PUBLIC INVESTMENT BANK
PublicInvest Research Results Review
KDN PP17686/03/2013(032117)
Friday, August 22, 2025
MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS No surprises
MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS
Matrix Concepts Holdings is a township developer with flagship development based in Seremban, Negeri Sembilan.
12-Month Target Price | RM1.40 |
Current Price | RM1.30 |
Expected Return | +8% |
Previous Target Price | RM1.40 |
Market | Main |
Sector | Property |
Bursa Code | 5236 |
Bloomberg Ticker | MCH MK |
Shariah-Compliant | Yes |
1.50
1.45
1.40
1.35
1.30
1.25
1.20
Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25
52 Week Range (RM): 1.22-1.63
3-Month Average Vol (‘000): 1,774.7
1M | 3M | 12M | |
---|---|---|---|
Absolute Returns | -4.4 | -5.5 | 7.4 |
Relative Returns | -7.9 | -8.1 | 6.6 |
Market Capitalisation (RMm) | 2,590.3 |
No. of Shares (m) | 1,877.0 |
% | |
---|---|
Shining Term | 12.7 |
Lee Tian Hock | 12.0 |
EPF | 8.2 |
No surprises
Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH) started FY26F with 1Q net profit of RM62.9m (+3.7% YoY, +42.7% QoQ), which came in within our and consensus estimates (accounting for 25.6% and 24.6% of full-year forecasts, respectively). Albeit only RM23m worth of residential projects launched in 1QFY26, it managed to secure RM381.5m in pre-sales, tracking its FY26F sales target of RM1.6bn. As at 30 June 2025, the Group’s unbilled sales stood at RM1.5bn, providing clear earnings visibility over the next 15 to 18 months. All told, no change to our earnings estimates. Maintain Neutral with target price (TP) of RM1.40, pegged at c.20% premium to its book value, which we believe is justifiable, given its consistency in delivering earnings and its decent dividend yields of about 4.5%. Separately, it announced a 1.75sen dividend in 1QFY26.
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1QFY26 revenue rose by 1.6% YoY to RM284.3m, primarily attributable to higher revenue recognition from the property development segment, which increased by 1.8% YoY to RM268.3m. We understand that the increase in revenue recorded for 1Q26 was mainly attributable to the continuous encouraging performance of the Group’s second high-rise development in Kuala Lumpur, Levia Residence. The Group’s flagship Sendayan Developments remained the main contributor, generating RM226.4m in revenue (or 80% of total revenue) in 1QFY26. Elsewhere, Group pre-sales are tracking its FY26F sales target of RM1.6bn, with RM382m secured in 1QFY26. The bulk of these sales were contributed by Sendayan Developments, which accounted for RM174.4m or 45.7% of total pre-sales. As at 30 June 2025, its unbilled sales stood at RM1.5bn.
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FY26F launch target worth RM1.7bn largely includes new phases within its flagship Sendayan Developments, first revenue recognition from Malaysia Vision Valley (MVV) City and Levia Residence at Puchong. Elsewhere, the Group’s Indonesian development, Menara Syariah in Pantai Indah Kapuk 2, Jakarta, Indonesia was successfully completed at end-23. As reported earlier, MCH is looking to either dispose one block or keep both for recurring income. We understand that MCH had initially expected at least 20% margins if it disposes the two towers outright. Now, we believe the value could be higher, given the land value alone is already transacted at 3x its original cost (MCH’s initial investment of USD31.75m for a 30% stake).
FYE Mar (RM m) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026F | 2027F | 2027F | CAGR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1,344.1 | 1,186.9 | 1,379.3 | 1,388.2 | 1,425.2 | 1.2% |
Gross Profit | 623.3 | 604.9 | 663.3 | 669.2 | 686.0 | 1.9% |
Pre-tax Profit | 332.4 | 275.1 | 323.2 | 327.3 | 334.2 | 0.1% |
Net Profit | 244.3 | 214.1 | 245.7 | 248.8 | 254.0 | 0.8% |
EPS (Sen) | 13.0 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 13.3 | 13.5 | 0.8% |
P/E (x) | 11.2 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 10.8 | |
DPS (Sen) | 10.0 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.8 | |
Dividend Yield (%) | 6.8 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
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Table 1: Results Review
FY Mar (RMm) | 1QFY26 | 1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | YoY chg (%) | QoQ shq (%) | YTD FY24 | YTD FY23 | YTD yoy |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 284.3 | 279.7 | 305.2 | 1.6 | -6.8 | 284.3 | 279.7 | 1.6 |
Gross profit | 133.6 | 140.4 | 158.5 | -4.8 | -15.7 | 133.6 | 140.4 | -4.8 |
EBIT | 86.2 | 82.3 | 53.1 | 4.7 | 62.4 | 86.2 | 82.3 | 4.7 |
Pretax profit | 83.0 | 81.1 | 49.2 | 2.3 | 68.8 | 83.0 | 81.1 | 2.3 |
Net profit | 62.9 | 60.7 | 42.7 | 3.7 | 47.5 | 62.9 | 60.7 | 3.7 |
Margins: | ||||||||
Gross Profit Margin | 47.0 | 50.2 | 51.9 | 47.0 | 50.2 | |||
EBIT | 30.3 | 29.4 | 17.4 | 30.3 | 29.4 | |||
Net Profit Margin | 22.1 | 21.7 | 14.0 | 22.1 | 21.7 |
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KEY FINANCIAL DATA
INCOME STATEMENT DATA
FYE Mar (RM m) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026F | 2027F | 2027F | CAGR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 1,344.1 | 1,186.9 | 1,379.3 | 1,388.2 | 1,425.2 | 1.2% |
Gross Profit | 623.3 | 604.9 | 663.3 | 669.2 | 686.0 | 1.9% |
Operating expenses | -347.9 | -348.4 | -355.3 | -362.4 | -369.7 | |
Operating Profit | 275.4 | 256.5 | 308.0 | 306.8 | 316.3 | |
Other Gains / (Losses) | 42.7 | 32.9 | 42.3 | 47.6 | 45.0 | |
Finance Costs | -4.8 | -11.5 | -27.1 | -27.1 | -27.1 | |
Pre-tax Profit | 332.4 | 275.1 | 323.2 | 327.3 | 334.2 | 0.1% |
Income Tax | -85.9 | -60.2 | -77.6 | -78.6 | -80.2 | |
Effective Tax Rate (%) | -26% | -22% | -24% | -24% | -24% | |
Minorities | -1.6 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Net Profit | 244.3 | 214.1 | 245.7 | 248.8 | 254.0 | 0.8% |
Growth
2024A | 2025A | 2026F | 2027F | 2027F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | 20.8 | -11.7 | 16.2 | 0.6 | 2.7 |
Operating Profit (%) | 27.5 | -3.0 | 9.7 | 0.9 | 2.5 |
Net Profit (%) | 17.9 | -12.4 | 14.7 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
BALANCE SHEET DATA
FYE Mar (RM m) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026F | 2027F | 2027F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Property, Plant & Equipment | 1,336.5 | 1,341.4 | 1,369.6 | 1,398.6 | 1,428.3 |
Land Held for Property Development | 639.6 | 1,245.7 | 1,239.5 | 1,233.3 | 1,227.1 |
Cash and Cash Equivalents | 335.4 | 175.8 | 213.7 | 251.9 | 357.2 |
Receivables | 335.4 | 175.8 | 213.7 | 251.9 | 357.2 |
Other Assets | 431.9 | 401.6 | 401.6 | 401.6 | 401.6 |
Total Assets | 2,743.4 | 3,164.5 | 3,224.5 | 3,285.5 | 3,414.3 |
Payables | 446.6 | 416.0 | 419.9 | 423.9 | 427.9 |
Borrowings | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Provisions | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Other Liabilities | 175.3 | 535.1 | 567.9 | 567.9 | 569.9 |
Total Liabilities | 626.6 | 953.0 | 989.8 | 993.7 | 999.7 |
Shareholders’ Equity | 2,116.8 | 2,211.5 | 2,234.7 | 2,291.8 | 2,414.6 |
Total Equity and Liabilities | 2,743.4 | 3,164.5 | 3,224.5 | 3,285.5 | 3,414.3 |
PER SHARE DATA & RATIOS
FYE Mar (RM m) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026F | 2027F | 2027F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Book Value Per Share | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
NTA Per Share | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
EPS (Sen) | 13.0 | 11.4 | 13.1 | 13.3 | 13.5 |
DPS (Sen) | 10.0 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.8 |
Payout Ratio (%) | 76.8 | 54.4 | 50.4 | 50.6 | 50.3 |
ROA (%) | 8.9 | 6.8 | 7.6 | 7.6 | 7.4 |
ROE (%) | 11.5 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 10.5 |
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RATING CLASSIFICATION
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