PENTAMASTER CORP: Running Ahead of Fundamentals, Downgraded to SELL
(PENT MK EQUITY, PMAS.KL)
Rationale for report: Company Result
paul.ee-xing@ambankgroup.com
Price | RM3.9 |
Target price | RM2.6 |
52-week High/Low | RM4.62/RM1.86 |
Key Changes | |
---|---|
Target price | ↑ |
EPS | ↔ |
Forecasts
YE to Dec | FY24 | FY25F | FY26F | FY27F |
---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (RM mil) | 623.0 | 540.5 | 599.0 | 663.4 |
Core net profit (RM mil) | 73.2 | 63.4 | 72.3 | 80.3 |
FD Core EPS (sen) | 10.3 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 11.3 |
FD Core EPS growth (%) | (23.9) | (13.3) | 14.0 | 11.0 |
Consensus Net Profit (RM mil) | – | – | – | – |
DPS (sen) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
PE (x) | 37.2 | 43.0 | 37.5 | 33.9 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 16.5 | 20.5 | 18.4 | 16.5 |
Div yield (%) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
ROE (%) | 9.0 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 10.4 |
Net Gearing (%) | nm | nm | nm | nm |
Stock and Financial Data
Shares Outstanding (million) | 711.3 |
Market Cap (RMmil) | 2,553.6 |
Book Value (RM/Share) | 1.05 |
P/BV (X) | 3.4 |
ROE (%) | 9.0 |
Net Gearing (%) | – |
Major Shareholders | |
Chuah Choon Bin (19.7%) | |
abrdn plc (19.7%) | |
EPF (11.0%) | |
Free Float | 56.2 |
Avg Daily Value (RMmil) | 7.0 |
Investment Highlights
We believe Pentamaster’s share price (+34% in 3M) has ran ahead of fundamentals. While new product launches offer promise, we expect a more gradual recovery. Order book has levelled at RM350mil, but needs to grow to RM500-600mil to meet present market expectations. We downgrade the stock to a non-consensus SELL at a higher TP of RM2.60/share (from RM2.45). At a FY26F PE of 37.5x, the stock currently trades at +1sd above its 5-year average.
- Downgrade to SELL. Rolling forward our valuation base year to capture a 12-months view, we raise our TP from RM2.45 to RM2.60/share. This is based on an unchanged target PE of 24x. We downgrade the stock, as we believe the strong recovery in share price has ran ahead of fundamentals. The stock now trades at a FY26F PE of 37.5x, representing 1sd above its 5-year average.
- Medical devices drag earnings. 1H25 core earnings fell 27% YoY to RM30mil. This was within ours, but below consensus expectations, forming 49% and 42% of estimates. The decline was due to the medical devices segment, where contributions fell from 45% to 15% of 1H25 revenues.
- Market pricing in peak profits. Back-solving from current share price and its 5-year average PE of 30x, market is expecting forward earnings of RM92mil. This matches record profits in 2023, when order book averaged at RM550mil.
- More gradual recovery is expected. Comparatively, order book currently stands at RM350mil (-13% YoY, flat QoQ). From its current level, we estimate order book needs to rise by +57% to meet consensus expectations vs. Am’s more conservative growth assumptions of +14%. Although we do anticipate new orders from a large medical device customer, these serve as replenishment orders. Higher US tariffs could also potentially threaten end demand.
- Where we could be wrong? Upside risks lie in new product momentum. Management has been focusing on new product developments, which could gain traction. This includes advanced wafer AOI (automated optical inspection), HPC (high performance computing) burn in test equipment, silicon photonic wafer prober and X-ray imaging inspection.
EXHIBIT 1: 2Q25 EARNINGS SUMMARY
RMmil | 2Q25 | 2Q24 | YoY (%) | 1Q25 | QoQ (%) | 6M25 | 6M24 | YoY (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 145 | 171 | -15.5 | 132 | 10.1 | 276 | 342 | -19.2 |
Ebitda | 30 | 36 | -18.5 | 27 | 7.5 | 59 | 73 | -19.2 |
Depreciation and amortisation | -7 | -5 | 33.7 | -7 | 3.4 | -14 | -10 | 33.9 |
Ebit | 23 | 31 | -27.4 | 21 | 8.9 | 45 | 62 | -28.0 |
Finance income | 2 | 3 | -36.5 | 2 | -0.1 | 3 | 6 | -44.9 |
Finance costs | 0 | 0 | n.a. | 0 | n.a. | 0 | 0 | n.a. |
JV/Associates | 0 | 0 | 793.3 | -1 | -65.4 | -1 | 0 | 313.5 |
EI | -6 | -1 | 321.8 | -1 | 421.1 | -9 | -5 | 75.9 |
Pbt | 18 | 32 | -45.0 | 20 | -13.3 | 38 | 63 | -39.6 |
Taxation | 0 | 0 | -28.8 | 0 | 1.8 | -1 | -1 | -32.0 |
MI | -6 | -12 | -51.3 | -7 | -20.4 | -13 | -23 | -43.1 |
Patami | 12 | 20 | -41.7 | 13 | -9.7 | 24 | 39 | -37.7 |
Core Patami | 16 | 21 | -23.0 | 14 | 17.9 | 31 | 43 | -27.4 |
EPS (sen) | 1.6 | 2.8 | -41.8 | 1.8 | -11.4 | 3.5 | 5.5 | -37.1 |
DPS (sen) | 0.0 | 0.0 | n.a. | 0.0 | n.a. | 0.0 | 0.0 | n.a. |
Profitability ratio (%)
20.4 | 21.2 | -0.8 | 20.9 | -0.5 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 0.0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ebitda margin | 15.5 | 18.1 | -2.6 | 15.7 | -0.2 | 16.3 | 18.2 | -2.0 |
Ebit margin | 12.2 | 18.7 | -6.5 | 15.5 | -3.3 | 13.7 | 18.4 | -4.6 |
Pbt margin | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
Tax rate | 11.1 | 12.2 | -1.1 | 10.3 | 0.7 | 11.2 | 12.4 | -1.3 |
Revenue breakdown
2Q25 | 2Q24 | YoY (%) | 1Q25 | QoQ (%) | 6M25 | 6M24 | YoY (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Electro-optical | 33 | 25 | 32.9 | 27 | 22.3 | 60 | 53 | 12.3 |
Consumer and industrial products | 17 | 7 | 149.6 | 20 | -16.6 | 37 | 17 | 120.3 |
Semiconductor | 12 | 11 | 22.0 | 26 | -54.7 | 38 | 21 | 79.9 |
Automotive | 44 | 51 | -14.3 | 51 | -13.6 | 95 | 95 | -0.2 |
Medical devices | 36 | 77 | -53.8 | 7 | 416.7 | 42 | 156 | -72.7 |
Renewable energy | 4 | 0 | n.a. | 0 | n.a. | 4 | 0 | n.a. |
Others | 0 | 0 | n.a. | 0 | -110.7 | 0 | 0 | n.a. |
EXHIBIT 5: VALUATIONS
Target PE (x) – 1sd below 5-year average | 24x |
Blended CY26/27 EPS | 10.7sen (from 10.2sen) |
3-star ESG premium | – |
12-month target price | RM2.60 (from RM2.45) |
Company profile
Pentamaster Corporation Berhad (PCB) is a manufacturer of automated test and factory automation equipment. It serves customers from a broad range of industries, including telecommunications, consumer, semiconductor, automotive and medical.
The group sets itself apart, by being able to offer customised solutions. This allows it to create sticky relationships with customers and also command premium margins.
PCB owns 71% of Pentamaster International Limited, which is its main subsidiary that is listed on the Main Board of The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong.
Mr. Chuah Choon Bin is the Executive Chairman and co-founded Pentamaster in 1991. He is a professional engineer and prior to setting up the group, served as an automation engineer for National Semiconductor and Intel Technology Malaysia.
Demonstrating its adaptability, the group constantly reinvents itself. By anticipating future trends to remain relevant, revenue drivers have evolved over the years from smartphone to automotive to medical devices.
Production facilities are primarily located in Penang, while the group also has sales and technical support offices in the US, Singapore, Japan and Germany.
Investment thesis and catalysts
Slowdown in growth. Order book has plateaued over the past few quarters and a meaningful recovery is not expected until 2H25. Being a forward indicator, share price is primarily driven by order book, which provides a preview of upcoming results.
While medical devices revenues have exhibited strong growth, we expect it to normalise in 2025. Meanwhile, a recovery in automotive revenues is also expected to be more gradual than anticipated.
Proxy to FDIs (foreign direct investments). Medical devices revenues have grown, partly driven by FDIs into Malaysia, where it currently serves a blood glucose monitoring customer. As MNCs set up their factories in Malaysia, the group’s factory automation solutions segment is a capex beneficiary. Building on its expertise, the group has expanded its customer base to more than five medical devices customers now.
Held back by overcapacity in SiC (silicon carbide) sector. One of the group’s flagship products is its wafer level burn in systems, catering for SiC power devices. An EV slowdown and a previous rush to expand capacity has resulted in overcapacity in the SiC sector. This is amplified by geopolitical tensions, causing customers to be more cautious and delaying expansion plans.
Valuation methodology
We value Pentamaster at a target PE of 24x and blended CY26/27 EPS, to capture a 12-month forward view. Our target PE is based on one standard deviation below the group’s 5-year average.
We think this is appropriate, until the group is able to secure new concrete revenue growth drivers. We expect medical devices revenue growth to normalise, coupled with a more gradual recovery for its automotive revenues.
Risk factors
Being a capex beneficiary, revenue growth is contingent on its customer’s expansion plans. As customers cannot expand perpetually and usually need time to digest new capacity, it is important that Pentamaster maintains a large customer base and continues to source for new customers.
Currently, the group’s revenues are mainly exposed to medical devices and SiC. Hence, any developments relating to both these industries could impact the outlook of the group.
Another key risk is currency, where we estimate, every 1% increase/decrease in the USD/MYR rate increases/decreases earnings by 3%.
EXHIBIT: ESG RATING
Environmental assessment
# | Parameters | Weightage | Rationale |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Scope 1 GHG Emissions | 25% | 13% increase in 2022 |
2 | Scope 2 GHG Emissions | 15% | 2% increase in 2022 |
3 | Air, noise & water quality | 25% | 8% decrease in 2022. |
4 | Minimise hazardous waste generation | 20% | 64% decrease in 2022. |
5 | Minimise non-hazardous waste generation | 15% | 8% increase in solid waste in 2022 |
Social assessment
# | Parameters | Weightage | Rationale |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Employee turnover | 25% | 14% in 2022 |
2 | Health, safety & well-being | 25% | zero cases |
3 | Women in workforce | 25% | 18% in workforce |
4 | Investment in employee training | 25% | RM0.4mil – 5x increase in 2022 |
Governance assessment
# | Parameters | Weightage | Rationale |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Board age diversity | 15% | 83% |
2 | Board women representation | 15% | 33% representation |
3 | Directors with tenure below 6 years | 15% | 33% |
4 | Independent board directors | 15% | 33% – independent non-exec |
5 | Remuneration to directors | 20% | RM4mil – 5% of 2022 staff costs |
6 | Corruption investigations | 20% | zero cases |
EXHIBIT 7: FINANCIAL DATA
Income Statement (RMmil, YE 31 Dec) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FY23 | FY24 | FY25F | FY26F | FY27F | |
Revenue | 691.9 | 623.0 | 540.5 | 599.0 | 663.4 |
EBITDA | 157.4 | 127.4 | 113.1 | 123.6 | 135.0 |
Depreciation/Amortisation | (17.7) | (21.6) | (23.9) | (24.7) | (25.6) |
Operating income (EBIT) | 139.6 | 105.8 | 89.2 | 98.8 | 109.5 |
Other income & associates | (0.6) | ||||
Net interest | 13.0 | 12.8 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 6.0 |
Exceptional items | (11.2) | (12.6) | |||
Pretax profit | 141.4 | 105.4 | 96.0 | 104.0 | 115.4 |
Taxation | (1.0) | (1.5) | (1.9) | (2.1) | (2.3) |
Minorities/pref dividends | (51.3) | (38.7) | (30.7) | (29.5) | (32.8) |
Net profit | 89.1 | 65.2 | 63.4 | 72.3 | 80.3 |
Core net profit | 96.2 | 73.2 | 63.4 | 72.3 | 80.3 |
Balance Sheet (RMmil, YE 31 Dec) | |||||
FY23 | FY24 | FY25F | FY26F | FY27F | |
Fixed assets | 282.0 | 457.3 | 487.0 | 515.6 | 542.9 |
Intangible assets | 44.6 | 40.8 | 37.2 | 33.9 | 31.0 |
Other long-term assets | 63.6 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 |
Total non-current assets | 390.2 | 544.2 | 570.2 | 595.5 | 619.9 |
Cash & equivalent | 490.9 | 448.7 | 237.6 | 275.2 | 322.4 |
Stock | 190.6 | 121.8 | 141.2 | 156.5 | 173.3 |
Trade debtors | 241.4 | 230.6 | 210.8 | 233.6 | 258.7 |
Other current assets | 4.8 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
Total current assets | 927.7 | 807.6 | 596.1 | 671.8 | 761.0 |
Trade creditors | 162.5 | 195.4 | 123.4 | 136.7 | 151.4 |
Short-term borrowings | |||||
Other current liabilities | 140.3 | 62.0 | 62.0 | 62.0 | 62.0 |
Total current liabilities | 302.8 | 257.3 | 185.3 | 198.7 | 213.4 |
Long-term borrowings | |||||
Other long-term liabilities | 9.5 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 13.4 |
Total long-term liabilities | 9.5 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 13.4 |
Shareholders’ funds | 699.4 | 748.0 | 681.9 | 740.1 | 806.2 |
Minority interests | 306.1 | 333.0 | 285.7 | 315.3 | 348.1 |
BV/share (RM) | 0.98 | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.04 | 1.13 |
Cash Flow (RMmil, YE 31 Dec) | |||||
FY23 | FY24 | FY25F | FY26F | FY27F | |
Pretax profit | 141.4 | 105.4 | 96.0 | 104.0 | 115.4 |
Depreciation/Amortisation | 17.7 | 21.6 | 23.9 | 24.7 | 25.6 |
Net change in working capital | 68.5 | 5.0 | (71.6) | (24.8) | (27.2) |
Others | (11.7) | 6.4 | (8.8) | (7.2) | (8.3) |
Cash flow from operations | 215.9 | 138.4 | 39.6 | 96.7 | 105.5 |
Capital expenditure | (116.1) | (154.9) | (50.0) | (50.0) | (50.0) |
Net investments & sale of fixed assets | (8.0) | 3.8 | (95.9) | ||
Others | 7.3 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 6.0 |
Cash flow from investing | (116.7) | (145.6) | (139.0) | (44.9) | (44.0) |
Debt raised/(repaid) | |||||
Equity raised/(repaid) | 6.8 | ||||
Dividends paid | (14.2) | (14.2) | (111.6) | (14.2) | (14.2) |
Others | (9.9) | (10.4) | |||
Cash flow from financing | (29.7) | (32.6) | (111.6) | (14.2) | (14.2) |
Net cash flow | 69.4 | (39.7) | (211.1) | 37.6 | 47.2 |
Net cash/(debt) b/f | 421.2 | 490.9 | 448.7 | 237.6 | 275.2 |
Net cash/(debt) c/f | 490.9 | 448.7 | 237.6 | 275.2 | 322.4 |
Key Ratios (YE 31 Dec) | |||||
FY23 | FY24 | FY25F | FY26F | FY27F | |
Revenue growth (%) | 15.2 | (10.0) | (13.2) | 10.8 | 10.8 |
EBITDA growth (%) | 10.3 | (19.1) | (11.2) | 9.3 | 9.3 |
Pretax margin (%) | 20.4 | 16.9 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 17.4 |
Net profit margin (%) | 12.9 | 10.5 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 12.1 |
Interest cover (x) | nm | nm | nm | nm | nm |
Effective tax rate (%) | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Dividend payout (%) | 16.0 | 21.8 | 176.0 | 19.7 | 17.7 |
Debtors turnover (days) | 142 | 138 | 149 | 135 | 135 |
Stock turnover (days) | 95 | 92 | 89 | 91 | 91 |
Creditors turnover (days) | 83 | 105 | 108 | 79 | 79 |
Source: Company, AmInvestment Bank Bhd estimates