21 August 2025
Construction & Engineering | Construction
Gamuda (GAM MK)
Just Keeps Getting Greener And Greener; BUY
Buy (Maintained)
Target Price (Return): MYR6.52 (+16%)
Price (Market Cap): MYR5.62 (USD7,713m)
ESG score: 3.4 (out of 4)
Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD): 96.4m/22.5m
Analyst
Adam Bin Mohamed Rahim
+603 2302 8101
adam.mohamed.rahim@rhbgroup.com
Share Performance (%)
YTD | 1m | 3m | 6m | 12m | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Absolute | 18.6 | 5.4 | 24.3 | 22.2 | 51.9 |
Relative | 21.8 | 1.2 | 21.6 | 21.4 | 55.1 |
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) | 3.59-5.70 |
Source: Bloomberg
Forecasts and Valuation
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover (MYRm) | 8,268 | 13,347 | 15,099 | 17,723 | 20,482 |
Recurring net profit (MYRm) | 860 | 912 | 976 | 1,405 | 1,579 |
Recurring net profit growth (%) | 6.7 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 43.9 | 12.4 |
Recurring P/E (x) | 37.16 | 35.04 | 33.22 | 23.08 | 20.53 |
P/B (x) | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
P/CF (x) | 78.92 | 210.43 | na | 53.81 | 31.05 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 33.07 | 31.36 | 24.23 | 18.12 | 16.58 |
Return on average equity (%) | 7.9 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 11.5 | 12.1 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Overall ESG Score: 3.4 (out of 4)
E Score: 3.4 (EXCELLENT)
S Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
G Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page
Emissions And ESG
Trend analysis
In FY24, GAM’s total emissions increased to 466,529 tCO2e (FY23: 158,150 tCO2e), in tandem with it having more ongoing jobs.
Emissions (tCO2e)
Jul-22 | Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Scope 1 | 8,428 | 7,245 | 31,224 | na |
Scope 2 | 18,147 | 20,897 | 36,699 | na |
Scope 3 | 5,709 | 130,008 | 398,606 | na |
Total emissions | 32,284 | 158,150 | 466,529 | na |
Source: Company data, RHB
Latest ESG-Related Developments
Expansion of its emissions traceability: In FY23, GAM began collecting its Scope 3 emissions data from suppliers and disclosing data from eight out of the 15 emission categories according to the GHG Protocol, in addition to implementing carbon traceability using cloud-based ESG software.
ESG Unbundled
Overall ESG Score: 3.4 (out of 4)
Last Updated: 27 Feb 2025
E Score: 3.4 (EXCELLENT)
GAM is actively conducting various simulations, projections, and baseline studies on its greenhouse gas emissions. It continues to fine-tune its measurements and monitors processes to capture more scientific information, including its Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions. Gamuda Park is the umbrella programme encompassing its efforts in biodiversity and nature conservation.
S Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
GAM is leading the construction industry standard with the establishment of the KVMRT Safety Training Centre. It is the first Malaysia-based subcontractor to win the Lendlease Safety Award for acing the global minimum requirement.
G Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
57% of GAM’s board are independent directors, with full disclosures on remunerations. This includes salaries and bonuses on a named basis. The company has an in-house investor relations team and holds regular investor meetings, embodying good transparency and disclosure practices.
ESG Rating History
Source: RHB
Financial Exhibits
Asia
Malaysia | |
Construction & Engineering | |
Gamuda | |
GAM MK | Buy |
Valuation basis
We value the group based on its SOP, derived from a combination of P/E, DCF, and RNAV valuation methodologies.
Key drivers
GAM’s earnings are underpinned by construction orders and property sales.
Key risks
Slower-than-expected orderbook replenishment.
Company Profile
Gamuda is an investment holding and civil engineering construction company. Through its subsidiaries, it provides earthwork construction, manufactures and supplies road surfacing materials, and operates a quarry and road-laying projects.
Financial summary (MYR)
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring EPS | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.27 |
DPS | 0.25 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
BVPS | 1.90 | 2.00 | 2.04 | 2.18 | 2.36 |
Return on average equity (%) | 7.9 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 11.5 | 12.1 |
Valuation metrics
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring P/E (x) | 37.16 | 35.04 | 33.22 | 23.08 | 20.53 |
P/B (x) | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
FCF Yield (%) | (1.2) | (3.1) | (1.9) | 0.9 | 2.3 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 33.07 | 31.36 | 24.23 | 18.12 | 16.58 |
EV/EBIT (x) | 37.48 | 36.76 | 28.32 | 20.45 | 18.68 |
Income statement (MYRm)
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover | 8,268 | 13,347 | 15,099 | 17,723 | 20,482 |
Gross profit | 1,697 | 1,840 | 2,437 | 3,323 | 4,062 |
EBITDA | 1,023 | 1,109 | 1,468 | 1,952 | 2,088 |
Depreciation and amortisation | (120) | (163) | (212) | (223) | (235) |
Operating profit | 903 | 946 | 1,256 | 1,730 | 1,854 |
Net interest | (78) | (173) | (216) | (245) | (247) |
Pre-tax profit | 1,058 | 1,098 | 1,312 | 1,836 | 2,026 |
Taxation | (221) | (155) | (302) | (404) | (426) |
Reported net profit | 815 | 912 | 976 | 1,405 | 1,579 |
Recurring net profit | 860 | 912 | 976 | 1,405 | 1,579 |
Cash flow (MYRm)
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change in working capital | (166) | (262) | (1,293) | (692) | (299) |
Cash flow from operations | 405 | 152 | (332) | 603 | 1,044 |
Capex | (793) | (1,132) | (300) | (300) | (299) |
Cash flow from investing activities | (233) | (1,262) | (201) | (202) | (202) |
Dividends paid | (1,443) | (101) | (577) | (577) | (577) |
Cash flow from financing activities | 771 | 910 | (192) | (320) | (671) |
Cash at beginning of period | 2,794 | 3,169 | 2,699 | 2,331 | 2,339 |
Net change in cash | 943 | (200) | (725) | 81 | 171 |
Ending balance cash | 3,717 | 2,970 | 1,974 | 2,413 | 2,512 |
Balance sheet (MYRm)
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total cash and equivalents | 3,169 | 2,699 | 2,331 | 2,339 | 2,846 |
Tangible fixed assets | 5,322 | 5,444 | 4,829 | 4,734 | 4,629 |
Total investments | 2,021 | 2,460 | 2,732 | 3,080 | 3,500 |
Total assets | 23,867 | 26,521 | 28,939 | 30,849 | 33,074 |
Short-term debt | 1,410 | 1,003 | 1,103 | 1,153 | 1,203 |
Total long-term debt | 5,514 | 6,803 | 6,903 | 7,003 | 7,103 |
Total liabilities | 12,941 | 15,000 | 16,984 | 18,039 | 19,240 |
Total equity | 10,927 | 11,521 | 11,954 | 12,810 | 13,833 |
Total liabilities & equity | 23,867 | 26,521 | 28,939 | 30,849 | 33,074 |
Key metrics
Jul-23 | Jul-24 | Jul-25F | Jul-26F | Jul-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue growth (%) | 60.7 | 61.4 | 13.1 | 17.4 | 15.6 |
Recurrent EPS growth (%) | 6.7 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 43.9 | 12.4 |
Gross margin (%) | 20.5 | 13.8 | 16.1 | 18.7 | 19.8 |
Operating EBITDA margin (%) | 12.4 | 8.3 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 10.2 |
Net profit margin (%) | 9.9 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 7.7 |
Dividend payout ratio (%) | 174.5 | 49.9 | 59.1 | 41.1 | 36.5 |
Capex/sales (%) | 9.6 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Figure 6: GAM’s SOP valuation
Construction:
FY26F PATMI (MYRm) | Target P/E (x) | Total (MYRm) | |
---|---|---|---|
Value for overseas construction (bulk from Australia) | 594.0 | 25.5 | 15,147 |
Value for Malaysia construction | 428.0 | 26.0 | 11,128 |
Concessions:
DCF (MYRm) | Stake (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|
Gamuda Water (O&M concession for SSP 3) | 545 | 80 | 436 |
Property:
Remaining area (acres) | WACC (%) | Remaining GDV (MYRm) | Ownership (%) | NPV of profit (MYRm) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malaysia | 1,844 | 8 | 37,894 | various | 2,959.0 |
Overseas | 232 | 8 | 13,475 | various | 425.0 |
QTP: | 63 | ||||
Artisan Park | na | 8 | 280 | various | 125.0 |
Elysian | na | 8 | 700 | various | 146.0 |
Eaton Park | 6 | 8 | 4,220 | various | 698.8 |
Others (including Springville and The Meadow and others in London and Melbourne) | >50 | 8 | 5,820 | various | 2,882.4 |
Sub Total – NPV of future profit | 7,236.2 | ||||
Property development BV | 7,345.6 | ||||
RNAV of property development | 14,581.8 | ||||
– 35% discount | -5,103.6 | ||||
Value for property unit | 9,478.2 |
Carrying value (MYRm) | Stake (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|
Investment properties | 691.5 | 100 | 692.0 |
Equity Value (MYRm) | Stake (%) | ||
---|---|---|---|
ERS Energy | 667.0 | 30 | 200.0 |
Ulu Padas Hydroelectric project | 2,713.5 | 45 | 1221.1 |
North Perak Water Supply Scheme | 1,914.4 | 50 | 957.2 |
Holding company’s net cash/ (debt) | (4,445.5) | ||
SOP value | 34,814.0 | ||
Intrinsic value per share | 6.03 | ||
8% ESG premium | 0.49 | ||
TP | 6.52 |
Source: RHB, Company data
Recommendation Chart
Source: RHB, Bloomberg
Recommendation Table
Date | Recommendation | Target Price | Price |
---|---|---|---|
2025-08-13 | Buy | 6.5 | 5.6 |
2025-07-17 | Buy | 5.9 | 5.2 |
2025-07-01 | Buy | 5.9 | 5.0 |
2025-06-30 | Buy | 5.6 | 4.8 |
2025-06-27 | Buy | 5.6 | 4.7 |
2025-06-24 | Buy | 5.6 | 4.7 |
2025-06-17 | Buy | 5.6 | 4.8 |
2025-05-18 | Buy | 5.8 | 4.6 |
2025-05-05 | Buy | 5.8 | 4.4 |
2025-04-17 | Buy | 5.8 | 3.9 |
2025-03-27 | Buy | 5.8 | 4.3 |
2025-03-24 | Buy | 5.8 | 3.9 |
2025-02-06 | Buy | 5.8 | 4.5 |
2025-01-26 | Buy | 5.8 | 4.2 |
2025-01-20 | Buy | 5.8 | 4.3 |
Source: RHB, Bloomberg
RHB Guide to Investment Ratings
Buy: Share Price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months
Trading Buy: Share Price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain
Neutral: Share Price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months
Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels
Sell: Share Price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months
Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage
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