Sarawak Plantation (SPLB MK) Below Expectations






Sarawak Plantation (SPLB MK) Below Expectations


22 Aug 2025

HOLD (downgrade)

Sarawak Plantation (SPLB MK) Below Expectations

MALAYSIA | PLANTATION | RESULT

  • 6M25 core earnings of RM36.4m came in below our forecast but were within consensus expectations
  • Lower ASPs for CPO and PK offset the increase in production and sales volume, resulting in a 3.8% QoQ decline in 2Q25 core earnings
  • Trim our 2025-27E earnings by 8-20% after lowering the production assumption. Downgrade to HOLD with lower 12-month TP of RM2.64

LAST CLOSE PRICE RM2.67

TARGET PRICE RM2.64

TOTAL RETURN -1.2%

(PREVIOUS TP: RM2.88)

6M25 core net profit of RM36.4m, below expectations

SPLB’s 6M25 revenue increased 3% YoY to RM267m as higher PK and CPO prices offset lower production and sales volume. The improvement in core net profit (excluding fair value gain in biological assets of RM13.1m) was mainly due to lower cost of external FFBs purchased for processing as own FFB production increased by 5.7% to 158k tonnes. Overall, 6M25 core net profit of RM36.4m (+46% YoY) were below our forecasts, but in line with consensus, at 43% of our and 46% of consensus full-year forecasts. The earnings miss was due to weaker-than-expected FFB production, achieving only 42% of our 378k tonnes full-year forecast.

Lower ASP negate the production and sales volume increase

Sequentially, 2Q25 revenue and core net profit fell 3% and 4%, respectively to RM131m and RM18m, as lower ASP for CPO and PK outweighed higher production and sales volume. Including the fair value gain in biological assets of RM9m, headline profit rose 19% QoQ to RM26.9m. EBITDA margin rose 0.9ppts to 27.7% aided by lower external FFB purchases price (-13% QoQ to RM796/MT) and cost savings from reduced mill maintenance, which helped offset the higher FFB external purchase volume (+4.9% QoQ) of 56.8k tonnes.

Downgrade to HOLD with lower TP at RM2.64

We cut our 2025-27E earnings forecast by 8-20% after lowering FFB and CPO output assumptions. 2025E production remained projected to grow 7% YoY to 361k tonnes, supported by seasonally stronger 2H25, mirroring 2024’s 44:56 1H:2H production ratio. The recovery should be underpinned by 1,000ha of newly matured areas and favourable weather conditions. Post earnings revision, we downgrade SPLB to HOLD (from BUY) with a lower 12-month TP of RM2.64 (from RM2.88), based on unchanged 9x P/E on 2026E EPS. Key risks include production volatility, palm product price swings, cost inflation, and regulatory uncertainties.

Key Financials

Y/E Dec 2023 2024 2025E 2026E 2027E
Revenue (RMm) 570.7 551.4 586.5 608.4 626.5
EBITDA (RMm) 129.8 142.2 138.6 145.6 141.6
Pretax profit (RMm) 87.4 124.4 102.7 108.7 103.7
Net profit (RMm) 64.4 92.0 77.5 81.8 78.1
EPS (sen) 23.1 33.0 27.8 29.3 28.0
PER (x) 11.6 8.1 9.6 9.1 9.5
Core net profit (RMm) 68.8 73.9 77.5 81.8 78.1
Core EPS (sen) 24.7 26.5 27.8 29.3 28.0
Core EPS growth (%) (33.5) 7.4 4.9 5.5 (4.5)
Core PER (x) 10.8 10.1 9.6 9.1 9.5
Net DPS (sen) 10.0 20.0 10.0 10.0 10.0
Dividend Yield (%) 3.7 7.5 3.7 3.7 3.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 4.9 4.8 5.0 4.6 4.8
Chg in EPS (%) (8.4) (8.3) (20.4)
Phillip/Consensus (%) 1.0 1.1 1.1

Sources: Company, Bloomberg, Phillip Research forecasts

COMPANY DATA

BLOOMBERG TICKER SPLB MK EQUITY
O/S SHARES (MN) : 279
MARKET CAP (USD mn / RM mn) : 176 / 745
52 – WK HI/LO (RM) : 2.7 / 2.11
3M Average Daily T/O (mn): 0.04
NET CASH/(DEBT) (RMm) 64.07

MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)

Ta Ann Holdings Bhd 28.7%
STATE FINANCIAL SECR 25.5%
AMANAH KHAIRAT YAYAS 4.2%

PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)

1MTH 3MTH YTD
COMPANY 5.6 10.0 12.3
FBMKLCI RETURN 4.1 2.8 (1.1)

PRICE VS. FBMKLCI

Source: Bloomberg

Noorhayati Maamor
noorhayati.maamor@phillipcapital.com.my

SARAWAK PLANTATION RESULT

Results at a glance

Y/E Dec (RMm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ % chg YoY % chg 6M24 6M25 YoY % chg Comment
Revenue 131.5 135.5 131.0 (3.3) (0.4) 258.8 266.5 3.0 Higher CPO and PK prices offset lower sales volume for both, CPO and PK
Cost of sales (97.3) (97.6) (93.5) (4.2) (4.0) (199.8) (191.0) (4.4)
EBITDA 34.5 36.2 36.2 0.0 5.1 59.0 72.5 22.7
EBITDA margin (%) 26.2 26.7 27.7 0.9 ppt 1.4 ppt 22.8 27.2 19.2 Lower FFB purchase volume and mill maintenance costs
Depn and amort (4.5) (4.4) (4.3) (2.4) (4.0) (9.0) (8.8) (2.9)
EBIT 24.1 25.4 25.9 2.1 7.6 38.2 51.3 34.4
EBIT margin (%) 18.3 18.7 19.8 1.1 ppt 1.5 ppt 14.7 19.2 30.5
Interest expense (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (4.7) 83.1 (0.1) (0.3) 97.9
Int and other inc 1.5 1.7 2.0 17.3 29.6 2.9 3.7 25.3
Associates
EI 8.9 4.1 9.0 121.5 0.9 19.9 13.1 (34.2)
Pretax profit 34.5 31.0 36.8 18.6 6.7 60.8 67.7 11.4
Core PBT 25.5 26.9 27.7 3.1 8.7 40.9 54.7 33.5 In line with higher ASP and better results of estates operation
Taxation (8.5) (8.1) (9.5) 17.9 11.8 (15.6) (17.6) 13.0
Tax rate (%) 24.8 26.1 26.0 (0.2 ppt) 1.2 ppt 25.7 26.0 0.4 ppt
MI (0.2) (0.3) (0.3) 29.4 52.7 (0.4) (0.6) 42.4
Net profit 25.7 22.6 26.9 18.8 4.6 44.8 49.5 10.6
EPS (sen) 9.2 8.1 9.6 18.8 4.6 16.0 17.7 10.6
Core net profit 16.8 18.6 17.9 (3.8) 6.5 24.9 36.4 46.2 Below expectations

Sources: Company, Phillip Research

Table 1: Operational Performance

Y/E Dec 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ % chg YoY % chg 6M24 6M25 YoY % chg
FFB Production (MT) 80,267 73,940 84,510 14.3 5.3 149,938 158,450 5.7
CPO Production (MT) 26,962 22,106 24,495 10.8 (9.1) 53,566 46,601 (13.0)
CPO Sales Vol (MT) 26,634 22,328 24,520 9.8 (7.9) 53,529 46,848 (12.5)
PK Production (MT) 5,911 4,796 5,311 10.7 (10.2) 11,695 10,107 (13.6)
PK Sales Volume (MT) 5,703 4,700 5,289 12.5 (7.3) 11,631 9,989 (14.1)
ASP – CPO [RM/MT] 4,007 4,728 4,039 (14.6) 0.8 3,952 4,368 10.5
ASP – PK [RM/MT] 2,253 3,451 3,175 (8.0) 40.9 2,156 3,305 53.3
Total

Source: Company, Phillip Research

SARAWAK PLANTATION RESULT

Contact Information (Regional Member Companies)

SINGAPORE

Phillip Securities Pte Ltd

Raffles City Tower
250, North Bridge Road #06-00
Singapore 179101

Tel +65 6533 6001
Fax +65 6535 6631

Website: www.poems.com.sg

MALAYSIA

Phillip Capital Sdn Bhd

B-18-6 Block B Level 18 Unit 6 Megan Avenue II,
No.12, Jalan Yap Kwan Seng, 50450 Kuala Lumpur

Tel +603 2783 0300
Fax +603 2166 5099

Website: www.phillip.com.my

HONG KONG

Phillip Securities (HK) Ltd

11/F United Centre 95 Queensway
Hong Kong

Tel +852 2277 6600
Fax +852 2868 5307

Websites: www.phillip.com.hk

JAPAN

Phillip Securities Japan, Ltd.

4-2 Nihonbashi Kabuto-cho Chuo-ku,
Tokyo 103-0026

Tel +81-3 3666 2101
Fax +81-3 3666 6090

Website: www.phillip.co.jp

INDONESIA

PT Phillip Securities Indonesia

ANZ Tower Level 23B,
Jl Jend Sudirman Kav 33A
Jakarta 10220 – Indonesia

Tel +62-21 5790 0800
Fax +62-21 5790 0809

Website: www.phillip.co.id

CHINA

Phillip Financial Advisory (Shanghai) Co Ltd

No 550 Yan An East Road,
Ocean Tower Unit 2318,
Postal code 200001

Tel +86-21 5169 9200
Fax +86-21 6351 2940

Website: www.phillip.com.cn

THAILAND

Phillip Securities (Thailand) Public Co. Ltd

15th Floor, Vorawat Building,
849 Silom Road, Silom, Bangrak,
Bangkok 10500 Thailand

Tel +66-2 6351700/22680999
Fax +66-2 22680921

Website www.phillip.co.th

FRANCE

King & Shaxson Capital Limited

3rd Floor, 35 Rue de la Bienfaisance 75008
Paris France

Tel +33-1 45633100
Fax +33-1 45636017

Website: www.kingandshaxson.com

UNITED KINGDOM

King & Shaxson Capital Limited

6th Floor, Candlewick House,
120 Cannon Street,
London, EC4N 6AS

Tel +44-20 7426 5950
Fax +44-20 7626 1757

Website: www.kingandshaxson.com

UNITED STATES

Phillip Capital Inc

141 W Jackson Blvd Ste 3050
The Chicago Board of Trade Building
Chicago, IL 60604 USA

Tel +1-312 356 9000
Fax +1-312 356 9005

Website: www.phillipusa.com

AUSTRALIA

Phillip Capital Limited

Level 10, 330 Collins Street
Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia

Tel +61-03 8633 9803
Fax +61-03 8633 9899

Website: www.phillipcapital.com.au

CAMBODIA

Phillip Bank Plc

Ground Floor of B-Office Centre,#61-64,
Norodom Blvd Corner Street 306, Sangkat
Boeung Keng Kang 1, Khan Chamkamorn,
Phnom Penh, Cambodia

Tel: 855 (0) 7796 6151/855 (0) 1620 0769

Website: www.phillipbank.com.kh

INDIA

PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited

No.1, 18th Floor, Urmi Estate
95, Ganpatrao Kadam Marg
Lower Parel West, Mumbai 400-013
Maharashtra, India

Tel:+91-22-2300 2999/Fax:+91-22-2300 2969

Website: www.phillipcapital.in

TURKEY

PhillipCapital Menkul Degerler

Dr. Cemil Bengü Cad. Hak Is Merkezi
No. 2 Kat. 6A Caglayan
34403 Istanbul, Turkey

Tel: 0212 296 84 84
Fax: 0212 233 69 29

Website: www.phillipcapital.com.tr

DUBAI

Phillip Futures DMCC

Member of the Dubai Gold and
Commodities Exchange (DGCX)
Unit No 601, Plot No 58, White Crown Bldg,
Sheikh Zayed Road, P.O.Box 212291
Dubai-UAE

Tel: +971-4-3325052 / Fax: + 971-4-3328895

Contact Information (Phillip Malaysia Investor Centres)

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Alor Setar (Kedah)

Lot T-30 2nd Floor,
Wisma PKNK, Jalan Sultan Badlisha,
05000 Alor Setar, Kedah

Tel: +604 731 7088 / Fax: 604 731 8428

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Johor Bahru (Johor)

15-01A, Jalan Molek 1/29,
Taman Molek, 81100 Johor Bahru,
Johor Darul Takzim, Malaysia

Tel: +607 352 1808 / Fax: 607 352 4808

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Skudai (Johor)

9A, Jalan Sutera Tanjung 8/2,
Taman Sutera Utama,
81300 Skudai, Johor, Malaysia.

Tel: +607 557 2188 / Fax: 607 557 8788

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Kluang (Johor)

No. 73, 1st Floor,
Jalan Rambutan, 86000 Kluang.

Tel: +607 771 7922 / Fax: 607 771 7909

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Kota Damansara (Petaling Jaya)

12A, Jalan PJU 5/8,
Dataran Sunway, Kota Damansara,
47810 Petaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia.

Tel: +603 9212 2818 / Fax: 603 6140 7133

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Kota Kinabalu (Sabah)

Lot No. G-4, Ground Floor,
Menara MAA, No 6, Lorong Api-Api 1,
88000 Kota Kinabalu, Sabah.

Tel: +6088 335 346 / Fax: –

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Kuantan (Pahang)

1st Floor, B400,
Jalan Beserah, 25300 Kuantan.

Tel: +609 566 0800 / Fax: 609 566 0801

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Melaka

No. 542A, Jalan Merdeka,
Taman Melaka Raya,
75000 Melaka, Malaysia

Tel: +606 292 0018 / Fax: 606 292 4511

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Penang

No. 29A Ground Floor Suite 2, Beach Street,
10300 Penang, Malaysia.

Tel: +604 202 0039 / Fax: 607 261 3822

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Kuching (Sarawak)

Lot 2650 1st Floor, Suite A, Block 10 KCLD
Central Park Commercial Centre,
3rd Mile, Jalan Rock, 93200, Kuching,
Sarawak, Malaysia.

Tel: +6082 247 633 / Fax: 6082 245 644

Website: www.phillip.com.my

MALAYSIA

Phillip Investor Centre – Sibu (Sarawak)

No. 6B Jalan Bako,
96000 Sibu, Sarawak.

Tel: +6084 377 933 / Fax: –

Website: www.phillip.com.my

SARAWAK PLANTATION RESULT

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SARAWAK PLANTATION RESULT

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