Gamuda (GAM MK)Just Keeps Getting Greener And Greener; BUY






Gamuda (GAM MK) Just Keeps Getting Greener And Greener; BUY


21 August 2025

Construction & Engineering | Construction

Gamuda (GAM MK)
Just Keeps Getting Greener And Greener; BUY

Buy (Maintained)

Target Price (Return): MYR6.52 (+16%)

Price (Market Cap): MYR5.62 (USD7,713m)

ESG score: 3.4 (out of 4)

Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD): 96.4m/22.5m

Analyst

Adam Bin Mohamed Rahim

+603 2302 8101

adam.mohamed.rahim@rhbgroup.com

Share Performance (%)

YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m
Absolute 18.6 5.4 24.3 22.2 51.9
Relative 21.8 1.2 21.6 21.4 55.1
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) 3.59-5.70

Source: Bloomberg

Forecasts and Valuation

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Total turnover (MYRm) 8,268 13,347 15,099 17,723 20,482
Recurring net profit (MYRm) 860 912 976 1,405 1,579
Recurring net profit growth (%) 6.7 6.0 7.0 43.9 12.4
Recurring P/E (x) 37.16 35.04 33.22 23.08 20.53
P/B (x) 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.4
P/CF (x) 78.92 210.43 na 53.81 31.05
Dividend Yield (%) 4.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8
EV/EBITDA (x) 33.07 31.36 24.23 18.12 16.58
Return on average equity (%) 7.9 8.2 8.4 11.5 12.1

Source: Company data, RHB

Overall ESG Score: 3.4 (out of 4)

E Score: 3.4 (EXCELLENT)

S Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)

G Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)

Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page

Emissions And ESG

Trend analysis

In FY24, GAM’s total emissions increased to 466,529 tCO2e (FY23: 158,150 tCO2e), in tandem with it having more ongoing jobs.

Emissions (tCO2e)

Jul-22 Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25
Scope 1 8,428 7,245 31,224 na
Scope 2 18,147 20,897 36,699 na
Scope 3 5,709 130,008 398,606 na
Total emissions 32,284 158,150 466,529 na

Source: Company data, RHB

Latest ESG-Related Developments

Expansion of its emissions traceability: In FY23, GAM began collecting its Scope 3 emissions data from suppliers and disclosing data from eight out of the 15 emission categories according to the GHG Protocol, in addition to implementing carbon traceability using cloud-based ESG software.

ESG Unbundled

Overall ESG Score: 3.4 (out of 4)

Last Updated: 27 Feb 2025

E Score: 3.4 (EXCELLENT)
GAM is actively conducting various simulations, projections, and baseline studies on its greenhouse gas emissions. It continues to fine-tune its measurements and monitors processes to capture more scientific information, including its Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions. Gamuda Park is the umbrella programme encompassing its efforts in biodiversity and nature conservation.

S Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
GAM is leading the construction industry standard with the establishment of the KVMRT Safety Training Centre. It is the first Malaysia-based subcontractor to win the Lendlease Safety Award for acing the global minimum requirement.

G Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
57% of GAM’s board are independent directors, with full disclosures on remunerations. This includes salaries and bonuses on a named basis. The company has an in-house investor relations team and holds regular investor meetings, embodying good transparency and disclosure practices.

ESG Rating History

Source: RHB

Financial Exhibits

Asia

Malaysia
Construction & Engineering
Gamuda
GAM MK Buy

Valuation basis

We value the group based on its SOP, derived from a combination of P/E, DCF, and RNAV valuation methodologies.

Key drivers

GAM’s earnings are underpinned by construction orders and property sales.

Key risks

Slower-than-expected orderbook replenishment.

Company Profile

Gamuda is an investment holding and civil engineering construction company. Through its subsidiaries, it provides earthwork construction, manufactures and supplies road surfacing materials, and operates a quarry and road-laying projects.

Financial summary (MYR)

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Recurring EPS 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.24 0.27
DPS 0.25 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.10
BVPS 1.90 2.00 2.04 2.18 2.36
Return on average equity (%) 7.9 8.2 8.4 11.5 12.1

Valuation metrics

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Recurring P/E (x) 37.16 35.04 33.22 23.08 20.53
P/B (x) 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.4
FCF Yield (%) (1.2) (3.1) (1.9) 0.9 2.3
Dividend Yield (%) 4.4 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8
EV/EBITDA (x) 33.07 31.36 24.23 18.12 16.58
EV/EBIT (x) 37.48 36.76 28.32 20.45 18.68

Income statement (MYRm)

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Total turnover 8,268 13,347 15,099 17,723 20,482
Gross profit 1,697 1,840 2,437 3,323 4,062
EBITDA 1,023 1,109 1,468 1,952 2,088
Depreciation and amortisation (120) (163) (212) (223) (235)
Operating profit 903 946 1,256 1,730 1,854
Net interest (78) (173) (216) (245) (247)
Pre-tax profit 1,058 1,098 1,312 1,836 2,026
Taxation (221) (155) (302) (404) (426)
Reported net profit 815 912 976 1,405 1,579
Recurring net profit 860 912 976 1,405 1,579

Cash flow (MYRm)

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Change in working capital (166) (262) (1,293) (692) (299)
Cash flow from operations 405 152 (332) 603 1,044
Capex (793) (1,132) (300) (300) (299)
Cash flow from investing activities (233) (1,262) (201) (202) (202)
Dividends paid (1,443) (101) (577) (577) (577)
Cash flow from financing activities 771 910 (192) (320) (671)
Cash at beginning of period 2,794 3,169 2,699 2,331 2,339
Net change in cash 943 (200) (725) 81 171
Ending balance cash 3,717 2,970 1,974 2,413 2,512

Balance sheet (MYRm)

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Total cash and equivalents 3,169 2,699 2,331 2,339 2,846
Tangible fixed assets 5,322 5,444 4,829 4,734 4,629
Total investments 2,021 2,460 2,732 3,080 3,500
Total assets 23,867 26,521 28,939 30,849 33,074
Short-term debt 1,410 1,003 1,103 1,153 1,203
Total long-term debt 5,514 6,803 6,903 7,003 7,103
Total liabilities 12,941 15,000 16,984 18,039 19,240
Total equity 10,927 11,521 11,954 12,810 13,833
Total liabilities & equity 23,867 26,521 28,939 30,849 33,074

Key metrics

Jul-23 Jul-24 Jul-25F Jul-26F Jul-27F
Revenue growth (%) 60.7 61.4 13.1 17.4 15.6
Recurrent EPS growth (%) 6.7 6.0 5.5 43.9 12.4
Gross margin (%) 20.5 13.8 16.1 18.7 19.8
Operating EBITDA margin (%) 12.4 8.3 9.7 11.0 10.2
Net profit margin (%) 9.9 6.8 6.5 7.9 7.7
Dividend payout ratio (%) 174.5 49.9 59.1 41.1 36.5
Capex/sales (%) 9.6 8.5 2.0 1.7 1.5

Source: Company data, RHB

Figure 6: GAM’s SOP valuation

Construction:

FY26F PATMI (MYRm) Target P/E (x) Total (MYRm)
Value for overseas construction (bulk from Australia) 594.0 25.5 15,147
Value for Malaysia construction 428.0 26.0 11,128

Concessions:

DCF (MYRm) Stake (%)
Gamuda Water (O&M concession for SSP 3) 545 80 436

Property:

Remaining area (acres) WACC (%) Remaining GDV (MYRm) Ownership (%) NPV of profit (MYRm)
Malaysia 1,844 8 37,894 various 2,959.0
Overseas 232 8 13,475 various 425.0
QTP: 63
Artisan Park na 8 280 various 125.0
Elysian na 8 700 various 146.0
Eaton Park 6 8 4,220 various 698.8
Others (including Springville and The Meadow and others in London and Melbourne) >50 8 5,820 various 2,882.4
Sub Total – NPV of future profit 7,236.2
Property development BV 7,345.6
RNAV of property development 14,581.8
– 35% discount -5,103.6
Value for property unit 9,478.2
Carrying value (MYRm) Stake (%)
Investment properties 691.5 100 692.0
Equity Value (MYRm) Stake (%)
ERS Energy 667.0 30 200.0
Ulu Padas Hydroelectric project 2,713.5 45 1221.1
North Perak Water Supply Scheme 1,914.4 50 957.2
Holding company’s net cash/ (debt) (4,445.5)
SOP value 34,814.0
Intrinsic value per share 6.03
8% ESG premium 0.49
TP 6.52

Source: RHB, Company data

Recommendation Chart

Source: RHB, Bloomberg

Recommendation Table

Date Recommendation Target Price Price
2025-08-13 Buy 6.5 5.6
2025-07-17 Buy 5.9 5.2
2025-07-01 Buy 5.9 5.0
2025-06-30 Buy 5.6 4.8
2025-06-27 Buy 5.6 4.7
2025-06-24 Buy 5.6 4.7
2025-06-17 Buy 5.6 4.8
2025-05-18 Buy 5.8 4.6
2025-05-05 Buy 5.8 4.4
2025-04-17 Buy 5.8 3.9
2025-03-27 Buy 5.8 4.3
2025-03-24 Buy 5.8 3.9
2025-02-06 Buy 5.8 4.5
2025-01-26 Buy 5.8 4.2
2025-01-20 Buy 5.8 4.3

Source: RHB, Bloomberg

RHB Guide to Investment Ratings

Buy: Share Price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months

Trading Buy: Share Price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain

Neutral: Share Price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months

Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels

Sell: Share Price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months

Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage

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