AMMB (AMM MK)
Tricky Year Off To a Decent Start
Neutral (Maintained)
Analysts
Share Performance (%)
YTD | 1m | 3m | 6m | 12m | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Absolute | (0.6) | 6.2 | (0.7) | (6.4) | 16.7 |
Relative | 2.9 | 2.3 | (1.5) | (6.4) | 19.1 |
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) | 4.89-5.94 |
Source: Bloomberg
- Stay NEUTRAL, with new MYR5.80 TP from MYR5.50, 6% upside and c.6% FY26F (Mar) yield. AMMB’s 1QFY26 results were within expectations, with NIM expansion and opex discipline helping to offset the sequential contraction in the loan book. As NIM is expected to compress in the coming quarters, we prefer larger cap banks with overseas exposure to weather through a more challenging 2HCY25 for the sector.
- Results review. 1QFY26 PATMI of MYR516m (+3% YoY, flat QoQ) was in line, and came in at 27% and 26% of our and consensus FY26F. A 10% growth in operating income (NII and non-II led) alongside positive JAWs were the key YoY drivers, while sequentially, non-II dipped 4% QoQ off a high base mainly due to lower fee income. Credit costs jumped slightly to 25bps (1QFY25: 11bps, 4QFY25: 14bps), partly due to seasonality and timing effects, which have reversed to a certain extent in July and August. All in, 1QFY26 reported ROAE stood at 10.0%, a slight decline from the 10.2% achieved in 1QFY25.
- Balance sheet highlights. Gross loans saw a slight 1% QoQ drop in 1QFY26 (YoY: +4%), largely due to lumpy wholesale banking repayments. The business banking segment, ie AMMB’s key driver under its Winning Together FY29 strategy, was up 1% QoQ (YoY: +12%) while the retail banking segment was flat (YoY: -2%). Deposits, on the other hand, were down 3% QoQ (YoY: +2%) mostly from CASA departures – the CASA ratio shed 2ppts QoQ to 34% (1QFY25: 34%). Despite the LDR surpassing the 100%-mark, management believes liquidity is ample, as the LCR across all entities are north of 160%. On asset quality, the GIL ratio saw a 17bps QoQ spike to 1.71% largely from the retail and retail SME backbook, ie segments that management has de-emphasised growth in since FY24. LLC of 82% (1QFY25: 96%, 4QFY25: 87%) remains sufficient, as c.82% of GILs are fully collateralised by high quality assets, eg property and land.
- Briefing takeaways. On the recent policy rate cut, management expects NIM for FY26 to bottom at 1.96% (c.5bps QoQ) in 2QFY26, before the uplift from the repricing of term deposits kicks in. As such, FY26 NIM should still land ahead of the previous year’s 1.94%. Elsewhere, management guided for c.20bps credit costs for FY26, an improvement from the 1Q level, as it has some visibility on lumpy reversals and recoveries ahead. The 20bps guidance also takes into consideration some top-ups required for the retail SME portfolio. Lastly, the group is sitting on healthy unrealised trading profit that could be realised in the coming quarters to mitigate any NII weakness.
- No changes to forecasts as results were in line. Our TP – which includes an unchanged 4% ESG premium – is raised to MYR5.80 after rolling forward our base year to CY26F.
Forecasts and Valuation
Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reported net profit (MYRm) | 1,868 | 2,001 | 1,942 | 2,044 | 2,182 |
Net profit growth (%) | 3.7 | 7.1 | (2.9) | 5.2 | 6.7 |
Recurring net profit (MYRm) | 1,733 | 2,001 | 1,942 | 2,044 | 2,182 |
Recurring EPS (MYR) | 0.52 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
BVPS (MYR) | 5.87 | 6.22 | 6.51 | 6.80 | 7.25 |
DPS (MYR) | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.38 |
Recurring P/E (x) | 10.40 | 9.00 | 9.27 | 8.81 | 8.26 |
P/B (x) | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.80 | 0.75 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 4.1 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.9 |
Return on average equity (%) | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 9.4 |
Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)
E Score: 2.8 (GOOD)
S Score: 3.8 (EXCELLENT)
G Score: 3.5 (EXCELLENT)
Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page
Source: Company data, RHB
Emissions And ESG
Trend analysis
Emissions (tCO2e) | Mar-23 | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 |
---|---|---|---|---|
AMMB’s FY25 (Mar) emissions posted a sharp 62% YoY increase largely as a result of an expansion of Scope 3 emissions scope to include waste directed to disposal and employee commute. | ||||
Scope 1 | 70 | 65 | 62 | na |
Scope 2 | 16,806 | 16,576 | 16,375 | na |
Scope 3 | 877 | 1,231 | 12,429 | na |
Total emissions | 17,753 | 17,872 | 28,866 | na |
Source: Company data, RHB
Latest ESG-Related Developments
Offers flood relief assistance: AMMB announced several relief initiatives for customers affected by recent floods in East Malaysia – these include a moratorium period of up to six months, as well as certain waivers.
Ramping up financing of green property: AMMB recently announced partnerships with several developers of green-certified development projects – including a MYR450m facility to Eastern & Oriental (EAST MK, BUY, TP: MYR1.17) as well as a MYR130m facility to Avaland (AVALAND MK, NR).
GVC Programme: AMMB is the official banker for Kossan Rubber’s (KRI MK, SELL, TP: MYR1.23) Greening Value Chain (GVC) programme, which assists SMEs in implementing ESG-related changes to operations, including helping out in climate reporting.
ESG Unbundled
Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)
Last Updated: 28 July 2025
E Score: 2.8 (GOOD)
AMMB’s FY25 GHG emissions now includes an expanded scope, covering waste directed to disposal and employee commute. During the financial year, the group mobilised c.MYR15bn in sustainable financing, largely through green fixed income investments. AMMB’s business banking customers were some of the largest recipients of the group’s green financing facilities, deployed towards sectors such as logistics, technology and sustainable property development.
S Score: 3.8 (EXCELLENT)
AMMB is engaged in numerous programmes to assist MSMEs with capacity building and digitalisation, including being the initial anchor bank supporting the central bank’s Greening Value Chain programme. The bank’s employees are decently diverse (62% are women) and well-trained (average of >70 training hours pa).
G Score: 3.5 (EXCELLENT)
AMMB has 89% independence at the Board level, with its sustainability direction overseen by a dedicated Group Sustainability and Climate Risk Council. The Group CEO and his direct reportees are also assessed on sustainability-linked performance indicators, among others. Selected indicators in the FY25 Sustainability Report had obtained external assurance.
ESG Rating History
Source: RHB
Financial Exhibits
Financial Summary (MYR)
Asia | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malaysia | |||||
Financial Services | |||||
Banks | |||||
AMM MK | |||||
Neutral | |||||
Recurring EPS | 0.52 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
P/BV | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.80 | 0.75 |
BVPS | 5.87 | 6.22 | 6.51 | 6.80 | 7.25 |
Valuation basis
Valuation metrics | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GGM-derived intrinsic value with an ESG overlay. Key GGM assumptions are: | P/B (x) | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
1. Cost of 10.5%. | Dividend Yield (%) | 4.1 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 6.9 |
2. Sustainable ROAE of 9.3%. | ||||||
3. 3.5% long-term growth. |
Income statement (MYRm) | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Interest income | (5,747) | (6,076) | (5,804) | (6,123) | (6,409) |
Interest expense | 4,845 | 5,170 | 4,855 | 5,123 | 5,360 |
Net interest income | 1,116 | 1,252 | 1,449 | 1,491 | 1,536 |
Net Islamic banking income | (226) | (235) | (212) | (227) | (242) |
Overheads | (2,052) | (2,198) | (2,301) | (2,409) | (2,513) |
Other operating income/profit | 2,829 | 2,827 | 2,808 | 3,073 | 3,293 |
Loan impairment allowances | (596) | (324) | (330) | (370) | (362) |
Other impairment allowances | (153) | 88 | (10) | (10) | (10) |
Income from associates | 75 | 168 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
Other exceptional items | 135 | ||||
Pretax profit | 1,733 | 2,587 | 2,539 | 2,672 | 2,852 |
Taxation | (14) | (586) | (597) | (628) | (670) |
Minority interests | (23) | (0) | |||
Reported net profit | 1,868 | 2,001 | 1,942 | 2,044 | 2,182 |
Recurring net profit | 1,733 | 2,001 | 1,942 | 2,044 | 2,182 |
Profitability ratios | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Return on average assets (%) | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Return on average equity (%) | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 9.4 |
Effective tax rate (%) | 21.8 | 21.1 | 21.2 | 21.2 | 21.3 |
Cost of funds (%) | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
Net interest margin (%) | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Net interest income (%) | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
Non-interest income/Total income (%) | 24.7 | 25.6 | 26.6 | 28.0 | 29.4 |
Cost to income ratio (%) | 46.4 | 45.6 | 44.8 | 44.5 | 44.2 |
Credit cost (bps) | 16.0 | 16.0 | 25.3 | 24.8 | 23.1 |
Balance sheet (MYRm) | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total gross loans | 134,130 | 138,883 | 145,828 | 153,117 | 159,316 |
Other interest earning assets | 55,237 | 52,717 | 53,044 | 55,141 | 62,231 |
Total assets | 196,180 | 199,044 | 206,894 | 212,509 | 224,248 |
Total provisions | (2,028) | (1,753) | (1,895) | (2,064) | (2,219) |
Total customer deposits | 135,479 | 141,547 | 145,178 | 150,078 | 155,041 |
Total net IEA | 187,224 | 189,849 | 200,139 | 210,194 | 219,328 |
Total liabilities | 176,167 | 178,423 | 186,333 | 191,897 | 203,667 |
Total assets | 196,764 | 199,044 | 206,952 | 218,458 | 228,567 |
Customer deposits | 135,479 | 141,547 | 137,987 | 143,842 | 150,004 |
Other interest-bearing liabilities | 30,577 | 32,632 | 33,313 | 34,045 | 34,704 |
Borrowings | 172,971 | 179,179 | 182,781 | 193,014 | 200,980 |
Total non-IBLs | 3,750 | 4,230 | 4,019 | 3,820 | 3,627 |
Total liabilities | 177,571 | 178,422 | 187,388 | 196,420 | 204,546 |
Minority int. | (0.74) | (0.3) | (0.3) | (0.3) | (0.3) |
Shareholders equity | 19,441 | 20,621 | 21,564 | 22,537 | 24,020 |
Total Liabilities + SE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Asset quality and capital | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26F | Mar-27F | Mar-28F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reported NPLs / gross cust loans (%) | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
LL coverage incl. reported NPLs (%) | 89.3 | 82.2 | 77.6 | 75.9 | 74.8 |
CET-1 ratio (%) | 13.7 | 15.4 | 13.1 | 13.2 | 13.6 |
Tier 1 ratio (%) | 14.1 | 15.7 | 13.5 | 13.7 | 14.0 |
Total capital ratio (%) | 16.9 | 18.1 | 15.6 | 15.9 | 15.9 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Figure 1: AMMB – summary of 1QFY26 results
FYE Mar (MYRm) | 1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | 1QFY26 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NII (+Islamic Banking) | 861 | 895 | 925 | 3 | 7 | |
NIM (%) – reported | 1.89 | 1.96 | 2.01 | Management attributed the sequential NIM expansion to deposit repricing done recently | ||
Non-II | 285 | 348 | 335 | (4) | 18 | Core fee income declined 12% YoY in 1QFY25 due to weak market conditions and investor sentiment affecting the wealth management and investment banking divisions. This was offset by stronger net investment income |
Non-II/Total income (%) | 24.9 | 28.0 | 26.6 | |||
Operating income | 1,146 | 1,242 | 1,260 | 1 | 10 | |
Overhead expenses | (521) | (576) | (564) | (2) | 8 | |
CIR (%) | 45.4 | 46.4 | 44.8 | |||
PIOP | 626 | 666 | 696 | 5 | 11 | |
Other impairment allowances | 24 | 7 | 15 | >100 | (40) | |
Loan impairment allowances | (36) | (56) | (87) | 55 | >100 | |
Annualised credit cost (bps) | 11 | 14 | 25 | The spike was partly attributable to seasonality and timing effects, alongside some deterioration in the retail and retail SME backbook | ||
Operating profit | 613 | 617 | 624 | 1 | 2 | |
Associates | 32 | 39 | 31 | (21) | (5) | |
Pretax profit | 646 | 656 | 654 | (0) | 1 | |
Tax | (146) | (142) | (138) | (3) | (5) | |
Effective tax rate (%) | 22.5 | 21.6 | 21.1 | |||
Minorities | 0 | (0) | 0 | >100 | 78 | |
Net profit | 500 | 514 | 516 | 0 | 3 | Formed 27% and 26% of our and consensus full-year estimates |
Other key data and ratios
1QFY25 | 4QFY25 | 1QFY26 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | Comments | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gross loans | 132,672 | 138,883 | 138,181 | (0.5) | 4.2 | YoY growth was largely driven by the wholesale banking (+10%) and business banking (+12%) segments, partially offset by weakness in retail banking (-2%) |
Customer deposits | 135,479 | 141,547 | 137,987 | (2.5) | 1.9 | QoQ decline in deposits attributable to a reduction in non-retail CASA. The CASA ratio shed 2ppts QoQ to 34% |
Gross impaired loans | 2,253 | 2,132 | 2,367 | 11.0 | 5.1 | |
Total assets | 196,180 | 199,044 | 196,181 | (1.4) | 0.0 | |
Shareholders’ funds | 20,013 | 20,621 | 20,564 | (0.3) | 2.8 | |
ROAA (%) | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.08 | |||
ROAE (%) | 10.1 | 10.1 | 10.0 | |||
LDR (%) | 96.4 | 96.9 | 98.8 | |||
GIL ratio (%) | 1.70 | 1.54 | 1.71 | The GIL ratio increase was largely broad-based, but certain affected portfolios eg mortgages and hire purchase have already demonstrated an improvement in July and August | ||
Loan loss coverage (%) | 89.3 | 82.2 | 77.6 | |||
CET-1 ratio (%) | 13.2 | 14.8 | 14.9 | CET-1 ratio inclusive of unverified 1QFY26 net profit would have been 15.3% |
Source: Company data, RHB
Management guidance
Figure 2: AMMB – management guidance and financial targets for FY26F
FYE Dec | FY25 actual | FY26F targets | 1Q26 achieved | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|
Loans growth | +3.5% | Mid-single digit | +4.2% (-2.0% YTD annualised) | YTD loans growth was largely affected by lumpy corporate repayments. Business banking continues to be the main growth engine for the group, while it is also largely done with its internal recalibration of its hire purchase and retail SME segments, which should see a pick-up in growth ahead |
Reported CIR | 44.6% | na | 43.7% | Income from associates included in reported figures |
Reported credit costs | 16bps | c.20bps | 25bps | Management has some visibility on reversals and recoveries in the coming quarters, including the regularisation of a large corporate account from the oil & gas sector (MYR518m outstanding exposure). The c.20bps guidance also bakes in potential top-ups to provisions required for the unsecured retail and retail SME segments |
Dividend payout | 50% | ≥50% | nil | In line with its WT29 aim of gradually raising dividend payout to 60% by FY29F. Existing capital levels are supportive of DPR ≥50%. |
Source: Company data, RHB
Valuation and TP
Our TP is raised to MYR5.80 (from MYR5.50), and is based on an unchanged GGM-derived P/BV of 0.83x, around -0.5SD from the long-term mean. The sole change to our GGM model was to the BVPS, which was rolled forward to CY26F. While we have no major concerns on AMMB, its largest catalyst in our view, ie successful execution of its WT29 strategy, will only play out over the long term. In the near term, we prefer larger cap banks with overseas exposure to mitigate the OPR cut impact in 2HCY25.
Figure 3: AMMB – GGM valuation with ESG overlay
Cost of equity (COE) computation: | |||
---|---|---|---|
Risk free rate (%) | 4.0 | Sustainable ROE (%) | 9.3 |
Equity premium (%) | 5.8 | COE (%) | 10.5 |
Beta (x) | 1.1 | Long-term growth (g) | 3.5 |
Cost of equity – CAPM (%) | 10.5 | Implied P/BV (x) | 0.83 |
BVPS – CY26F | MYR6.73 | ||
Intrinsic value | MYR5.58 | ||
ESG premium/(discount) (%) | 4.0 | ESG premium/(discount) | MYR0.22 |
TP (rounded) | MYR5.80 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Figure 4: AMMB’s 12-month forward consensus P/E
Source: Bloomberg, RHB
Figure 5: AMMB’s 12-month forward consensus P/BV
Source: Bloomberg, RHB
Recommendation Chart
Date | Recommendation | Target Price | Price |
---|---|---|---|
2025-07-27 | Neutral | 5.50 | 5.14 |
2025-05-27 | Neutral | 5.70 | 5.31 |
2025-04-20 | Neutral | 5.70 | 5.20 |
2025-03-27 | Buy | 6.70 | 5.67 |
2025-02-20 | Buy | 6.50 | 5.73 |
2024-11-28 | Buy | 6.50 | 5.37 |
2024-08-21 | Buy | 5.90 | 5.11 |
2024-06-20 | Buy | 5.50 | 4.18 |
2024-05-27 | Buy | 4.90 | 4.27 |
2024-03-21 | Buy | 5.00 | 4.12 |
2024-02-27 | Buy | 4.80 | 4.30 |
2023-11-23 | Buy | 4.70 | 4.00 |
2023-08-22 | Buy | 4.20 | 3.73 |
2023-05-30 | Buy | 4.50 | 3.57 |
2023-02-24 | Buy | 4.60 | 3.91 |
Source: RHB, Bloomberg
RHB Guide to Investment Ratings
Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months
Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain
Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months
Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels
Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months
Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage
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Indonesia
Tel : +6221 5093 9888
Fax : +6221 5093 9777
RHB Bank Berhad (Singapore branch)
90 Cecil Street
#04-00 RHB Bank Building
Singapore 069531
Fax: +65 6509 0470