# Sarawak Oil Palms: Solid Fundamentals, Appealing Valuation; Keep BUY
9 July 2025
Sarawak Oil Palms (SOP MK)
Agriculture | Plantation
Solid Fundamentals, Appealing Valuation; Keep BUY
- Keep BUY, with new MYR3.80 from MYR4.80 TP, 22% upside and c.4% FY26F yield. We expect 2026 to be a more balanced year fundamentally, with lower YoY CPO prices, but geopolitical risks will translate to more volatility. We lower our CPO, but raise our PK price assumptions for FY25-27. We continue to like Sarawak Oil Palms for its pure play strategy, coupled with attractive valuation. The counter currently trades at 6x FY26F P/E, at the low end of its peer average of 6-11x.
- Spot CPO prices have moderated from MYR4,600-4,800/tonne in 1Q25 to a low of MYR3,780 in May, only to bounce back to MYR3,900-MYR4,100 currently. The decline was mainly driven by geopolitics in the light of US trade tariffs, wars, and crude oil prices falling as a result, all of which pushed CPO prices in the same direction. We highlight that the correlation between CPO prices and crude oil prices surged to 0.47 in Apr 2025 from -0.6 in 1Q25, and subsequently rose further to the current levels of 0.68, due to more geopolitical risks.
- What’s next for CPO prices? We expect CPO prices to remain volatile given the ever-changing geopolitical situation. Fundamentally however, global supply and demand will likely be more balanced in 2026F, as supply improves, while demand should pick up given the more attractive relative prices.
- Supply of 17 oils and fats complex is expected to improve YoY in 2026F, coming from a partial recovery of palm, sunflower and rapeseed supplies, as well as continued growth from soybeans. Still, the stock/usage ratio of the 17 oils and fats complex is still expected to remain below the historical average of 13.6%, at 12.9% for Oct 2025F/Sep 2026F, albeit up from 12.7% in 2025F. This leaves very little cushion in case of any short-term bullish supply or demand surprises, hence raising the risk of price volatility going forward.
- What does this mean for relative prices of vegetable oils and demand? Ignoring the noises from geopolitics, we expect 2026F to see: i) Muted soybean prices, due to continued strong supply in 2026F; ii) SBO prices remain supported at higher levels, due to the higher demand from increased US biofuel blending; iii) CPO prices to continue trading at a discount to SBO in the medium term (currently at USD217/tonne discount); and iv) demand from price sensitive countries like India, Pakistan, Bangladesh come back.
- We trim our CPO price to MYR4,100/tonne (from MYR4,300) for 2025F and to MYR4,000 (from MYR4,100) for 2026F and 2027F; but raise PK prices to MYR3,300/tonne for 2025F (from MYR2,800) and to MYR3,200 for 2026F and 2027F (from MYR2,600). We also update for our latest in-house forex assumptions and adjust forecasts up by 4.3%, 7.3% and 7.8% for FY25-27.
- Maintain BUY. We keep SOP’s ESG score at 2.3 and roll forward our valuation target to 2026F. With this, our TP is lowered to MYR3.80 (from MYR4.80), based on a new 8x FY26F P/E (from 10x FY26F P/E), in line with its updated historical average.
Buy (Maintained)
Target Price (Return): MYR3.80 (+22%)
Price (Market Cap): MYR3.12 (USD661m)
ESG score: 2.3 (out of 4)
Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD) 0.39m/0.09m
Analysts
Hoe Lee Leng
+603 2302 8110
hoe.lee.leng@rhbgroup.com
Iftaar Hakim Rusli
+603-23028114
iftaar.hakim.rusli@rhbgroup.com
Share Performance (%)
YTD | 1m | 3m | 6m | 12m | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Absolute | (1.9) | 1.6 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 10.2 |
Relative | 3.7 | (1.2) | 1.2 | 4.9 | 14.3 |
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) 2.71 – 3.66
Forecasts and Valuation
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover (MYRm) | 5,124 | 5,314 | 5,241 | 5,185 | 5,135 |
Recurring net profit (MYRm) | 302 | 447 | 520 | 488 | 478 |
Recurring net profit growth (%) | (39.8) | 48.1 | 16.5 | (6.2) | (2.2) |
Recurring P/E (x) | 9.21 | 6.22 | 5.34 | 5.69 | 5.82 |
P/B (x) | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
P/CF (x) | 7.54 | 4.30 | 3.67 | 3.99 | 3.99 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 5.15 | 3.78 | 2.93 | 2.67 | 2.33 |
Return on average equity (%) | 8.8 | 12.2 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 10.0 |
Net debt to equity (%) | 1.8 | net cash | net cash | net cash | net cash |
Source: Company data, RHB
Overall ESG Score: 2.3 (out of 4)
E Score: 2.3 (GOOD)
S Score: 2.0 (MODERATE)
G Score: 2.7 (GOOD)
Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page
See important disclosures at the end of this report
Sarawak Oil Palms
9 July 2025
Malaysia Company Update
Agriculture | Plantation
Emissions And ESG
Trend analysis
In 2024, Scope 1 emissions decreased to 189k tonnes of CO2 equivalents (2023: 269k tonnes of CO2 equivalents) but Scope 2 emissions also increased to 44k tonnes of CO2 equivalents (2023: 25k tonnes of CO2 equivalents). Additionally, SOP disclosed Scope 3 emissions for the first time.
Emissions (tCO2e) | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Scope 1 | 281,756 | 269,481 | 189,744 | na |
Scope 2 | 38,742 | 24,956 | 44,017 | na |
Scope 3 | – | – | 810 | na |
Total emissions | 320,498 | 294,437 | 234,571 | na |
Source: Company data, RHB
Latest ESG-Related Developments
Sustainability certification: As of end 2024, 100% of SOP’s operations are MSPO certified.
Traceability: as of end-2024, SOP managed to maintain 100% traceability to mills and achieved 94% traceability to plantation for its mills.
Reducing GHG emissions: SOP commits to reduce GHG emissions with the installation of methane capture systems at all seven POMs. (4 have been completed as at FY24) to reduce emissions at all mills.
ESG Unbundled
Overall ESG Score: 2.3 (out of 4)
Last Updated: 2 July 2025
E Score: 2.3 (GOOD)
While Sarawak Oil Palms is committed to no further development on peat areas, 45% of its landbank is still planted on peat. The company has reported a reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensity since 2017 for its estates. The company is fully Malaysian Sustainable Palm Oil-certified for its mills and estates.
S Score: 2.0 (MODERATE)
Sarawak Oil Palms is committed to free, prior and informed consent for all its employees. Its fatality accident rate has remained low, while the lost time injury frequency rate continues to trend lower. The company has not had any major labour issues in the last two years.
G Score: 2.7 (GOOD)
30% of SOP’s board members are independent, and 40% of its members are women. Additionally, it provides full disclosure on director remuneration, which includes salaries and bonuses and on a named basis. The company has an in-house investor relations team and holds briefings regularly, embodying good transparency and disclosure practices.
ESG Rating History
Source: RHB
See important disclosures at the end of this report
Sarawak Oil Palms
9 July 2025
Malaysia Company Update
Agriculture | Plantation
Financial Exhibits
Valuation basis
We apply a target P/E of 8x on Dec-2026F earnings, backed up by an EV/ha of USD10,000/ha, at the mid end of its peer average of USD8,000-15,000/ha.
Key drivers
- CPO price movement;
- FFB production output;
- Competitiveness of its downstream processing division vs peers.
Key risks
- CPO price movement;
- Weather risks;
- Demand and supply dynamics of the global vegetable oil industry.
Company Profile
Sarawak Oil Palms is involved in oil palm cultivation and CPO refining in the state of Sarawak.
Financial summary (MYR)
Recurring EPS | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.55 | 0.54 |
DPS | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
BVPS | 3.95 | 4.29 | 4.74 | 5.17 | 5.58 |
Return on average equity (%) | 8.8 | 12.2 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 10.0 |
Valuation metrics
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring P/E (x) | 9.21 | 6.22 | 5.34 | 5.69 | 5.82 |
P/B (x) | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
FCF Yield (%) | 7.9 | 15.1 | 19.4 | 16.7 | 16.2 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 5.15 | 3.78 | 2.93 | 2.67 | 2.33 |
EV/EBIT (x) | 7.43 | 4.94 | 3.69 | 3.46 | 3.09 |
Income statement (MYRm)
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover | 5,124 | 5,314 | 5,241 | 5,185 | 5,135 |
Gross profit | 744 | 644 | 712 | 684 | 689 |
EBITDA | 583 | 762 | 843 | 799 | 778 |
Depreciation and amortisation | (179) | (180) | (173) | (182) | (192) |
Operating profit | 404 | 582 | 670 | 616 | 586 |
Net interest | 14 | 34 | 34 | 51 | 67 |
Pre-tax profit | 421 | 616 | 706 | 669 | 655 |
Taxation | (106) | (150) | (169) | (161) | (157) |
Reported net profit | 301 | 447 | 520 | 488 | 478 |
Recurring net profit | 302 | 447 | 520 | 488 | 478 |
Cash flow (MYRm)
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change in working capital | (113) | (3) | 46 | 5 | 6 |
Cash flow from operations | 368 | 645 | 756 | 695 | 696 |
Capex | (148) | (227) | (217) | (232) | (247) |
Cash flow from investing activities | (832) | (299) | (217) | (232) | (247) |
Dividends paid | (42) | (193) | (116) | (107) | (107) |
Cash flow from financing activities | (12) | (523) | (328) | (319) | (319) |
Cash at beginning of period | 1,254 | 779 | 599 | 809 | 955 |
Net change in cash | (475) | (177) | 211 | 145 | 130 |
Ending balance cash | 779 | 599 | 809 | 955 | 1,085 |
Balance sheet (MYRm)
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total cash and equivalents | 779 | 599 | 809 | 955 | 1,085 |
Tangible fixed assets | 2,485 | 2,503 | 2,548 | 2,597 | 2,651 |
Total assets | 5,213 | 5,211 | 5,412 | 5,600 | 5,775 |
Short-term debt | 622 | 308 | 202 | 96 | (10) |
Total long-term debt | 223 | 220 | 114 | 8 | (98) |
Total liabilities | 1,541 | 1,225 | 1,005 | 791 | 576 |
Total equity | 3,672 | 3,986 | 4,407 | 4,809 | 5,200 |
Total liabilities & equity | 5,213 | 5,211 | 5,412 | 5,600 | 5,775 |
Key metrics
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue growth (%) | (3.5) | 3.7 | (1.4) | (1.1) | (1.0) |
Recurrent EPS growth (%) | (40.5) | 48.1 | 16.5 | (6.2) | (2.2) |
Gross margin (%) | 14.5 | 12.1 | 13.6 | 13.2 | 13.4 |
Operating EBITDA margin (%) | 11.4 | 14.3 | 16.1 | 15.4 | 15.2 |
Net profit margin (%) | 5.9 | 8.4 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 9.3 |
Dividend payout ratio (%) | 14.0 | 43.3 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 22.4 |
Capex/sales (%) | 2.9 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
Interest cover (x) | 12.1 | 30.5 | 63.6 | 117.7 | (9,684.5) |
Source: Company data, RHB
See important disclosures at the end of this report
Sarawak Oil Palms
9 July 2025
Malaysia Company Update
Agriculture | Plantation
Figure 1: SOP’s progress on ESG factors
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
ENVIRONMENT | ||||
GHG emissions | Emissions (tCO2e) | 255,266 | 212,236 | 234,571 |
GHG emissions | Intensity (tCO2e per tonne of palm product) | 0.3 | 0.24 | 0.25 |
Waste treatment | Recycling/Repurposing of waste | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Energy efficiency (water) | Water usage (m3) and intensity (m3/tonne of palm product) | 3,960,000 | 3,241,699 | 2,777,597 |
Energy efficiency | Energy consumption and intensity | 1,323,629 | 1,489,872 | 2,397,643 |
Certifications | RSPO/MSPO/ISPO certified (%) | RSPO: Nil MSPO: 100% ISPO: N/A |
RSPO: Nil MSPO: 100% ISPO: N/A |
RSPO: Nil MSPO: 100% ISPO: N/A |
Use of peat land | Peat land (%) | 45.0% | 45.0% | 45.0% |
Fire accidents | Number of accidents | None | None | None |
Usage of renewable energy | % of renewable energy used | 59.8% | 63.2% | 77.6% |
Traceability | Traceable to mills (%) | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
Traceability | Traceable to plantation (%) | 47.20% | 45.00% | 93.70%* |
SOCIAL | ||||
Channels for workers to raise concerns | Existence of grievance channels to raise concerns | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Whistleblowing policy | Policies to protect whistleblowers | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Employees’ professional/personal development | Provision of training and education | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Policy for smallholders* | Policy in place for training, yield improvement and RSPO certification | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Employees’ welfare | Accommodation and amenities provided | Yes | Yes | Yes |
GOVERNANCE | ||||
Board composition | At least half of the board being independent directors | 3/10 are independent | 3/9are independent | 3/10 are independent |
Limiting to nine years (for independent directors) | Limitation of tenure to nine years (for independent directors) | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Gender inclusivity | Female representation in the board | 50.0% | 44.4% | 40.0% |
Emphasis of sustainability at board level | Formation of a sustainability group | 3/10 are independent | 3/9are independent | 3/10 are independent |
Remuneration transparency | Full disclosure of fees and benefits on named basis | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Note: *Referring to TTP at SOP mills
Source: Company data, RHB
Figure 2: Key assumptions
FY23 | FY24 | FY25F | FY26F | FY27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
FFB production, tonnes | 1,226,566 | 1,250,346 | 1,326,931 | 1,388,115 | 1,424,204 |
% change | 2.7% | 1.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
Effective CPO price (MYR) | 3,832 | 4,230 | 4,100 | 4,000 | 4,000 |
Source: Company data, RHB
See important disclosures at the end of this report
Sarawak Oil Palms
9 July 2025
Malaysia Company Update
Agriculture | Plantation
Recommendation Chart
Date | Recommendation | Target Price | Price |
---|---|---|---|
2025-03-03 | Buy | 4.80 | 3.09 |
2024-11-28 | Buy | 4.15 | 3.40 |
2024-11-11 | Buy | 4.15 | 3.61 |
2024-10-07 | Buy | na | 3.14 |
2024-08-30 | Buy | 3.60 | 2.93 |
2024-08-12 | Buy | 3.25 | 2.83 |
2024-05-19 | Buy | 3.30 | 2.90 |
2024-02-29 | Buy | 3.20 | 2.84 |
2023-11-29 | Buy | 2.95 | 2.58 |
2023-11-20 | Buy | 2.80 | 2.59 |
2023-08-28 | Buy | 2.85 | 2.55 |
2023-07-23 | Buy | 3.00 | 2.60 |
2023-05-22 | Sell | 2.00 | 2.46 |
2023-04-18 | Neutral | 2.50 | 2.46 |
2023-03-01 | Neutral | 2.75 | 2.55 |
Source: RHB, Bloomberg
See important disclosures at the end of this report
RHB Guide to Investment Ratings
Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months
Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain
Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months
Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels
Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months
Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage
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DISCLOSURE OF CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
RHB Investment Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries (including its regional offices) and associated companies, (“RHBIB Group”) form a diversified financial group, undertaking various investment banking activities which include, amongst others, underwriting, securities trading, market making and corporate finance advisory.
As a result of the same, in the ordinary course of its business, any member of the RHBIB Group, may, from time to time, have business relationships with, hold any positions in the securities and/or capital market products (including but not limited to shares, warrants, and/or derivatives), trade or otherwise effect transactions for its own account or the account of its customers or perform and/or solicit investment, advisory or other services from any of the subject company(ies) covered in this research report.
While the RHBIB Group will ensure that there are sufficient information barriers and internal controls in place where necessary, to prevent/manage any conflicts of interest to ensure the independence of this report, investors should also be aware that such conflict of interest may exist in view of the investment banking activities undertaken by the RHBIB Group as mentioned above and should exercise their own judgement before making any investment decisions.
In Singapore, investment research activities are conducted under RHB Bank Berhad (through its Singapore branch), and the disclaimers above similarly apply.
Malaysia
Save as disclosed in the following link RHB Research Conflict Disclosures Jul 2025 and to the best of our knowledge, RHBIB hereby declares that:
- RHBIB does not have a financial interest in the securities or other capital market products of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
- RHBIB is not a market maker in the securities or capital market products of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
- None of RHBIB’s staff or associated person serve as a director or board member* of the subject company(ies) covered in this report
*For the avoidance of doubt, the confirmation is only limited to the staff of research department - RHBIB did not receive compensation for investment banking or corporate finance services from the subject company in the past 12 months.
- RHBIB did not receive compensation or benefit (including gift and special cost arrangement e.g. company/issuer-sponsored and paid trip) in relation to the production of this report.
Indonesia
Save as disclosed in the following link RHB Research Conflict Disclosures Jul 2025 and to the best of our knowledge, PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia hereby declares that:
- PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia and its investment analysts, does not have any interest in the securities of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
For the avoidance of doubt, interest in securities include the following:- Holding directly or indirectly, individually or jointly own/hold securities or entitled for dividends, interest or proceeds from the sale or exercise of the subject company’s securities covered in this report*;
- Being bound by an agreement to purchase securities or has the right to transfer the securities or has the right to pre subscribe the securities*.
- Being bound or required to buy the remaining securities that are not subscribed/placed out pursuant to an Initial Public Offering*.
- Managing or jointly with other parties managing such parties as referred to in (a), (b) or (c) above.
- PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia is not a market maker in the securities or capital market products of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
- None of PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia’s staff** or associated person serve as a director or board member* of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
- PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia did not receive compensation for investment banking or corporate finance services from the subject company in the past 12 months.
- PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia** did not receive compensation or benefit (including gift and special cost arrangement e.g. company/issuer-sponsored and paid trip) in relation to the production of this report:
Notes:
*The overall disclosure is limited to information pertaining to PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia only.
**The disclosure is limited to Research staff of PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia only.
Singapore
Save as disclosed in the following link RHB Research Conflict Disclosures Jul 2025 and to the best of our knowledge, the Singapore Research department of RHB Bank Berhad (through its Singapore branch) hereby declares that:
- RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or associated companies do not make a market in any issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
- RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies and its analysts do not have a financial interest (including a shareholding of 1% or more) in the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
- RHB Bank Berhad’s Singapore research staff or connected persons do not serve on the board or trustee positions of the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
- RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies do not have and have not within the last 12 months had any corporate finance advisory relationship with the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report or any other relationship that may create a potential conflict of interest.
- RHB Bank Berhad, or person associated or connected to it do not have any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, the securities, specified securities based derivatives contracts or units in a collective investment scheme covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
- RHB Bank Berhad’s Singapore research analysts do not receive any compensation or benefit in connection with the production of this research report or recommendation on the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts.
Analyst Certification
The analyst(s) who prepared this report, and their associates hereby, certify that:
(1) they do not have any financial interest in the securities or other capital market products of the subject companies mentioned in this report, except for:
Analyst | Company |
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(2) no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
KUALA LUMPUR
RHB Investment Bank Bhd
Level 3A, Tower One, RHB Centre
Jalan Tun Razak
Kuala Lumpur 50400
Malaysia
Tel : +603 2302 8100
Fax : +603 2302 8134
JAKARTA
PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia
Revenue Tower, 11th Floor, District 8 – SCBD
JI. Jendral Sudirman Kav 52-53
Jakarta 12190
Indonesia
Tel : +6221 5093 9888
Fax : +6221 5093 9777
SINGAPORE
RHB Bank Berhad (Singapore branch)
90 Cecil Street
#04-00 RHB Bank Building
Singapore 069531
Fax: +65 6509 0470