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Solarvest (SOLAR MK)
Steady start to FY26
MALAYSIA | RENEWABLES | RESULT
- 1QFY25 core net profit surged 115% YoY to RM17m on the back of better progress billings from Corporate Green Power Programme (CGPP) projects- in line with expectations
- We anticipate stronger sequential earnings momentum driven by accelerated billing of CGPP projects, with the majority expected to be recognise in 2HFY26
- Maintain BUY rating with an unchanged SOP-derived target price of RM3.05
BUY (maintain)
LAST CLOSE PRICE RM2.37
TARGET PRICE RM3.05
TOTAL RETURN 28.7%
COMPANY DATA
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS (%)
ATLANTIC BLUE 19.5%
Lim Chin Siu 7.0%
Tan Chyi Boon 6.5%
PRICE PERFORMANCE (%)
COMPANY | 1MTH | 3MTH | YTD |
---|---|---|---|
COMPANY | (5.6) | 40.9 | 42.6 |
FBMKLCI RETURN | 4.3 | 2.4 | (1.0) |
PRICE VS. FBMKLCI
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SOLAR MK EQUITY – FBMKLCI Index
Source: Bloomberg
thong.keijun@phillipcapital.com.my
Within expectations
1QFY26 revenue and core net profit rose 90% and 115% YoY, respectively, driven by higher EPCC revenue supported by quicker progress billings of CGPP projects. However, EBITDA margin declined 0.9ppts to 21.6% due to a higher revenue mix from the EPCC segment. Overall, the results were in line with expectations, accounting for 23% of our and 24% of consensus expectations, in anticipation of stronger 2HFY26 earnings.
Sequential decline due to the timing of recognition
1QFY26 revenue declined 39% QoQ to RM138m, attributable to weaker EPCC revenue (-38%) partly mitigated by stronger O&M (+19%) and solar assets (+6%) segments. The sequential weakness in EPCC revenue was mainly attributed to the timing of recognition for CGPP projects, which we expect to accelerate in subsequent quarters. CGPP projects currently account for 35% of its total RM1.2bn outstanding order book. EBITDA margin improved 6.4ppts to 21.6% mainly due to lower EPCC revenue mix, which is lower-margin compared to O&M and solar assets segments. Management remains committed to achieving its RM2bn internal order book target in FY26 through the rollout of more LSS5 EPCC projects once asset owners secure the necessary project financing. While the upcoming rollout of LSS5+, LSS6, and BESS projects is expected to underpin replenishment opportunities across FY27-28E.
Maintain BUY with TP at RM3.05
We make no changes to our earnings forecast in view of the satisfactory results. We reiterate our BUY rating with an unchanged SOP-derived target price of RM3.05. We continue to like Solarvest for its leading position in the solar renewable energy sector and for being a key beneficiary of the nation’s energy transition goals. Key downside risks include government RE policy changes, project execution delays, intense market competition, and volatility in solar module prices.
Key Financials
Y/E Mar | FY24 | FY25 | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (RMm) | 497.0 | 536.8 | 930.7 | 1,051.5 | 1,148.6 |
EBITDA (RMm) | 62.7 | 98.1 | 127.4 | 145.3 | 157.7 |
Pretax profit (RMm) | 47.2 | 74.2 | 105.3 | 124.4 | 133.4 |
Net profit (RMm) | 32.6 | 51.9 | 76.1 | 89.0 | 95.0 |
EPS (sen) | 4.4 | 7.0 | 10.3 | 12.0 | 12.8 |
PER (x) | 54.4 | 34.2 | 23.4 | 20.0 | 18.7 |
Core net profit (RMm) | 34.2 | 56.4 | 76.1 | 89.0 | 95.0 |
Core EPS (sen) | 4.6 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 12.0 | 12.8 |
Core EPS growth (%) | 27.0 | 65.2 | 34.8 | 17.0 | 6.8 |
Core PER (x) | 52.0 | 31.5 | 23.4 | 20.0 | 18.7 |
Net DPS (sen) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 29.6 | 20.2 | 14.4 | 12.7 | 11.5 |
Chg in EPS (%)
Phillip/Consensus (%) 1.1 1.1 1.1
Sources: Company, Bloomberg, Phillip Research forecasts
SOLARVEST RESULT
Results at a glance
Y/E Mar (RMm) | 1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | 1QFY26 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 72.7 | 224.9 | 137.7 | (38.7) | 89.6 | Higher YoY attributed to EPCC revenue from CGPP projects |
Op costs | (56.3) | (190.7) | (108.0) | (43.4) | 91.8 | |
EBITDA | 16.4 | 34.2 | 29.7 | (12.9) | 81.8 | |
EBITDA margin (%) | 22.5 | 15.2 | 21.6 | 6.4 ppt | (0.9 ppt) | Lower YoY due to higher revenue mix from EPCC segment |
Depreciation | (2.9) | (3.5) | (3.6) | 2.9 | 25.2 | |
EBIT | 13.5 | 30.7 | 26.2 | (14.7) | 93.8 | |
EBIT margin (%) | 18.6 | 13.6 | 19.0 | 5.3 ppt | 0.4 ppt | |
Int expense | (2.5) | (4.3) | (4.0) | (6.5) | 62.3 | Higher YoY due to borrowings for CGPP assets |
Int and other inc | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | (65.9) | 23.0 | |
Associates | (0.0) | 2.6 | 0.7 | (65.9) | >100 | |
EI | (0.1) | (2.6) | (1.3) | n.m | n.m | RM1.3m unrealised forex loss |
Pretax profit | 11.3 | 27.9 | 22.1 | (21.0) | 95.9 | |
Core pretax profit | 11.4 | 30.6 | 23.3 | (23.7) | 104.6 | |
Tax | (2.9) | (7.8) | (5.8) | (25.0) | 99.5 | |
Tax rate (%) | 25.9 | 27.8 | 26.4 | (1.4 ppt) | 0.5 ppt | |
MI | (0.5) | 0.4 | (0.4) | n.m | n.m | |
Net profit | 7.8 | 20.5 | 15.9 | (22.7) | 102.5 | |
EPS (sen) | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | (22.7) | 102.5 | |
Core net profit | 8.0 | 23.2 | 17.1 | (26.0) | 114.9 | In line with expectations |
Sources: Company, Phillip Research
Segmental Revenue Breakdown
Y/E Mar (RMm) | 1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | 1QFY26 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPCC | 59.9 | 199.5 | 124.7 | (37.5) | 108.0 |
O&M | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 18.9 | 77.9 |
Solar assets | 6.6 | 7.2 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 16.5 |
Others | 4.6 | 15.8 | 2.6 | (83.4) | (42.7) |
Total | 72.7 | 224.9 | 137.7 | (38.7) | 89.6 |
Segmental PBT Breakdown
Y/E Mar (RMm) | 1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | 1QFY26 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPCC | 8.5 | 24.1 | 19.5 | (18.9) | 129.7 |
O&M | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 282.6 | 78.4 |
Solar assets | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 90.6 | 31.3 |
Others | 0.1 | 2.5 | (0.9) | (135.0) | >100 |
Elimination | (0.1) | (0.5) | (0.5) | n.m | n.m |
Total | 11.3 | 27.9 | 22.1 | (21.0) | 95.9 |
Segmental PBT margin
Y/E Mar (RMm) | 1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | 1QFY26 | QoQ % chg | YoY % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPCC | 14.2 | 12.1 | 15.7 | 3.6 ppt | 1.5 ppt |
O&M | 31.9 | 9.9 | 32.0 | 22.0 ppt | 0.1 ppt |
Solar assets | 35.2 | 22.1 | 39.7 | 17.7 ppt | 4.5 ppt |
Others | 1.5 | 15.8 | (33.3) | n.m | n.m |
Total | 15.5 | 12.4 | 16.0 | 3.6 ppt | 0.5 ppt |
Sources: Company, Phillip Research
SOLARVEST RESULT
Table 1: Sum of Parts (SOP) Valuation
SOP Component | Value (RMm) | PE (x) | SOP Value (RMm) |
---|---|---|---|
FY27E solar EPCC profit | 72 | 30 | 2,164 |
Solar assets (WACC 5.5%) | 476 | 476 | |
Others | 8.8 | 8 | 73 |
Net cash/(debt) including warrant conversion proceed | (64) | ||
SOP Value | 2,649 | ||
Fully-diluted no. of shares (m) | 868 | ||
Fully-diluted SOP/share (RM) | 3.05 |
Source: Phillip Research forecasts
SOLARVEST RESULT
Contact Information (Regional Member Companies)
SINGAPORE
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SOLARVEST RESULT
Contact Information (Phillip Malaysia Investor Centres)
MALAYSIA
Phillip Investor Centre – Alor Setar (Kedah)
Lot T-30 2nd Floor,
Wisma PKNK, Jalan Sultan Badlisha,
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MALAYSIA
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MALAYSIA
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SOLARVEST RESULT
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SOLARVEST RESULT
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