CGS International
Asia’s Global Investment House
Banks Malaysia | August 18, 2025
LSEG ESG Combined Score
AMMB Holdings
Expecting NIM downturn in 2QFY26F
ADD (no change)
Consensus ratings*: Buy 11 Hold 6 Sell 1
Current price: | RM5.51 |
Target price: | RM6.65 |
Previous target: | RM6.65 |
Up/downside: | 20.7% |
CGSI/Consensus: | 10.9% |
Reuters: | AMMB.KL |
Bloomberg: | AMM MK |
Market cap: | US$4,328m RM18,229m |
Average daily turnover: | US$7.69m RM32.63m |
Current shares o/s: | 3,308m |
Free float: | 75.7% |
*Source: Bloomberg
Key changes in this note
- No change.
Price performance
1M | 3M | 12M | |
---|---|---|---|
Absolute (%) | 7.0 | 0.2 | 18.2 |
Relative (%) | 3.7 | 0.0 | 20.5 |
Source: Bloomberg
Major shareholders
% held | |
---|---|
EPF | 12.5 |
Amcorp | 11.8 |
Kumpulan Wang Persaran | 3.2 |
Expecting NIM downturn in 2QFY26F
- AMMB’s 1QFY3/26 net profit was within expectations, accounting for 25-26% of our full-year forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimates.
- NIM expanded by 5bp qoq in 1QFY26 (thanks to SRR cut) but the trend could be reversed in 2QFY26 (due to the OPR cut).
- Reiterate Add, given AMMB’s attractive valuation of 8.1x CY26F P/E (vs. the sector’s 9.5x) and potential writeback in management overlay.
1QFY3/26 net profit within expectations
AMMB Holdings’ 1QFY3/26 net profit was within expectations, accounting for 25.1% of our full-year forecast and 25.7% of Bloomberg consensus estimates. The group’s 1QFY26 net profit rose by 3.2% yoy, underpinned by 9.9% yoy increase in 1QFY26 operating revenue (healthy growth of 6.7% yoy in net interest income and 8% yoy in non-interest income).
Anticipating a downturn in NIM in 2QFY26F
AMMB’s net interest margin (NIM) expanded by 5bp qoq to 2.01% in 1QFY26, better than our expectation of 1-2bp qoq expansion (or even flattish qoq) for most banks. This was aided by the cut in statutory reserve requirement (SRR) for the banking industry by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) effective 16 May 2025, in our view. Nonetheless, the NIM could contract qoq in 2QFY26F, as loans are repriced downward after the cut in overnight policy rate (OPR) on 9 Jul 2025, while there is a lag in the downward reduction in the rates for fixed deposits (FDs). However, we expect NIM to gradually improve in 3QFY26F and 4QFY26F with the gradual downward repricing of FDs upon maturity.
Non-interest income supported by robust investment income
1QFY26 non-interest income was lifted by 45.5% yoy jump in investment income while the fee income dwindled by 11.5% yoy, mainly due to lower capital market-related income. These trends were within our expectation.
Expecting qoq decline in 2QFY26F net profit
We expect a 3-7% qoq drop in AMMB’s net profit to RM480m-500m in 2QFY26 due to the potential qoq NIM contraction arising from the negative impact from the timing difference for the repricing of loans and FDs following the cut in OPR. We think that AMMB’s 2QFY26F net profit would be stable or decline up to 4% yoy (vs. RM500.2m in 2QFY25).
Reiterate Add on AMMB
We reaffirm our Add rating on AMMB, premised on the potential re-rating catalysts from the write-backs in management overlay and increase in dividend payout ratio. The stock’s CY26F P/E of 8.1x is attractive (vs. sector’s P/E of 9.5x). The potential downside risks would be a material deterioration in loan growth and asset quality. We maintain our FY26-28F EPS forecasts and DDM-based target price of RM6.65 (cost of equity of 10.5%; terminal growth rate of 4%).
Financial Summary
Mar-24A | Mar-25A | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Interest Income (RMm) | 2,137 | 2,358 | 2,406 | 2,641 | 2,748 |
Total Non-Interest Income (RMm) | 2,419 | 2,463 | 2,637 | 2,993 | 3,054 |
Operating Revenue (RMm) | 4,555 | 4,821 | 5,043 | 5,634 | 5,802 |
Total Provision Charges (RMm) | (823.5) | (214.7) | (301.3) | (345.1) | (368.5) |
Net Profit (RMm) | 1,868 | 2,001 | 2,058 | 2,310 | 2,419 |
Core EPS (RM) | 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
Core EPS Growth | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
FD Core P/E (x) | 9.76 | 9.11 | 8.86 | 7.89 | 7.53 |
DPS (RM) | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.37 |
Dividend Yield | 4.10% | 5.48% | 5.64% | 6.34% | 6.64% |
BVPS (RM) | 5.88 | 6.23 | 6.56 | 6.93 | 7.31 |
P/BV (x) | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
ROE | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
% Change In Core EPS Estimates | 0% | 0% | 0% | ||
EPS/Consensus EPS (x) | 1.02 | 1.09 | 1.07 |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
Key highlights from 1QFY3/26 results conference call
AMMB held a virtual conference call with analysts on 18 Aug 2025 following the release of its 1QFY3/26 financial results. The call was hosted by Group CEO Mr. Jamie Ling. The key highlights from the call were its views on the outlook for the Malaysian economy and the banking sector in 2025F.
AMMB’s views on the outlook for the economy and banking sector
AMMB’s views on the 2025F outlook for Malaysia’s economy and banking sector are as follows:
On Malaysia’s economy
- GDP growth of 3.5-4.5% (vs. the projection of 4.2% by our economist)
- Inflation rate between 1.8% and 2.3%
- Unemployment rate of 3.2%
- RM/US$ at RM4.2-4.4
On the Malaysian banking sector
- Loan growth of 5-6% (above our projection of between 4.5% and 5.5%)
- Stable asset quality (in line with our expectations)
- Overnight policy rate of 2.75% (in line with our expectations)
High management overlay
AMMB’s management overlay remained high at RM435m at end-Jun 25, close to the RM439m at end-Mar 25. We estimate that every 10% write-back in the management overlay would increase its FY26F net profit by 1.6%.
Expecting FY26F credit charge-off rate at higher end of its guidance of 15-20bp
AMMB stated that its credit charge-off rate in FY26F would possibly be at the level close to its guidance of 15-20bp. This is lower than the credit charge-off rate of 26bp in 1QFY26, signifying lower average credit charge-off rate in the remaining three quarters of FY26F. We project credit charge-off rate of 21bp for AMMB in FY26F.
Potential downside risks to our call
Potential downside risks to our Add call include: 1) a deterioration in asset quality, 2) a moderation in loan growth, and 3) increased deposit competition in the banking industry, which could increase AMMB’s cost of funds and reduce its net interest margin.
Figure 1: AMMB Holdings – Results comparison for 1QFY3/26
FYE Mar (RM m) | 1QFY25 | 1QFY26 | yoy % chg | 4QFY25 | qoq % chg | Prev. FY26F | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net interest income | 609.5 | 571.4 | 6.7 | 584.2 | 4.3 | 2,406.3 | In line. Lower interest expense. |
Non-interest income | 292.7 | 271.0 | 8.0 | 297.9 | (1.7) | 1,191.4 | In line. Strong investment income. |
Islamic income | 357.8 | 303.8 | 17.8 | 360.4 | (0.7) | 1,445.1 | In line. |
Total income | 1,260.0 | 1,146.2 | 9.9 | 1,242.5 | 1.4 | 5,042.8 | In line. Driven by strong Islamic banking income. |
Overhead expenses | (563.9) | (520.6) | 8.3 | (576.4) | (2.2) | (2,300.2) | In line. Above normalised growth of around 5%. |
Pre-provision profit | 696.1 | 625.6 | 11.3 | 666.1 | 4.5 | 2,742.6 | In line. Wider jaws. |
Loan loss provisions | (87.1) | (36.4) | 139.3 | (56.0) | 55.5 | (301.3) | Above. A yoy surge. |
Associates’ contrib | 30.7 | 32.3 | (5.0) | 38.9 | (21.1) | 68.2 | Above. |
Allowance, writeback etc | 14.6 | 24.2 | (39.7) | 7.2 | 102.8 | 39.9 | Above. |
Pretax profit | 654.3 | 645.7 | 1.3 | 656.2 | (0.3) | 2,549.4 | In line. 25.7% of CGSI. |
Tax | (138.3) | (145.5) | (4.9) | (142.1) | (2.7) | (560.9) | In line. |
Tax rate (%) | 21.1 | 22.5 | 0.0 | 21.7 | 0.0 | 22.0 | In line. |
Minority interests | 0.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | (0.2) | 200.0 | 69.3 | Below. |
Net profit | 516.2 | 500.2 | 3.2 | 513.9 | 0.4 | 2,057.8 | Within CGSI (25.1%) and Bloomberg consensus estimate (25.6%). |
EPS (sen) | 15.6 | 15.1 | 3.1 | 15.6 | 0.3 | 62.2 |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
Figure 2: Sector comparison
Company | Bbg Ticker | Recom. | Price (local) | Target Price (local) | Market Cap (US$ m) | Core P/E (x) CY2025F | Core P/E (x) CY2026F | 3-year EPS CAGR (%) | P/BV (x) CY2025F | Recurr. ROE (%) CY2025F | P/PPOPS (x) CY2025F | Div Yield (%) CY2025F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBS Group | DBS SP | Add | 49.90 | 54.90 | 110,453 | 12.6 | 12.5 | 1.6% | 2.06 | 16.2% | 10.3 | 6.1% |
OCBC | OCBC SP | Hold | 16.90 | 17.20 | 59,243 | 10.3 | 9.9 | 2.5% | 1.29 | 12.6% | 9.0 | 6.2% |
United Overseas Bank | UOB SP | Hold | 35.34 | 38.30 | 45,769 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 4.7% | 1.15 | 10.8% | 7.5 | 7.0% |
Singapore average | 11.4 | 10.8 | 2.7% | 1.55 | 13.4% | 9.2 | 6.3% | |||||
Agricultural Bank of China | 1288 HK | Add | 5.41 | 7.20 | 325,774 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 3.2% | 0.63 | 10.0% | 4.0 | 5.0% |
Bank of China | 3988 HK | Add | 4.45 | 5.00 | 228,645 | 5.6 | 5.7 | -0.6% | 0.48 | 8.8% | 3.2 | 5.5% |
Bank of Communications | 3328 HK | Reduce | 6.87 | 4.20 | 85,955 | 5.9 | 6.3 | -3.9% | 0.48 | 8.2% | 3.2 | 5.1% |
China CITIC Bank | 998 HK | Add | 7.27 | 7.50 | 59,583 | 4.7 | 4.3 | na | 0.47 | 10.4% | 2.3 | 6.0% |
China Construction Bank | 939 HK | Add | 7.80 | 11.40 | 266,832 | 5.6 | 5.6 | -0.7% | 0.54 | 9.9% | 3.7 | 5.4% |
China Minsheng Bank | 1988 HK | Reduce | 4.55 | 1.90 | 28,049 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0.3% | 0.32 | 4.9% | 2.4 | 4.5% |
ICBC | 1398 HK | Add | 5.96 | 7.20 | 349,594 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 0.3% | 0.50 | 9.3% | 3.6 | 5.6% |
Hong Kong average | 5.7 | 5.7 | na | 0.52 | 9.3% | 3.5 | 5.4% | |||||
Bank Central Asia | BBCA IJ | Add | 8,700 | 11,100 | 66,330 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.5% | 3.82 | 21.6% | 14.1 | 3.6% |
Bank Mandiri | BMRI IJ | Add | 4,850 | 6,500 | 27,996 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 7.3% | 1.52 | 19.5% | 4.6 | 7.5% |
Bank Rakyat Indonesia | BBRI IJ | Add | 4,120 | 4,900 | 38,619 | 10.9 | 9.4 | 5.8% | 1.88 | 17.7% | 5.2 | 7.8% |
Bank Negara Indonesia | BBNI IJ | Add | 4,370 | 5,500 | 10,080 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 8.0% | 1.03 | 13.5% | 4.6 | 8.6% |
Bank Tabungan Negara | BBTN IJ | Add | 1,280 | 1,250 | 1,111 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 7.7% | 0.52 | 9.5% | 2.1 | 4.4% |
Bank Neo Commerce | BBYB IJ | Hold | 330 | 230 | 253 | 31.3 | 18.9 | na | 1.24 | 4.0% | 1.8 | 0.0% |
Indonesia average | 11.9 | 10.7 | na | 2.12 | 18.3% | 6.9 | 5.7% | |||||
Affin Bank Berhad | ABANK MK | Add | 2.40 | 2.73 | 1,444 | 11.8 | 10.3 | 11.0% | 0.51 | 4.3% | 9.0 | 3.4% |
Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad | ABMB MK | Add | 4.58 | 5.35 | 1,881 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 11.3% | 0.87 | 10.3% | 5.5 | 5.6% |
AMMB Holdings | AMM MK | Add | 5.51 | 6.65 | 4,328 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 9.1% | 0.85 | 9.6% | 6.7 | 5.6% |
Bank Islam Malaysia Bhd | BIMB MK | Add | 2.30 | 2.92 | 1,238 | 8.9 | 8.4 | 8.0% | 0.65 | 7.3% | 4.8 | 6.7% |
CIMB Group Holdings Bhd | CIMB MK | Add | 7.25 | 9.10 | 18,515 | 9.3 | 8.8 | 9.0% | 1.04 | 11.4% | 5.8 | 6.5% |
Hong Leong Bank | HLBK MK | Add | 19.62 | 30.70 | 10,097 | 8.8 | 8.9 | 6.0% | 1.03 | 11.9% | 11.0 | 4.2% |
Malayan Banking Bhd | MAY MK | Add | 9.80 | 13.00 | 28,109 | 10.8 | 10.3 | 8.9% | 1.19 | 11.0% | 7.6 | 6.6% |
Public Bank Bhd | PBK MK | Add | 4.45 | 5.77 | 20,507 | 11.8 | 11.0 | 7.5% | 1.42 | 12.2% | 8.7 | 5.1% |
RHB Bank Bhd | RHBBANK MK | Add | 6.43 | 7.36 | 6,659 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 10.8% | 0.82 | 9.3% | 6.0 | 6.9% |
Malaysia average | 10.0 | 9.5 | 8.6% | 1.08 | 10.8% | 7.3 | 5.9% | |||||
Bangkok Bank | BBL TB | Hold | 153.5 | 148.0 | 9,035 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 0.6% | 0.50 | 7.4% | 3.3 | 5.9% |
Kasikornbank | KBANK TB | Add | 169.0 | 184.0 | 12,347 | 9.3 | 8.1 | 6.9% | 0.68 | 7.3% | 4.0 | 5.3% |
Kiatnakin Phatra Bank | KKP TB | Hold | 56.8 | 52.0 | 1,449 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 9.0% | 0.73 | 7.4% | 4.5 | 5.0% |
Krung Thai Bank | KTB TB | Add | 24.5 | 25.0 | 10,559 | 9.4 | 8.3 | 2.5% | 0.74 | 8.0% | 4.1 | 5.2% |
Tisco Financial Group | TISCO TB | Hold | 101.0 | 99.0 | 2,494 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 0.3% | 1.84 | 14.7% | 8.1 | 6.8% |
Thailand average | 8.7 | 8.1 | 3.5% | 0.67 | 7.7% | 4.0 | 5.5% |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH ESTIMATES, BLOOMBERG, COMPANY REPORTS (AS AT 18 AUG 2025)
Figure 3: AMMB Holdings – Quarterly profit and loss statements
FYE Mar (RM m) | Mar-24 4QFY24 | Jun-24 1QFY25 | Sep-24 2QFY25 | Dec-24 3QFY25 | Mar-25 4QFY25 | Jun-25 1QFY26 | Remarks for 1QFY26 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Interest income | 1,515.5 | 1,529.3 | 1,531.7 | 1,565.8 | 1,522.4 | 1,529.6 | |
Interest expense | (996.8) | (957.9) | (933.1) | (962.1) | (938.2) | (920.1) | |
Net interest income | 518.7 | 571.4 | 598.6 | 603.7 | 584.2 | 609.5 | |
Non-interest income | 268.1 | 271.0 | 185.2 | 358.3 | 297.9 | 292.7 | |
Islamic Banking Income (IBI) | 355.7 | 303.8 | 427.7 | 258.7 | 360.4 | 357.8 | |
Total income | 1,142.5 | 1,146.2 | 1,211.5 | 1,220.7 | 1,242.5 | 1,260.0 | |
Overhead expenses | (529.7) | (520.6) | (529.9) | (570.8) | (576.4) | (563.9) | |
Pre-provision profit | 612.8 | 625.6 | 681.6 | 649.9 | 666.1 | 696.1 | |
Loan loss provisions | (39.0) | (36.4) | (103.2) | (35.6) | (56.0) | (87.1) | |
Associates’ contrib | 27.2 | 32.3 | 16.8 | 19.8 | 38.9 | 30.7 | |
Allowance, writeback etc | 18.7 | 24.2 | 58.3 | (2.2) | 7.2 | 14.6 | |
Pretax profit | 619.7 | 645.7 | 653.5 | 631.9 | 656.2 | 654.3 | |
Tax | (143.1) | (145.5) | (152.9) | (145.4) | (142.1) | (138.3) | |
Tax rate (%) | 23.1 | 22.5 | 23.4 | 23.0 | 21.7 | 21.1 | |
Minority interests | (0.1) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | (0.2) | 0.2 | |
Net profit | 476.5 | 500.2 | 500.6 | 486.5 | 513.9 | 516.2 | |
EPS (sen) | 14.4 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 14.7 | 14.3 | 15.6 | |
yoy chg (%) | |||||||
Mar-24 4QFY24 | Jun-24 1QFY25 | Sep-24 2QFY25 | Dec-24 3QFY25 | Mar-25 4QFY25 | Jun-25 1QFY26 | ||
Interest income | 7.0% | 3.5% | -0.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | |
Interest expense | 11.4% | 0.1% | -5.2% | -3.4% | -5.9% | -3.9% | |
Net interest income | -0.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 6.7% | Lifted by expansion in net interest margin. |
Non-interest income | -6.6% | 8.7% | -23.5% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 8.0% | Mainly spurred by 45.4% yoy jump in investment income. |
Islamic Banking Income | 12.5% | -18.2% | 41.2% | -9.6% | 1.3% | 17.8% | |
Total income | 1.6% | 0.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | Driven by robust Islamic banking income growth. |
Overhead expenses | -4.7% | 2.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | Above the normalised growth of around 5%. |
Pre-provision profit | 7.6% | -1.2% | 11.2% | 0.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | Wider jaws due to strong topline growth. |
Loan loss provisions (LLP) | -53.8% | -78.1% | 81.4% | -91.8% | 43.6% | 139.3% | A yoy surge. |
Associates’ contrib | |||||||
Allowance, writeback etc | -44.3% | -9.4% | 33.1% | -98.8% | -61.5% | -39.7% | |
Pretax profit | 12.0% | 28.2% | 5.7% | 16528.9% | 5.9% | 1.3% | |
Tax | 13.8% | 45.1% | 3.2% | -126.9% | -0.7% | -4.9% | |
Minority interests | -100.0% | -100.0% | |||||
Net profit | 11.5% | 32.2% | 6.5% | -10.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | Supported by strong topline expansion. |
EPS (sen) | 11.4% | 42.1% | 6.6% | -10.3% | -0.9% | 3.4% | |
Key ratios (%) | |||||||
Mar-24 4QFY24 | Jun-24 1QFY25 | Sep-24 2QFY25 | Dec-24 3QFY25 | Mar-25 4QFY25 | Jun-25 1QFY26 | ||
Annualised ROAE | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | Largely stable yoy. |
Annualised ROAA | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
Non-interest income ratio | 23.5% | 23.6% | 15.3% | 29.4% | 24.0% | 23.2% | Largely stable yoy. |
IBI over total revenue | 31.1% | 26.5% | 35.3% | 21.2% | 29.0% | 28.4% | |
Cost-to-income ratio | 46.4% | 45.4% | 43.7% | 46.8% | 46.4% | 44.8% | Yoy improvement due to strong topline growth. |
Annualised credit charge-off rate | 0.12% | 0.11% | 0.32% | 0.11% | 0.17% | 0.26% | A yoy and qoq increase. |
Annualised yield on earnings asset | 3.28% | 3.30% | 3.29% | 3.35% | 3.24% | 3.25% | |
Annualised average cost of fund | 2.33% | 2.24% | 2.18% | 2.24% | 2.18% | 2.15% | |
Annualised net interest margin | 1.79% | 1.89% | 1.96% | 1.96% | 1.96% | 2.01% | A expansion of 5bp qoq and 12bp yoy. |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
Figure 4: AMMB Holdings – Quarterly balance sheet
FYE Mar (RM m) | Mar-24 | Jun-24 | Sep-24 | Dec-24 | Mar-25 | Jun-25 | Remarks for Jun 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cash and short-term funds | 6,493.1 | 7,547.7 | 6,419.1 | 5,128.8 | 6,759.1 | 6,743.7 | |
Securities purchased under resale agreement | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Deposits with other FI’s | 0.0 | 47.2 | 288.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Securities held-for-trading | 10,004.9 | 9,622.6 | 7,340.9 | 8,408.6 | 7,818.4 | 8,073.2 | |
Securities available-for-sale | 26,391.2 | 27,331.1 | 27,175.8 | 26,315.4 | 25,447.8 | 27,104.5 | |
Securities held-to-maturity | 11,320.9 | 11,320.9 | 13,429.6 | 13,518.6 | 12,041.3 | 10,320.7 | |
Loans, advances and financing | 132,102.1 | 130,660.2 | 132,549.8 | 135,112.0 | 137,130.1 | 136,343.1 | +4.3% |
Other assets | 5,547.4 | 4,677.1 | 4,775.3 | 3,942.0 | 4,721.9 | 3,969.6 | |
Goodwill on consolidation | 431.3 | 430.5 | 438.1 | 439.7 | 458.7 | 458.5 | |
Statutory deposits | 2,612.7 | 2,785.5 | 2,759.9 | 2,816.0 | 2,774.4 | 1,399.1 | |
Deferred tax assets | 275.8 | 225.1 | 224.7 | 262.6 | 271.1 | 190.0 | |
Investment in associates | 1,391.1 | 1,408.1 | 1,425.3 | 1,478.9 | 1,478.9 | 1,428.7 | |
Property and equipment | 144.7 | 140.7 | 136.3 | 143.5 | 141.9 | 150.3 | |
Life fund assets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
TOTAL ASSETS | 196,763.8 | 196,179.7 | 196,945.9 | 197,512.5 | 199,043.6 | 196,181.4 | |
Deposits from customers | 142,381.2 | 135,479.4 | 136,313.6 | 138,415.7 | 141,547.1 | 137,987.2 | +1.9% |
Deposits from other FI’s | 8,901.9 | 7,902.3 | 8,676.9 | 7,833.3 | 7,579.3 | 6,941.3 | |
Obligations on repurchase agreement securities | 6,328.3 | 11,251.3 | 8,083.6 | 8,962.1 | 5,951.5 | 4,807.0 | |
Bill and acceptances payable | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Recourse obligations on loans sold to Cagamas | 7,480.0 | 6,680.0 | 6,980.1 | 6,655.1 | 6,555.1 | 7,255.1 | |
Other liabilities | 5,385.5 | 4,808.3 | 6,904.1 | 4,949.2 | 4,851.1 | 5,989.8 | |
Term loans | 2,450.0 | 5,649.6 | 5,621.5 | 6,230.5 | 7,542.8 | 8,241.4 | |
Subordinated certificates of deposits | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Subordinated term loan/Hybrid Capital | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Other borrowings & hybrid Tier-1 | 4,395.0 | 4,395.0 | 4,395.0 | 4,395.0 | 4,395.0 | 4,395.0 | |
Converting preference shares | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Unsecured exchangeable bonds | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Life fund liabilities | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Life policyholder funds | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
TOTAL LIABILITIES | 177,321.9 | 176,165.9 | 176,974.8 | 177,440.9 | 178,421.9 | 175,616.8 | |
Share capital | 6,376.2 | 6,376.2 | 6,376.2 | 6,376.2 | 6,376.2 | 6,376.2 | |
Reserves | 13,064.6 | 13,636.6 | 13,593.8 | 13,694.6 | 14,244.6 | 14,187.5 | |
Proposed dividends | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Treasury shares | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Shareholders’ funds | 19,440.8 | 20,012.8 | 19,970.0 | 20,070.8 | 20,620.8 | 20,563.7 | |
Minority Interest | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | |
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHF | 196,763.8 | 196,179.7 | 196,945.9 | 197,512.5 | 199,043.6 | 196,181.3 |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
Figure 5: AMMB Holdings – breakdown of loans
FYE Mar (RM m) | 4Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | 3Q25 | 4Q25 | 1Q26 | Remarks for end-Jun 25 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
As at end | Mar-24 | Jun-24 | Sep-24 | Dec-24 | Mar-25 | Jun-25 | |||||||
Agriculture | 2,849.3 | 2,572.9 | 2,503.2 | 2,450.3 | 2,525.9 | 2,562.6 | |||||||
Mining and quarrying | 2,246.0 | 1,484.8 | 1,681.6 | 1,807.5 | 2,025.4 | 1,825.8 | |||||||
Manufacturing | 15,629.9 | 15,183.7 | 14,867.9 | 15,993.7 | 17,052.9 | 16,835.4 | |||||||
Utility | 1,818.0 | 1,900.6 | 1,935.2 | 2,592.6 | 2,584.9 | 2,591.5 | |||||||
Construction | 4,828.7 | 5,035.1 | 4,935.9 | 4,782.0 | 4,753.3 | 4,714.1 | |||||||
Real Estate | 8,877.8 | 8,972.9 | 10,740.8 | 11,214.7 | 12,081.9 | 12,296.5 | |||||||
Residential mortgages | 44,591.8 | 45,058.0 | 45,424.1 | 45,686.2 | 45,921.2 | 46,163.7 | |||||||
Non-residential mortgages | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
General commerce | 13,096.0 | 13,153.5 | 13,618.1 | 13,696.0 | 14,143.9 | 14,056.3 | |||||||
Transport, storage and communication. | 4,495.4 | 4,640.3 | 5,006.1 | 5,013.2 | 4,756.8 | 4,249.7 | |||||||
Finance | 4,955.8 | 4,670.4 | 4,953.1 | 5,306.4 | 5,297.0 | 5,879.2 | |||||||
Auto loans | 13,261.0 | 12,818.0 | 12,290.3 | 11,763.8 | 11,266.3 | 10,937.5 | |||||||
Consumption credit | 12,851.3 | 12,463.5 | 12,127.4 | 12,051.4 | 11,579.6 | 11,610.1 | |||||||
Others | 4,629.3 | 4,718.0 | 4,406.9 | 4,701.6 | 4,894.3 | 4,458.1 | |||||||
TOTAL | 134,130.3 | 132,671.7 | 134,490.6 | 137,059.4 | 138,883.4 | 138,180.5 | |||||||
Sectoral breakdown of loans (%) | |||||||||||||
Agriculture | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | |||||||
Mining and quarrying | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | |||||||
Manufacturing | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | |||||||
Utility | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | |||||||
Construction | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | |||||||
Real Estate | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | |||||||
Residential mortgages | 33.2% | 34.0% | 33.8% | 33.3% | 33.1% | 33.4% | Biggest loan segment. | ||||||
Non-residential mortgages | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||||||
General commerce | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | |||||||
Transport, storage and communication. | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | |||||||
Finance | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | |||||||
Auto loans | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | Shrinking contribution due to deliberate reduction in exposure to this segment. | ||||||
Consumption credit | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | |||||||
Others | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | |||||||
TOTAL | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | |||||||
Loans (RM ‘m) | |||||||||||||
yoy loan growth | 4Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | 3Q25 | 4Q25 | 1Q26 | |||||||
Agriculture | -6.8% | -12.8% | -16.1% | -14.1% | -11.4% | -0.4% | |||||||
Mining and quarrying | 3.7% | -32.0% | -20.5% | -28.9% | -9.8% | 23.0% | |||||||
Manufacturing | -0.9% | 5.7% | -2.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | Healthy growth of 9-12% yoy in past three quarters. | ||||||
Utility | 19.4% | 37.3% | 31.6% | 72.2% | 42.2% | 36.4% | |||||||
Construction | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 6.3% | -1.6% | -6.4% | |||||||
Real Estate | 14.7% | 18.0% | 37.5% | 41.3% | 36.1% | 37.0% | |||||||
Residential mortgages | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | Less than half of the industry’s growth of 6.4%. | ||||||
Non-residential mortgages | |||||||||||||
General commerce | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 1.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | Healthy growth of 7-8% yoy in the past two quarters. | ||||||
Transport, storage and communication. | -13.3% | -11.4% | -5.3% | 27.8% | 5.8% | -8.4% | |||||||
Finance | -3.2% | -0.5% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 25.9% | |||||||
Auto loans | 0.8% | -6.0% | -10.8% | -13.3% | -15.0% | -14.7% | Yoy contractions in past five quarters. | ||||||
Consumption credit | -7.0% | -8.1% | -9.1% | -10.8% | -9.9% | -6.8% | |||||||
Others | 15.7% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | -5.5% | |||||||
TOTAL | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | Below industry’s growth of 5.1% yoy. |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
ESG in a nutshell
From an ESG perspective, AMMB Holdings’ focus areas are: 1) becoming the bank and partner of choice for its clients in their sustainability and green transition journey, 2) upholding the group’s promotion of sustainable finance, focusing on green energy, electric mobility (infrastructure for electric vehicles), sustainable farming and forest conservation, and 3) delivering innovative banking solutions that promote sustainability and financing inclusiveness to the unserved and underserved segments, including business start-ups, e-commerce and micro-SMEs. It received an LSEG ESG combined grade of B+ in FY24.
LSEG ESG Scores
ESG | B+ ESG Grade |
A+ ESG Controversies Grade |
B+ ESG Combined Grade |
C+ ESG Environment Pillar Grade |
A- ESG Social Pillar Grade |
A- ESG Governance Pillar Grade |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keep your eye on
AMMB mobilised RM14.6bn in sustainable financing in FY3/25, representing a yoy growth of 10.5%. This included RM8.5bn for sustainable investments, RM2.6bn for sustainable capital market issuances facilitated, RM2.4bn for green financing and RM1.1bn for affordable and low-income financing.
Implications
In our view, AMMB’s sustainable financing would expand swiftly in the next next few years, underpinned by the rising credit demand for such financing amidst the increased awareness of the importance of ESG in the business community and the society, the implementation of various ESG projects by companies and higher sales of ESG-supporting products (such as electric vehicles and green buildings).
ESG highlights
In FY25, AMMB consumed 71.1 gigajoules (GJ) of electricity per US$ m net income, a 29.4% decrease since FY20. AMMB also consumed 86.2 m³ per US$ m of water in FY25, a drop of 33.4% since FY22.
The total greenhouse gas (GHG) emission for AMMB was at 28,866 tCO2e in FY25, with the breakdown of 62 tCO2e for Scope 1, 16,375 tCO2e for Scope 2 and 12,429 tCO2e for Scope 3.
Implications
These reflect the success of AMMB in reducing its consumption of electricity and water. One of the initiatives for AMMB to further reduce its electricity consumption would be the installation of solar panels in its branches (those are in shophouses), in our view.
Trends
AMMB reported no fines or penalties related to cybersecurity since FY23.
Implications
This reflects positively on the attributes of “S” (social; the protection of the personal data and money of its customers) and “G” (governance; the systems put in place to fend off the cyberattacks) for the ESG evaluation for AMMB, in our view.
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, LSEG
BY THE NUMBERS
Profit & Loss
(RMm) | Mar-24A | Mar-25A | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Interest Income | 2,137 | 2,358 | 2,406 | 2,641 | 2,748 |
Total Non-Interest Income | 2,419 | 2,463 | 2,637 | 2,993 | 3,054 |
Operating Revenue | 4,555 | 4,821 | 5,043 | 5,634 | 5,802 |
Total Non-Interest Expenses | (2,052) | (2,198) | (2,300) | (2,408) | (2,520) |
Pre-provision Operating Profit | 2,504 | 2,623 | 2,743 | 3,226 | 3,282 |
Total Provision Charges | (824) | (215) | (301) | (345) | (368) |
Operating Profit After Provisions | 1,680 | 2,409 | 2,441 | 2,881 | 2,914 |
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. | 40 | 108 | 68 | 72 | 75 |
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) | 1,720 | 2,516 | 2,510 | 2,953 | 2,988 |
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) | 25 | 71 | 40 | (91) | 9 |
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) | 1,745 | 2,587 | 2,549 | 2,862 | 2,997 |
Exceptional Items | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pre-tax Profit | 1,745 | 2,587 | 2,549 | 2,862 | 2,997 |
Taxation | 148 | (586) | (561) | (630) | (659) |
Consolidation Adjustments & Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Exceptional Income – post-tax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Profit After Tax | 1,894 | 2,001 | 1,989 | 2,233 | 2,338 |
Minority Interests | (25) | (0) | 69 | 78 | 81 |
Pref. & Special Div | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FX And Other Adj. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Net Profit | 1,868 | 2,001 | 2,058 | 2,310 | 2,419 |
Recurring Net Profit | 1,868 | 2,001 | 2,058 | 2,310 | 2,419 |
Balance Sheet Employment
Mar-24A | Mar-25A | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits | 94.2% | 98.1% | 94.8% | 91.9% | 89.3% |
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits | 96.9% | 96.2% | 96.4% | 93.3% | 90.6% |
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets | 29.1% | 26.9% | 27.7% | 30.1% | 31.7% |
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs | 30.6% | 28.3% | 29.0% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
Net Cust Loans/Assets | 67.1% | 68.9% | 66.8% | 65.3% | 64.0% |
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits | 83.8% | 88.4% | 85.6% | 83.0% | 80.7% |
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
Asset Risk Weighting | 63.3% | 57.9% | 57.3% | 57.6% | 57.5% |
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Provision Charge/Avg Assets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Total Write Offs/Average Assets | 0.479% | 0.396% | 0.300% | 0.244% | 0.249% |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
BY THE NUMBERS… cont’d
Balance Sheet
(RMm) | Mar-24A | Mar-25A | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Gross Loans | 134,130 | 138,883 | 145,879 | 152,954 | 160,385 |
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) | 47,717 | 45,308 | 46,367 | 53,552 | 60,125 |
Other Int. Earning Assets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets | 181,847 | 184,191 | 192,245 | 206,506 | 220,511 |
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve | (2,028) | (1,753) | (1,740) | (1,838) | (1,909) |
Total Net Interest Earning Assets | 179,819 | 182,438 | 190,506 | 204,668 | 218,601 |
Intangible Assets | 431 | 459 | 459 | 459 | 459 |
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets | 10,020 | 9,388 | 7,998 | 8,186 | 8,409 |
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets | 10,452 | 9,847 | 8,457 | 8,645 | 8,867 |
Cash And Marketable Securities | 6,493 | 6,759 | 16,261 | 17,852 | 19,802 |
Long-term Investments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Assets | 196,764 | 199,044 | 215,223 | 231,165 | 247,270 |
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities | 142,395 | 141,560 | 153,560 | 166,161 | 179,424 |
Bank Deposits | 15,230 | 13,531 | 14,518 | 15,562 | 16,667 |
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others | 6,845 | 11,938 | 10,240 | 10,806 | 10,617 |
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities | 164,471 | 167,028 | 178,318 | 192,529 | 206,708 |
Bank’s Liabilities Under Acceptances | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities | 12,851 | 11,394 | 15,200 | 15,695 | 16,380 |
Total Liabilities | 177,322 | 178,422 | 193,518 | 208,223 | 223,088 |
Shareholders’ Equity | 19,441 | 20,621 | 21,704 | 22,941 | 24,181 |
Minority Interests | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Total Equity | 19,442 | 20,622 | 21,705 | 22,942 | 24,182 |
Key Ratios
Mar-24A | Mar-25A | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Income Growth | 0.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 3.0% |
Operating Profit Growth | (1.4%) | 4.8% | 4.5% | 17.6% | 1.7% |
Pretax Profit Growth | (19.3%) | 48.3% | (1.5%) | 12.3% | 4.7% |
Net Interest To Total Income | 46.9% | 48.9% | 47.7% | 46.9% | 47.4% |
Cost Of Funds | 2.39% | 2.29% | 2.38% | 2.38% | 2.35% |
Return On Interest Earning Assets | 3.24% | 3.28% | 3.30% | 3.28% | 3.23% |
Net Interest Spread | 0.85% | 0.99% | 0.91% | 0.91% | 0.88% |
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) | 1.57% | 1.66% | 1.63% | 1.65% | 1.59% |
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA) | 1.72% | 1.97% | 2.02% | 2.06% | 2.00% |
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit | 32.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% |
Interest Return On Average Assets | 1.08% | 1.19% | 1.16% | 1.18% | 1.15% |
Effective Tax Rate | 0.0% | 22.6% | 22.0% | 22.0% | 22.0% |
Net Dividend Payout Ratio | 40.0% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Return On Average Assets | 0.95% | 1.01% | 0.99% | 1.04% | 1.01% |
Key Drivers
Mar-24A | Mar-25A | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Loan growth (%) | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
Gross impaired loan ratio (%) | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
Loan loss coverage (%) | 97.8% | 68.3% | 61.8% | 55.3% | 50.9% |
Cost-to-income ratio (%) | 45.0% | 45.6% | 45.6% | 42.7% | 43.4% |
Non-interest income ratio (%) | 24.2% | 23.1% | 23.6% | 25.7% | 24.1% |
Common equity Tier-1 capital ratio (%) | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
Stage-1 ECL coverage (%) | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% |
Stage-2 ECL coverage (%) | 46.0% | 43.0% | 36.1% | 31.1% | 27.9% |
Stage-3 ECL coverage (%) | 29.7% | 24.0% | 21.7% | 23.6% | 24.1% |
Total provision over loans (%) | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
Return on equity (%) | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
Return on asset (%) | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
SOURCES: CGSI RESEARCH, COMPANY REPORTS
Recommendations & Target Price
Distribution of stock ratings and investment banking clients for quarter ended on 30 June 2025
561 companies under coverage for quarter ended on 30 June 2025
Rating Distribution (%) | Investment Banking clients (%) | |
---|---|---|
Add | 70.6% | 1.1% |
Hold | 20.5% | 0.5% |
Reduce | 8.9% | 0.5% |
Recommendation Framework
Stock Ratings
- Definition:
- Add
- The stock’s total return is expected to exceed 10% over the next 12 months.
- Hold
- The stock’s total return is expected to be between 0% and positive 10% over the next 12 months.
- Reduce
- The stock’s total return is expected to fall below 0% or more over the next 12 months.
- Not Rated
- The total expected return of a stock is defined as the sum of the: (i) percentage difference between the target price and the current price and (ii) the forward net dividend yields of the stock. Stock price targets have an investment horizon of 12 months.
Sector Ratings
- Definition:
- Overweight
- An Overweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a positive absolute recommendation.
- Neutral
- A Neutral rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a neutral absolute recommendation.
- Underweight
- An Underweight rating means stocks in the sector have, on a market cap-weighted basis, a negative absolute recommendation.
Country Ratings
- Definition:
- Overweight
- An Overweight rating means investors should be positioned with an above-market weight in this country relative to benchmark.
- Neutral
- A Neutral rating means investors should be positioned with a neutral weight in this country relative to benchmark.
- Underweight
- An Underweight rating means investors should be positioned with a below-market weight in this country relative to benchmark.
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. IF THIS REPORT IS DISTRIBUTED IN THE UNITED STATES IT IS DISTRIBUTED BY CGS INTERNATIONAL SECURITIES USA, INC AND IS CONSIDERED THIRD-PARTY AFFILIATED RESEARCH.
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(a) Affin Bank Berhad, Bank Central Asia, Bank Mandiri, Bank Negara Indonesia, Bank Neo Commerce, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Bank Tabungan Negara, DBS Group, OCBC, Public Bank Bhd, United Overseas Bank
(ii) Analyst Disclosure: As of August 18, 2025, the analyst(s) who prepared this report, and the associate(s), has / have an interest in the securities (which may include but not be limited to shares, warrants, call warrants and/or any other derivatives) in the following company or companies covered or recommended in this report:
(a) CIMB Group Holdings Bhd
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Score Range: | 90-100 | 80-89 | 70-79 | Below 70 | No Survey Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Description: | Excellent | Very Good | Good | N/A | N/A |
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