 | 3,139.3 | 2,595.7 | 2,384.1 | 2,170.1 |
Net profit (RMm) | 1,860.0 | 2,163.8 | 1,781.0 | 1,636.5 | 1,466.1 |
EPS (sen) | 26.9 | 31.3 | 25.8 | 23.7 | 21.2 |
PER (x) | 17.7 | 15.2 | 18.5 | 20.2 | 22.5 |
Core net profit (RMm) | 733.0 | 1,558.8 | 1,781.0 | 1,636.5 | 1,466.1 |
Core EPS (sen) | 10.6 | 22.5 | 25.8 | 23.7 | 21.2 |
Core EPS growth (%) | (66.6) | 112.6 | 14.3 | (8.1) | (10.4) |
Core PER (x) | 45.0 | 21.2 | 18.5 | 20.2 | 22.5 |
Net DPS (sen) | 15.0 | 16.4 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 9.0 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 9.2 | 9.6 |
Chg in EPS (%) | |||||
Phillip/Consensus (%) | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Sources: Company, Bloomberg, Phillip Research forecasts
Results at a glance
Y/E Dec (RMm) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg | 6M24 | 6M25 | YoY % chg | Comment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 4,965.0 | 4,817.0 | 5,169.0 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 9,307.0 | 9,986.0 | 7.3 | Driven by higher contribution from upstream and downstream segments |
Op costs | (4,367.0) | (4,078.0) | (4,434.0) | 8.7 | 1.5 | (8,315.0) | (8,512.0) | 2.4 | |
EBITDA | 992.0 | 1,174.0 | 1,158.0 | (1.4) | 16.7 | 1,735.0 | 2,332.0 | 34.4 | |
EBITDA margin (%) | 20.0 | 24.4 | 22.4 | (2.0 ppt) | 2.4 ppt | 18.6 | 23.4 | 4.7 ppt | |
Depn and amort | (363.0) | (356.0) | (354.0) | (0.6) | (2.5) | (730.0) | (710.0) | (2.7) | |
EBIT | 598.0 | 739.0 | 735.0 | (0.5) | 22.9 | 992.0 | 1,474.0 | 48.6 | |
EBIT margin (%) | 12.0 | 15.3 | 14.2 | (1.1 ppt) | 2.2 ppt | 10.7 | 14.8 | 4.1 ppt | |
Interest expense | (40.0) | (25.0) | (26.0) | 4.0 | (35.0) | (77.0) | (51.0) | (33.8) | largely due to lower borrowings and lower average interest rate which declined to 4.9% p.a. from 5.2% p.a. |
Int and other inc | 30.0 | 103.0 | 46.0 | (55.3) | 53.3 | 81.0 | 149.0 | 84.0 | |
JV and Associates | 9.0 | (8.0) | 2.0 | (125.0) | (77.8) | (5.0) | (6.0) | 20.0 | |
EI | (10.0) | 17.0 | 26.0 | 52.9 | >100 | (28.0) | 43.0 | >100 | |
Pretax profit | 595.0 | 799.0 | 783.0 | (2.0) | 31.6 | 941.0 | 1,582.0 | 68.1 | Higher YoY profit was due to strong upstream operation which compensates the decline in downstream segment |
Core PBT | 605.0 | 782.0 | 757.0 | (3.2) | 25.1 | 969.0 | 1,539.0 | 58.8 | |
Taxation | (136.0) | (183.0) | (234.0) | 27.9 | 72.1 | (229.0) | (417.0) | 82.1 | |
Tax rate (%) | 22.9 | 22.9 | 29.9 | 7.0 ppt | 7.0 ppt | 24.3 | 26.4 | 2.0 ppt | |
MI | (13.0) | (18.0) | (13.0) | (27.8) | 0.0 | (24.0) | (31.0) | 29.2 | |
Net profit | 415.0 | 567.0 | 505.0 | (10.9) | 21.7 | 626.0 | 1,072.0 | 71.2 | |
EPS (sen) | 6.0 | 8.2 | 7.3 | (10.9) | 21.7 | 9.1 | 15.5 | 71.2 | |
Core net profit | 425.0 | 550.0 | 479.0 | (12.9) | 12.7 | 654.0 | 1,029.0 | 57.3 | In line with expectations |
Sources: Company, Phillip Research
Segmental Revenue Breakdown
Y/E Dec (RMm) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg | 6M24 | 6M25 | YoY % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Upstream | 2,472.0 | 2,541.0 | 2,671.0 | 5.1 | 8.1 | 4,509.0 | 5,212.0 | 15.6 |
Downstream | 4,448.0 | 4,317.0 | 4,496.0 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 8,420.0 | 8,813.0 | 4.7 |
Renewable Energy | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Others | 153.0 | 116.0 | 109.0 | (6.0) | (28.8) | 309.0 | 225.0 | (27.2) |
Total (excl. intersegment) | 4,965.0 | 4,817.0 | 5,169.0 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 9,307.0 | 9,986.0 | 7.3 |
Segmental PBIT Breakdown – recurring profit
Y/E Dec (RMm) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg | 6M24 | 6M25 | YoY % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Upstream | 424.0 | 753.0 | 660.0 | (12.4) | 55.7 | 689.0 | 1,413.0 | 105.1 |
Downstream | 225.0 | 76.0 | 126.0 | 65.8 | (44.0) | 346.0 | 202.0 | (41.6) |
Renewable Energy | (1.0) | (1.0) | (3.0) | 200.0 | 200.0 | (2.0) | (4.0) | 100.0 |
Others | (2.0) | (7.0) | 18.0 | >100 | >100 | (1.0) | 11.0 | >100 |
Total | 646.0 | 821.0 | 801.0 | (2.4) | 24.0 | 1,032.0 | 1,622.0 | 57.2 |
Segmental PBIT Margin
Y/E Dec (%) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ ppt | YoY ppt | 6M24 | 6M25 | YoY ppt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Upstream | 17.2 | 29.6 | 24.7 | (4.9 ppt) | 7.6 ppt | 15.3 | 27.1 | 11.8 ppt |
Downstream | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 ppt | (2.3 ppt) | 4.1 | 2.3 | (1.8 ppt) |
Others | (1.3) | (6.0) | 16.5 | 22.5 ppt | 17.8 ppt | (0.3) | 4.9 | 5.2 ppt |
Total | 13.0 | 17.0 | 15.5 | (1.5 ppt) | 2.5 ppt | 11.1 | 16.2 | 5.2 ppt |
Source: Company, Phillip Research
Operational Performance
Y/E Dec | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg | 6M24 | 6M25 | YoY % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FFB production (‘000 t) | 2,194.5 | 2,004.8 | 2,286.3 | 14.0 | 4.2 | 4,173.4 | 4,291.1 | 2.8 |
CPO production (‘000 t) | 543.9 | 506.7 | 573.2 | 13.1 | 5.4 | 1,039.4 | 1,079.9 | 3.9 |
PK production (‘000 t) | 119.4 | 110.8 | 127.1 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 231.5 | 237.9 | 2.8 |
ASP – CPO (RM/MT) | 4,029 | 4,576 | 4,146 | (9.4) | 2.9 | 3,961 | 4,339 | 9.5 |
ASP – PK (RM/MT) | 2,166 | 3,342 | 3,247 | (2.8) | 49.9 | 2,056 | 3,292 | 60.1 |
Source: Company, Phillip Research
Contact Information (Regional Member Companies)
SINGAPORE
Phillip Securities Pte Ltd
Raffles City Tower, 250, North Bridge Road #06-00, Singapore 179101
Tel +65 6533 6001
Fax +65 6535 6631
Website: www.poems.com.sg
MALAYSIA
Phillip Capital Sdn Bhd
B-18-6 Block B Level 18 Unit 6 Megan Avenue II, No. 12, Jalan Yap Kwan Seng, 50450 Kuala Lumpur
Tel +603 2783 0300
Fax +603 2166 5099
Website: www.phillip.com.my
HONG KONG
Phillip Securities (HK) Ltd
11/F United Centre 95 Queensway, Hong Kong
Tel +852 2277 6600
Fax +852 2868 5307
Website: www.phillip.com.hk
JAPAN
Phillip Securities Japan, Ltd.
4-2 Nihonbashi Kabuto-cho Chuo-ku, Tokyo 103-0026
Tel +81-3 3666 2101
Fax +81-3 3666 6090
Website: www.phillip.co.jp
INDONESIA
PT Phillip Securities Indonesia
ANZ Tower Level 23B, Jl Jend Sudirman Kav 33A, Jakarta 10220 – Indonesia
Tel +62-21 5790 0800
Fax +62-21 5790 0809
Website: www.phillip.co.id
CHINA
Phillip Financial Advisory (Shanghai) Co Ltd
No 550 Yan An East Road, Ocean Tower Unit 2318, Postal code 200001
Tel +86-21 5169 9200
Fax +86-21 6351 2940
Website: www.phillip.com.cn
THAILAND
Phillip Securities (Thailand) Public Co. Ltd
15th Floor, Vorawat Building, 849 Silom Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Thailand
Tel +66-2 6351700 / 22680999
Fax +66-2 22680921
Website www.phillip.co.th
FRANCE
King & Shaxson Capital Limited
3rd Floor, 35 Rue de la Bienfaisance 75008 Paris France
Tel +33-1 45633100
Fax +33-1 45636017
Website: www.kingandshaxson.com
UNITED KINGDOM
King & Shaxson Capital Limited
6th Floor, Candlewick House, 120 Cannon Street, London, EC4N 6AS
Tel +44-20 7426 5950
Fax +44-20 7626 1757
Website: www.kingandshaxson.com
UNITED STATES
Phillip Capital Inc
141 W Jackson Blvd Ste 3050, The Chicago Board of Trade Building, Chicago, IL 60604 USA
Tel +1-312 356 9000
Fax +1-312 356 9005
Website: www.phillipusa.com
AUSTRALIA
Phillip Capital Limited
Level 10, 330 Collins Street, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia
Tel +61-03 8633 9803
Fax +61-03 8633 9899
Website: www.phillipcapital.com.au
CAMBODIA
Phillip Bank Plc
Ground Floor of B-Office Centre,#61-64, Norodom Blvd Corner Street 306, Sangkat Boeung Keng Kang 1, Khan Chamkamorn, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Tel: 855 (0) 7796 6151/855 (0) 1620 0769
Website: www.phillipbank.com.kh
INDIA
PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited
No.1, 18th Floor, Urmi Estate, 95, Ganpatrao Kadam Marg, Lower Parel West, Mumbai 400-013, Maharashtra, India
Tel:+91-22-2300 2999/Fax:+91-22-2300 2969
Website: www.phillipcapital.in
TURKEY
PhillipCapital Menkul Degerler
Dr. Cemil Bengü Cad. Hak Is Merkezi, No. 2 Kat. 6A Caglayan, 34403 Istanbul, Turkey
Tel: 0212 296 84 84
Fax: 0212 233 69 29
Website: www.phillipcapital.com.tr
DUBAI
Phillip Futures DMCC
Member of the Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange (DGCX)
Unit No 601, Plot No 58, White Crown Bldg, Sheikh Zayed Road, P.O.Box 212291, Dubai-UAE
Tel: +971-4-3325052 / Fax: + 971-4-3328895
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