SD Guthrie (SDG MK)






SD Guthrie (SDG MK) – Resilient Performance with Results in Line


SD Guthrie (SDG MK)

Result in line

MALAYSIA | PLANTATION | RESULT
8 Aug 2025
  • 6M25 core earnings grew 57% YoY to RM1.0bn, meet expectations
  • 2Q25 revenue and core net profit delivered a resilient 2Q25 performance, underpinned by stronger upstream results
  • Maintain our BUY rating and TP at RM5.21

BUY

  • LAST CLOSE PRICE RM4.77
  • TARGET PRICE RM5.21
  • TOTAL RETURN 9.2%

COMPANY DATA

  • BLOOMBERG TICKER SDG MK EQUITY
  • O/S SHARES (MN): 6,916
  • MARKET CAP (USD mn / RM mn): 7788 / 32988
  • 52 – WK HI/LO (RM) : 5.19 / 4.33
  • 3M Average Daily T/O (mn): 2.66
  • NET CASH/(DEBT) (RMbn) (5.10)

MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)

  • Amanah Saham Nasional 53.2%
  • Employees Provident 9.6%
  • Kumpulan Wang Persar 7.4%

PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)

1MTH 3MTH YTD
COMPANY (1.2) 4.3 (1.6)
FBMKLCI RETURN (0.5) 0.6 (4.1)

PRICE VS. FBMKLCI

Chart shows SDG MK EQUITY versus FBMKLCI Index from Aug-24 to Aug-25.

Source: Bloomberg

Noorhayati Maamor
noorhayati.maamor@phillipcapital.com.my

Resilient performance YoY

SD Guthrie (SDG) delivered a resilient 2Q25 performance, underpinned by stronger upstream results. Excluding the RM26m exceptional item (comprising essentially of RM51m unrealised forex gain, RM9m PPE disposal gain, RM33m inventory write-down, and RM6m PPE write-off), core net profit rose to RM479m (+13% YoY). Revenue increased by 4% YoY to RM5.2bn, driven by an 8% YoY growth in the upstream segment on the back of higher FFB production, better oil extraction rate (OER), lower costs, and higher realised CPO and PK prices; more than offset the softer downstream contribution. 2Q25 EBITDA margin expanded by 2.4ppts YoY to 22% on the back of improved operational efficiency. SDG declared an interim DPS of 7.75sen, on track to achieve our full-year DPS payout of 15sen.

6M25 results meet expectations

6M25 core net profit came in at RM1.03bn (+57% YoY), in line with our forecast but ahead of consensus, accounting for 58% and 60% of the respective earnings forecast. The strong results were mainly driven by more substantial upstream profit on the back of higher realised ASP, improved productivity, and improved operational efficiency. Meanwhile, the downstream segment remained under pressure, especially in Europe, as compressed RSPO premiums and weak demand persisted. JV contributions declined marginally as a result of margin contraction in the oleochemicals market, despite higher sales volumes. Management remains optimistic for 2H25, expecting better FFB output to sustain earnings momentum.

Maintain BUY with unchanged TP at RM5.21

We maintain our 12-month TP of RM5.21, based on a 22x PE multiple on 2026E EPS and reiterate our BUY call, given SDG’s solid fundamentals, including steady cash flow generation, prudent capital management, and consistent dividend payout with a 3% yield. Key downside risks to our call include lower-than-expected CPO prices, production and demand, escalating cost pressures, and broader macroeconomic uncertainties.

Key Financials

Y/E Dec 2023 2024 2025E 2026E 2027E
Revenue (RMm) 18,427.9 19,831.0 19,854.3 19,271.6 18,589.3
EBITDA (RMm) 4,319.5 4,739.1 4,268.2 4,130.5 3,943.0
Pretax profit (RMm) 2,752.5 3,139.3 2,595.7 2,384.1 2,170.1
Net profit (RMm) 1,860.0 2,163.8 1,781.0 1,636.5 1,466.1
EPS (sen) 26.9 31.3 25.8 23.7 21.2
PER (x) 17.7 15.2 18.5 20.2 22.5
Core net profit (RMm) 733.0 1,558.8 1,781.0 1,636.5 1,466.1
Core EPS (sen) 10.6 22.5 25.8 23.7 21.2
Core EPS growth (%) (66.6) 112.6 14.3 (8.1) (10.4)
Core PER (x) 45.0 21.2 18.5 20.2 22.5
Net DPS (sen) 15.0 16.4 15.0 14.0 14.0
Dividend Yield (%) 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.9
EV/EBITDA (x) 9.0 8.2 8.9 9.2 9.6
Chg in EPS (%)
Phillip/Consensus (%) 1.0 0.9 0.9

Sources: Company, Bloomberg, Phillip Research forecasts

Results at a glance

Y/E Dec (RMm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ % chg YoY % chg 6M24 6M25 YoY % chg Comment
Revenue 4,965.0 4,817.0 5,169.0 7.3 4.1 9,307.0 9,986.0 7.3 Driven by higher contribution from upstream and downstream segments
Op costs (4,367.0) (4,078.0) (4,434.0) 8.7 1.5 (8,315.0) (8,512.0) 2.4
EBITDA 992.0 1,174.0 1,158.0 (1.4) 16.7 1,735.0 2,332.0 34.4
EBITDA margin (%) 20.0 24.4 22.4 (2.0 ppt) 2.4 ppt 18.6 23.4 4.7 ppt
Depn and amort (363.0) (356.0) (354.0) (0.6) (2.5) (730.0) (710.0) (2.7)
EBIT 598.0 739.0 735.0 (0.5) 22.9 992.0 1,474.0 48.6
EBIT margin (%) 12.0 15.3 14.2 (1.1 ppt) 2.2 ppt 10.7 14.8 4.1 ppt
Interest expense (40.0) (25.0) (26.0) 4.0 (35.0) (77.0) (51.0) (33.8) largely due to lower borrowings and lower average interest rate which declined to 4.9% p.a. from 5.2% p.a.
Int and other inc 30.0 103.0 46.0 (55.3) 53.3 81.0 149.0 84.0
JV and Associates 9.0 (8.0) 2.0 (125.0) (77.8) (5.0) (6.0) 20.0
EI (10.0) 17.0 26.0 52.9 >100 (28.0) 43.0 >100
Pretax profit 595.0 799.0 783.0 (2.0) 31.6 941.0 1,582.0 68.1 Higher YoY profit was due to strong upstream operation which compensates the decline in downstream segment
Core PBT 605.0 782.0 757.0 (3.2) 25.1 969.0 1,539.0 58.8
Taxation (136.0) (183.0) (234.0) 27.9 72.1 (229.0) (417.0) 82.1
Tax rate (%) 22.9 22.9 29.9 7.0 ppt 7.0 ppt 24.3 26.4 2.0 ppt
MI (13.0) (18.0) (13.0) (27.8) 0.0 (24.0) (31.0) 29.2
Net profit 415.0 567.0 505.0 (10.9) 21.7 626.0 1,072.0 71.2
EPS (sen) 6.0 8.2 7.3 (10.9) 21.7 9.1 15.5 71.2
Core net profit 425.0 550.0 479.0 (12.9) 12.7 654.0 1,029.0 57.3 In line with expectations

Sources: Company, Phillip Research

Segmental Revenue Breakdown

Y/E Dec (RMm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ % chg YoY % chg 6M24 6M25 YoY % chg
Upstream 2,472.0 2,541.0 2,671.0 5.1 8.1 4,509.0 5,212.0 15.6
Downstream 4,448.0 4,317.0 4,496.0 4.1 1.1 8,420.0 8,813.0 4.7
Renewable Energy 2.0 1.0 2.0 100.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0
Others 153.0 116.0 109.0 (6.0) (28.8) 309.0 225.0 (27.2)
Total (excl. intersegment) 4,965.0 4,817.0 5,169.0 7.3 4.1 9,307.0 9,986.0 7.3

Segmental PBIT Breakdown – recurring profit

Y/E Dec (RMm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ % chg YoY % chg 6M24 6M25 YoY % chg
Upstream 424.0 753.0 660.0 (12.4) 55.7 689.0 1,413.0 105.1
Downstream 225.0 76.0 126.0 65.8 (44.0) 346.0 202.0 (41.6)
Renewable Energy (1.0) (1.0) (3.0) 200.0 200.0 (2.0) (4.0) 100.0
Others (2.0) (7.0) 18.0 >100 >100 (1.0) 11.0 >100
Total 646.0 821.0 801.0 (2.4) 24.0 1,032.0 1,622.0 57.2

Segmental PBIT Margin

Y/E Dec (%) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ ppt YoY ppt 6M24 6M25 YoY ppt
Upstream 17.2 29.6 24.7 (4.9 ppt) 7.6 ppt 15.3 27.1 11.8 ppt
Downstream 5.1 1.8 2.8 1.0 ppt (2.3 ppt) 4.1 2.3 (1.8 ppt)
Others (1.3) (6.0) 16.5 22.5 ppt 17.8 ppt (0.3) 4.9 5.2 ppt
Total 13.0 17.0 15.5 (1.5 ppt) 2.5 ppt 11.1 16.2 5.2 ppt

Source: Company, Phillip Research

Operational Performance

Y/E Dec 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ % chg YoY % chg 6M24 6M25 YoY % chg
FFB production (‘000 t) 2,194.5 2,004.8 2,286.3 14.0 4.2 4,173.4 4,291.1 2.8
CPO production (‘000 t) 543.9 506.7 573.2 13.1 5.4 1,039.4 1,079.9 3.9
PK production (‘000 t) 119.4 110.8 127.1 14.8 6.5 231.5 237.9 2.8
ASP – CPO (RM/MT) 4,029 4,576 4,146 (9.4) 2.9 3,961 4,339 9.5
ASP – PK (RM/MT) 2,166 3,342 3,247 (2.8) 49.9 2,056 3,292 60.1

Source: Company, Phillip Research

Contact Information (Regional Member Companies)

SINGAPORE

Phillip Securities Pte Ltd
Raffles City Tower, 250, North Bridge Road #06-00, Singapore 179101
Tel +65 6533 6001
Fax +65 6535 6631
Website: www.poems.com.sg

MALAYSIA

Phillip Capital Sdn Bhd
B-18-6 Block B Level 18 Unit 6 Megan Avenue II, No. 12, Jalan Yap Kwan Seng, 50450 Kuala Lumpur
Tel +603 2783 0300
Fax +603 2166 5099
Website: www.phillip.com.my

HONG KONG

Phillip Securities (HK) Ltd
11/F United Centre 95 Queensway, Hong Kong
Tel +852 2277 6600
Fax +852 2868 5307
Website: www.phillip.com.hk

JAPAN

Phillip Securities Japan, Ltd.
4-2 Nihonbashi Kabuto-cho Chuo-ku, Tokyo 103-0026
Tel +81-3 3666 2101
Fax +81-3 3666 6090
Website: www.phillip.co.jp

INDONESIA

PT Phillip Securities Indonesia
ANZ Tower Level 23B, Jl Jend Sudirman Kav 33A, Jakarta 10220 – Indonesia
Tel +62-21 5790 0800
Fax +62-21 5790 0809
Website: www.phillip.co.id

CHINA

Phillip Financial Advisory (Shanghai) Co Ltd
No 550 Yan An East Road, Ocean Tower Unit 2318, Postal code 200001
Tel +86-21 5169 9200
Fax +86-21 6351 2940
Website: www.phillip.com.cn

THAILAND

Phillip Securities (Thailand) Public Co. Ltd
15th Floor, Vorawat Building, 849 Silom Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Thailand
Tel +66-2 6351700 / 22680999
Fax +66-2 22680921
Website www.phillip.co.th

FRANCE

King & Shaxson Capital Limited
3rd Floor, 35 Rue de la Bienfaisance 75008 Paris France
Tel +33-1 45633100
Fax +33-1 45636017
Website: www.kingandshaxson.com

UNITED KINGDOM

King & Shaxson Capital Limited
6th Floor, Candlewick House, 120 Cannon Street, London, EC4N 6AS
Tel +44-20 7426 5950
Fax +44-20 7626 1757
Website: www.kingandshaxson.com

UNITED STATES

Phillip Capital Inc
141 W Jackson Blvd Ste 3050, The Chicago Board of Trade Building, Chicago, IL 60604 USA
Tel +1-312 356 9000
Fax +1-312 356 9005
Website: www.phillipusa.com

AUSTRALIA

Phillip Capital Limited
Level 10, 330 Collins Street, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia
Tel +61-03 8633 9803
Fax +61-03 8633 9899
Website: www.phillipcapital.com.au

CAMBODIA

Phillip Bank Plc
Ground Floor of B-Office Centre,#61-64, Norodom Blvd Corner Street 306, Sangkat Boeung Keng Kang 1, Khan Chamkamorn, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Tel: 855 (0) 7796 6151/855 (0) 1620 0769
Website: www.phillipbank.com.kh

INDIA

PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited
No.1, 18th Floor, Urmi Estate, 95, Ganpatrao Kadam Marg, Lower Parel West, Mumbai 400-013, Maharashtra, India
Tel:+91-22-2300 2999/Fax:+91-22-2300 2969
Website: www.phillipcapital.in

TURKEY

PhillipCapital Menkul Degerler
Dr. Cemil Bengü Cad. Hak Is Merkezi, No. 2 Kat. 6A Caglayan, 34403 Istanbul, Turkey
Tel: 0212 296 84 84
Fax: 0212 233 69 29
Website: www.phillipcapital.com.tr

DUBAI

Phillip Futures DMCC
Member of the Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange (DGCX)
Unit No 601, Plot No 58, White Crown Bldg, Sheikh Zayed Road, P.O.Box 212291, Dubai-UAE
Tel: +971-4-3325052 / Fax: + 971-4-3328895

Important disclosures

This research report is strictly confidential and has been prepared for information purposes only by Phillip Research Sdn Bhd (“PRSB”), a subsidiary of Phillip Capital Holdings Sdn Bhd (“PCH”) and is meant for circulation to its clients and clients of other subsidiaries companies of PCH particularly Phillip Mutual Berhad (“PMB”), Phillip Capital Management Sdn Bhd (“PCM”), Phillip Wealth Planners Sdn Bhd (“PWP”) and Phillip Capital Sdn Bhd (“PCSB”) (collectively refer to as Phillip Group other licensed intermediaries (“PGOLI”)) only or such other persons as may be deemed eligible to receive such research report, information or opinion contained herein. Neither the publication/communication nor any portion hereof may be reprinted, distributed, sold, resold, redistributed, copied, reproduced, published, republished, displayed, posted or transmitted in any form or media or by any means without the written consent of PRSB.

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PRSB Investment and Sector Definition:

Equity:
BUY: Total stock return expected to exceed +10% over 12-month period
HOLD: Total stock return to be between -10% and +10% over a 12-month period
SELL: Total stock return is expected to below 10% over a 12-month period

Sector:
OVERWEIGHT: The sector is expected to outperform the overall FBMKLCI over the next 12 months
NEUTRAL: The sector is to perform in line with the overall FBMKLCI market over the next 12 months
UNDERWEIGHT: The sector is expected to underperform the overall FBMKLCI market over the next 12 months

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