MGB (MLG MK)Fundamentals Remain Intact; BUY






MGB Malaysia Results Review


Small Cap
Asean Research

Shariah
Compliant
Malaysia Results Review

19 August 2025

MGB (MLG MK)

MGB (MLG MK)
Fundamentals Remain Intact; BUY

Construction & Engineering | Construction

Target Price (Return): MYR0.87 (74%)

Price (Market Cap): MYR0.50 (USD70.1m)

ESG score: 3.0 (out of 4)

Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD) 0.11m/0.02m

Analyst

Adam Bin Mohamed Rahim

+603 2302 8101

adam.mohamed.rahim@rhbgroup.com

Share Performance (%)

YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m
Absolute (31.5) (3.9) (19.4) (28.1) (41.2)
Relative (28.0) (7.8) (20.2) (28.1) (38.8)
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) 0.50-0.89

MGB (MLG MK) Price Chart

MGB (MLG MK) Price Chart (Graphical Representation)

Forecasts and Valuation

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total turnover (MYRm) 972 1,032 1,057 1,422 1,680
Recurring net profit (MYRm) 47 57 49 56 70
Recurring net profit growth (%) 218.0 20.8 (15.1) 15.7 24.3
Recurring P/E (x) 6.25 5.17 6.09 5.26 4.23
P/B (x) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
P/CF (x) 5.36 2.95 3.31 2.99 na
Dividend Yield (%) 3.3 6.1 4.9 5.7 7.1
EV/EBITDA (x) 3.11 1.96 1.54 0.72 1.28
Return on average equity (%) 9.1 10.4 7.8 8.6 10.0
Net debt to equity (%) 5.2 net cash net cash net cash net cash

Overall ESG Score: 3.0 (out of 4)

E Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
G Score: 3.0 (GOOD)

Note: Small cap stocks are defined as companies with a market capitalization of less than USD0.5bn.

Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page

Source: Company data, RHB

Report Summary

  • Still BUY, with new SOP-derived MYR0.87 TP from MYR1.02, 74% upside and c.5% FY25F yield. MGB’s 1H25 core profit of MYR23.5m (-17% YoY) missed expectations, making up 43% and 39% of our and Street’s estimates. The negative deviation came from the weaker-than expected construction segment. We forecast a three-year (FY25-27) earnings CAGR of 7% backed by steady progress of: i) Construction of remaining Rumah Selangorku Idaman (Idaman) projects, and ii) sales of other affordable housing projects in the Klang Valley with a combined GDV of more than MYR1bn.
  • MGB’s 2Q25 PBT was mainly contributed by the property development arm, which saw a PBT of MYR19.8m (-18.8% YoY) as opposed to the construction arm’s loss before tax (LBT) of MYR1.8m (2Q24 LBT: MYR1.6m) in the same quarter. The drop in the property development arm was due to lower progress billings and delivery of vacant possession of the Idaman Melur project. Nonetheless, PBT margins for the segment remained strong at 20.3% for 2Q25 (2Q24: 16.3%). Meanwhile, the construction arm recorded LBT of MYR1.9m in 2Q25 (vs LBT of MYR1.6m in 2Q24) as the Prestige project was nearing completion in addition to higher expenses incurred for its precast business in Saudi Arabia.
  • MGB’s outstanding orderbook was at MYR1.1bn as of end-2Q25 (vs MYR1.2bn as of end-1Q25) with MYR380m new jobs secured in FY25 (vs our MYR500m new win target). MGB’s latest win in Iskandar Puteri, Johor for a MYR186m high-rise residential job indicates that the group is able to expand beyond Pahang and the Klang Valley. The presence of the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone will likely necessitate the demand for residentials in the Johor state for MGB to leverage on.
  • We lower our FY25-27 earnings estimates by 11%, 13%, and 7% as we factor in a slower progress and lower margin assumptions for is construction projects in addition to toning down our sales forecast for its property arm. Post adjustments, we arrive at our new SOP-derived TP of MYR0.87 (from MYR1.02). Our TP bakes in a 0% ESG premium based on an ESG score of 3.
  • Prospects. With MGB’s pipeline of new property projects (including affordable housing) providing commendable earnings visibility with a cumulative GDV of >MYR1bn, we view valuations to be undemanding as its FY26F P/E of 5x is -1SD below its 5-year mean. A major catalyst would be a faster-than-expected development for the Kertih Terengganu Industrial Park (estimated GDV: MYR747m), and its precast venture in Saudi Arabia may serve further earnings upside.
  • Key risks include an unexpected slowdown in the property market.

See important disclosures at the end of this report

Small Cap
Asean Research

Malaysia Results Review

19 August 2025

Emissions And ESG

Trend analysis

Total emissions in FY24 rose to 12,057 tonnes of CO2 equivalent (FY23: 9,652 tonnes of CO2 equivalent) mainly due to the 187% YoY increase in Scope 3 emissions while Scope 1 and 2 emissions both saw a decline in FY24.

Emissions (tCO2e) Dec-22 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25
Scope 1 4,714 6,587 4,367 na
Scope 2 348 446 175 na
Scope 3 2,463 2,619 7,515 na
Total emissions 7,525 9,652 12,057 na

Source: Company data, RHB

Latest ESG-Related Developments

Efforts to minimise emissions: The group will continue emission control and climate change initiatives, including reducing fossil fuel consumption in daily operations and increasing industrialised building system (IBS) utilisation by 40% to reduce emissions from construction activities, with 67% of projects already adopting IBS.

ESG Unbundled

Overall ESG Score: 3.0 (out of 4)

Last Updated: 27 February 2025

E Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
MGB has demonstrated efforts to minimise the consumption of natural resources through expanding its operational focus from IBS steel and aluminium formworks to IBS precast concrete. This leads to increased efficiency in using sustainable or eco-friendly materials, the reduction of waste, increased site safety, and a decrease in noise levels at sites.

S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
Through its up-to-standard health & safety policies, MGB managed to maintain its zero lost time injuries, lost time accidents and fatalities track record, as well as zero injuries (minor & major) reported and recorded at both headquarters and project sites.

G Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
MGB has an in-house investor relations team that is highly accessible. It has applied and adopted majority of the best practices in the Malaysian Code on Corporate Governance. Nevertheless, only one out of eight of its directors is female. MGB does not provide full disclosure on its directors’ remunerations.

ESG Rating History

4.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0

Source: RHB

See important disclosures at the end of this report

Small Cap
Asean Research

Malaysia Results Review

19 August 2025

Financial Exhibits

Asia

Malaysia

Construction & Engineering

MGB

MLG MK

Buy

Valuation basis

SOP

Key drivers

  1. Orderbook replenishment;
  2. Proliferation of industrialised building system usage.

Key risks

An unexpected slowdown in the property market

Company Profile

MGB through its subsidiaries provides construction management, design-build, and pre-construction planning services.

Financial summary (MYR)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Recurring EPS 0.08 0.10 0.08 0.10 0.12
DPS 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04
BVPS 0.93 1.02 1.08 1.14 1.22
Return on average equity (%) 9.1 10.4 7.8 8.6 10.0

Valuation metrics

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Recurring P/E (x) 6.25 5.17 6.09 5.26 4.23
P/B (x) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
FCF Yield (%) 14.1 31.5 26.9 30.4 (10.2)
Dividend Yield (%) 3.3 6.1 4.9 5.7 7.1
EV/EBITDA (x) 3.11 1.96 1.54 0.72 1.28
EV/EBIT (x) 3.89 2.41 1.89 0.88 1.53

Income statement (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total turnover 972 1,032 1,057 1,422 1,680
Gross profit 149 172 136 146 163
EBITDA 93 116 100 114 136
Depreciation and amortisation (18) (22) (19) (22) (22)
Operating profit 74 94 82 93 114
Net interest (5) (7) (3) (3) (3)
Pre-tax profit 69 87 78 89 111
Taxation (19) (25) (30) (32) (40)
Reported net profit 48 60 49 56 70
Recurring net profit 47 57 49 56 70

Cash flow (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Change in working capital (18.1) 18.3 22.2 20.2 (154.0)
Cash flow from operations 55.2 100.3 89.5 99.0 (21.2)
Capex (13.6) (7.0) (10.0) (9.0) (9.0)
Cash flow from investing activities (12.9) (23.4) (10.0) (9.0) (9.0)
Dividends paid (3.0) (9.7) (14.6) (16.9) (21.0)
Cash flow from financing activities (40.9) (25.4) (128.4) (90.9) (136.0)
Cash at beginning of period 25.1 27.8 78.0 144.1 217.3
Net change in cash 1.4 51.6 (48.9) (0.9) (166.1)
Ending balance cash 26.5 79.4 29.1 143.3 51.1

Balance sheet (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total cash and equivalents 53 100 166 239 148
Tangible fixed assets 128 144 91 73 55
Total investments 38 37 44 44 44
Total assets 1,123 1,123 1,194 1,464 1,514
Short-term debt 30 14 15 15 15
Total long-term debt 51 51 51 51 51
Total liabilities 569 518 555 784 784
Total equity 555 605 639 680 730
Total liabilities & equity 1,123 1,123 1,194 1,464 1,514

Key metrics

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Revenue growth (%) 58.6 6.2 2.5 34.5 18.1
Recurrent EPS growth (%) 218.0 20.8 (15.1) 15.7 24.3
Gross margin (%) 15.3 16.7 12.9 10.2 9.7
Operating EBITDA margin (%) 9.5 11.2 9.5 8.0 8.1
Net profit margin (%) 5.0 5.8 4.6 4.0 4.2
Dividend payout ratio (%) 20.0 30.1 30.0 30.0 30.0
Capex/sales (%) 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.5
Interest cover (x) 12.2 13.0 25.0 28.2 34.6

Source: Company data, RHB

See important disclosures at the end of this report

Small Cap
Asean Research

Malaysia Results Review

19 August 2025

Results At a Glance

Figure 1: MGB’s results review

FYE Dec (MYRm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 1H24 1H25 YoY (%) Comments
Revenue 268.0 227.7 216.4 (4.9) (19.2) 485.9 444.1 (8.6) Lower revenue from construction activities
Gross profit 45.6 37.7 36.9 (1.9) (19.0) 87.4 74.6 (14.6)
Gross margin (%) 17.0 16.5 17.1% 18.0 16.8
EBIT 24.0 18.7 18.8 0.3 (22.0) 45.9 37.4 (18.4)
EBIT margin (%) 9.0 8.2 8.7 9.5 8.4
Finance costs (2.3) (1.7) (1.7) 1.9 (24.9) (3.9) (3.4) (12.5)
El/Others (1.1) 0.4 (0.7) (1.2) (0.3)
Pretax profit 22.0 17.0 17.1 0.1 (22.4) 42.6 34.1 (19.9)
Pretax margin (%) 8.2 7.5 7.9 8.8 7.7
Tax expense (6.2) (5.0) (5.1) 1.7 (18.0) (11.7) (10.1) (13.5)
Effective tax rate (%) 28.3 29.4 29.9 0.5 1.6 27.5 29.7 2.2
Net profit 15.2 11.9 11.9 0.3 (21.6) 29.4 23.8 (19.1)
Core net profit 14.1 12.3 11.2 (9.0) (20.7) 28.2 23.5 (16.8) Below estimates
Net margin (%) 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.8 5.3

Source: Company data, RHB

Figure 2: MGB’s segmental breakdown

FYE Dec (MYRm) 2Q24 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 1H24 1H25 YoY (%) Comments
Segmental revenue
Construction and trading 118.5 113.5 118.6 4.5 0.1 248.8 232.1 (6.7) Prestige project nearing completion
Property development 149.5 114.2 97.8 (14.3) (34.6) 237.1 212.0 (10.6) Vacant possession of Idaman Melur
Segmental PBT
Construction and trading (1.6) (2.1) (1.8) 12.7 (17.5) 4.0 (4.0) (199.9)
Property development 24.4 20.0 19.8 (0.9) (18.8) 39.9 39.8 (0.1)
Segmental PBT margin
Construction and trading -1.3% -1.9% -1.6% 1.6% -1.7%
Property development 16.3% 17.5% 20.3% 16.8% 18.8%

Source: Company Data, RHB

See important disclosures at the end of this report

Small Cap
Asean Research

Malaysia Results Review

19 August 2025

Figure 3: MGB’s SOP valuation

FY26F PAT (MYRm) Target P/E (x) Total (MYRm)
Construction:
Value of construction 27.7 12 332.3
Precast:
Value of precast 5.0 7.0 35.0
Land area (acres) Remaining GDV (MYRm) Effective Stake (%) Total (MYRm)
Property: 113.6
NAV for property development >30 >1,000 various 226.5
Total RNAV 340.1
Discount to RNAV 65%
Value for property 119.0
NTA Target P/NTA (x) Total (MYRm)
Others -8.3 1.0 (8.3)
Net cash 35.5
Total SOP 513.5
Share base (m) 591.7
Intrinsic value (MYR) 0.87
0% ESG discount / premium 0.0
Target price (MYR) 0.87

Source: Company data, RHB

Recommendation Chart

Recommendation Chart (Graphical Representation)

Date Recommendation Target Price Price
2025-05-27 Buy 1.02 0.64
2025-02-19 Buy 1.15 0.70
2024-11-21 Buy 1.20 0.78
2024-08-20 Buy 1.20 0.87
2024-08-19 Buy 1.16 0.85
2024-05-17 Buy 1.16 0.87
2024-05-13 Buy 1.16 0.81
2024-02-20 Buy 1.13 0.89
2024-02-09 Buy 1.13 0.73
2023-11-21 Buy 1.13 0.70
2023-08-20 Buy 1.10 0.75
2023-07-31 Buy 1.00 0.70
2023-06-20 Buy 0.93 0.70
2023-05-18 Buy 0.93 0.73
2023-05-15 Buy 0.89 0.73

Source: RHB, Bloomberg

See important disclosures at the end of this report

RHB Guide to Investment Ratings

Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months

Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain

Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months

Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels

Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months

Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage

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1. RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or associated companies do not make a market in any issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.

2. RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies and its analysts do not have a financial interest (including a shareholding of 1% or more) in the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.

3. RHB Bank Berhad’s Singapore research staff or connected persons do not serve on the board or trustee positions of the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.

4. RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies do not have and have not within the last 12 months had any corporate finance advisory relationship with the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report or any other relationship that may create a potential conflict of interest.

5. RHB Bank Berhad, or person associated or connected to it do not have any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, the securities, specified securities based derivatives contracts or units in a collective investment scheme covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.

6. RHB Bank Berhad’s Singapore research analysts do not receive any compensation or benefit in connection with the production of this research report or recommendation on the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts.

Analyst Certification

The analyst(s) who prepared this report, and their associates hereby, certify that:

(1) they do not have any financial interest in the securities or other capital market products of the subject companies mentioned in this report, except for:

Analyst Company

(2) no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

KUALA LUMPUR

RHB Investment Bank Bhd
Level 3A, Tower One, RHB Centre
Jalan Tun Razak
Kuala Lumpur 50400
Malaysia

Tel: +603 2302 8100
Fax: +603 2302 8134

JAKARTA

PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia
Revenue Tower, 11th Floor, District 8 – SCBD
Jl. Jendral Sudirman Kav 52-53
Jakarta 12190
Indonesia

Tel: +6221 5093 9888
Fax: +6221 5093 9777

SINGAPORE

RHB Bank Berhad (Singapore branch)
90 Cecil Street
#04-00 RHB Bank Building
Singapore 069531

Fax: +65 6509 0470


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