U/G to BUY from Neutral, new MYR1.80 TP (from MYR1.75), 13% upside, c.6% FY27F (Mar) yield. AME REIT’s 1QFY26 results met expectations, supported by contributions from its recent acquisition. We turned more bullish on its valuation given wider yield spread post-rate cut and rising investor interest in domestic-centric names. We like the REIT for its high debt headroom, substantial floating-rate debt (81%) exposure to benefit from lower rates, and sturdy Sponsor-backed pipeline to tap Johor’s growing industrial market. This report marks the transfer of coverage to Tai Yu Jie.

Within expectations. 1QFY26 core profit of MYR9.2m (+3.2% YoY) met 21% of our full-year estimates. We deem the results to be within expectations in view of stronger quarters ahead, supported by a high number of planned acquisitions for FY26F. 1QFY26 DPU amounted to 1.96 sen (1QFY25: 1.84 sen). Meanwhile, 1QFY26 gearing stood at 23% (1QFY25: 15%).

Results review. YoY, 1QFY26 revenue rose 14.7% to MYR14.1m, supported by additional contributions from two properties (i-Park SAC 23 & 24 and i-TechValley 46) acquired in 4QFY25, as well as higher rental rates from tenancy renewals. Despite a 3.2% YoY increase in 1QFY26 core profit, net margin declined by 7.2ppts to 64.9%, mainly due to a rise in interest expense (+62.5% YoY) following the acquisitions, while the 2.5ppts drop in NPI margin to 90.2% was likely attributable to higher operating costs. QoQ, 1QFY26 revenue grew 8.2% on the back of these same factors, leading to a 7% QoQ increase in core profit to MYR9.2m.

Outlook. We expect QoQ earnings to improve, supported by the ongoing acquisition of properties slated for completion in 2QFY26. Beyond the immediate term, FY26F earnings should be further lifted by the full-year contribution from the recent acquisition spree, which includes five properties estimated to generate an additional MYR4.5m in FY26 gross rental income, complemented by the renewal of nine existing tenancies (27% gross rental). We see room for continued inorganic growth, supported by a low gearing level of 23%, providing financing headroom of MYR220m on top of the recent rate cut. Meanwhile, we view the downside risks from the sales & service tax (SST) expansion as relatively limited for AME REIT, given its long-term master leases and a tenant profile that largely consists of established MNCs) capable of absorbing higher tax-related costs.

Forecast and ratings. Post-results, we maintain our forecasts. However, we raise our TP to MYR1.80 (including a 2% ESG premium) after updating our CoE assumption (from 7% to 6.8%) to reflect a renewed beta assumption and lower risk-free rate following the recent rate cut. Our DDM-derived TP also implies an FY27F yield of 5%, offering a spread of 160bps over the 10-year Malaysian Government Bond yield.

Risks: Cancellation of acquisitions, slowdown in economic growth, and lower-than-expected rental reversions.

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Source: Bloomberg