Sunway REIT (SREIT MK): Riding On Upswing; Keep BUY
Date: 13 August 2025
Sector: Property | REITS
Tai Yu Jie
+603 2302 8132
tai.yu.jie@rhbgroup.com
Loong Kok Wen, CFA
+603 2302 8116
loong.kok.wen@rhbgroup.com
Summary & Outlook
- Stay BUY, new DDM-derived MYR2.42 TP from MYR2.13, 13% upside and 6% yield. Sunway REIT’s 1H25 results met expectations. We continue to like the REIT for its solid growth prospects underpinned by active acquisition strategy and continuous asset enhancement initiatives. We see further upside despite its share price rally due to the wider yield spread (230bps) post interest rate cut and the growing investors’ interest in domestic defensive assets. This report marks the transfer of coverage to Tai Yu Jie.
- Within expectations. SREIT’s 1H25 core profit of MYR200.9m (+21.1% YoY) met 49% and 51% of our and Street’s full-year estimates. 2Q25 DPU came to 5.7 sen (2Q24: 4.7 sen), while 2Q25 gearing stood at 41% (2Q24: 44%).
- Results review. YoY, 1H25 revenue grew 21.5% to MYR430.3m – driven by contributions from newly acquired properties in 2024 (Sunway 163 Mall, Sunway Kluang Mall, and six hypermarkets), as well as higher revenue from Sunway Pyramid Mall following the opening of its Oasis Wing in Nov 2024. That said, 1H25 NPI margin contracted 0.8ppts to 72.5%, likely due to higher utilities and maintenance expenses. QoQ, 2Q25 revenue dipped slightly by 3.4% to MYR211.4m, likely due to softer seasonality in the absence of festive periods. 2Q25 core profit rose 3.8% QoQ to MYR102.3m due to higher interest income from larger cash balances – mainly advance rentals ahead of sales & service tax (SST) implementation.
- Outlook. We expect 3Q25 retail sales (turnover rent: 10-15% of rental income) to remain seasonally subdued in the absence of major festive periods, although this should be partly offset by the recently declared additional September public holiday and continued government measures to spur consumer spending. Despite the SST expansion, we forecast high single-digit retail rental reversions in FY25, supported by full occupancy and strong landlord bargaining power following asset enhancement efforts. In addition, the full-year contribution from 2024 acquisitions is set to drive a robust FY25F (+13.1%) profit growth, which should offset the soft hotel and office segments from rising competition. Meanwhile, the active property development activities of SREIT’s sponsor Sunway (SWB MK, BUY, TP: MYR5.81) should provide a healthy pipeline of potential acquisition opportunities to drive inorganic growth.
- Forecast and ratings. Post results, we maintain our forecasts but raise our TP to MYR2.42 after updating our cost of equity (CoE) assumption (from 7.6% to 6.8%) to reflect a revised beta and a lower risk-free rate following the recent rate cut. Our TP implies a FY26F yield of 5%, offering a spread of 160bps over the 10-year Malaysian Government Bond yield – in line with other retail REITs under our coverage. Key risks: Lower-than-expected occupancy and rental reversions, and longer-than-expected delays in acquisitions.
Share Performance (%)
Period | YTD | 1m | 3m | 6m | 12m |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Absolute | 16.2 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 10.3 | 31.9 |
Relative | 20.7 | (2.1) | 10.6 | 12.5 | 34.3 |
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) | 1.60 – 2.27 |
Forecasts and Valuation
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover (MYRm) | 705 | 767 | 877 | 898 | 924 |
Net property income (MYRm) | 516 | 570 | 649 | 665 | 684 |
Reported net profit (MYRm) | 338 | 362 | 409 | 438 | 451 |
Total distributable income (MYRm) | 319 | 181 | 389 | 418 | 431 |
DPS (MYR) | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
DPS growth (%) | (2.8) | 7.8 | 13.1 | 7.6 | 3.1 |
P/B (x) | 1.33 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.9 |
Return on average equity (%) | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
Return on average assets (%) | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
Emissions And ESG
Trend analysis: Total emissions increased by 11% from FY23 with the addition of new buildings into its portfolio.
Emissions (tCO2e) | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Scope 1 | 11 | 14 | 12 | na |
Scope 2 | 56,827 | 45,156 | 59,523 | na |
Scope 3 | 113,647 | 115,998 | 119,989 | na |
Total emissions | 170,485 | 161,168 | 179,524 | na |
Latest ESG-Related Developments
- Has an internal carbon pricing framework at MYR15 per tonne of CO2 emitted.
- The first M-REIT to implement a Green Lease Partnership programme.
- Was excluded from FTSE Indices, including FTSE4Good because of low liquidity trading volume.
- On Oct 2024, Sunway REIT completed its maiden issuance of MYR500m sustainability-linked rated perpetual securities.
- Extended green lease clauses to its “industrials and others” segment.
ESG Unbundled
Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)
Last Updated: 14 May 2025
E Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
Sunway REIT’s buildings strive for green certification standards through sustainable refurbishment practices, and supports clean energy use by providing charging bay facilities for electric vehicles – effectively reducing almost 50,000 tonnes of CO2 emission, with water consumption gradually decreasing over the years.
S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
In addition to the many benefits (care for nursing mothers, childcare subsidy) for employees of the Manager, training and engagement are also prioritised. Safety of employees is also ensured by the proper hazard identification, risk assessment, and incident investigation. Community enrichment is also of utmost importance.
G Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
A diverse and skilled board comprising 57% independent directors – 43% of whom are female. The tenure of an independent director is capped at 9 years, and the details of remuneration in the annual report are on a named basis.
Financial Exhibits
Financial summary
(MYR) | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring EPS | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
EPS | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
DPS | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
BVPS | 1.61 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.71 |
Return on average equity (%) | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.7 |
Weighted avg adjusted shares (m) | 3,424.81 | 3,424.81 | 3,424.81 | 3,424.81 | 3,424.81 |
Valuation metrics
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring P/E (x) | 21.81 | 20.36 | 18.01 | 16.80 | 16.31 |
P/E (x) | 21.81 | 20.36 | 18.01 | 16.80 | 16.31 |
P/B (x) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
FCF Yield (%) | 4.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 7.1 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.9 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | (3.05) | (2.86) | (2.47) | (2.21) | (2.14) |
EV/EBIT (x) | (3.05) | (2.86) | (2.47) | (2.21) | (2.14) |
Income statement (MYRm)
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover | 705 | 767 | 877 | 898 | 924 |
EBITDA | 468 | 518 | 579 | 593 | 610 |
Operating profit | 468 | 518 | 579 | 593 | 610 |
Net interest | (129) | (154) | (172) | (157) | (161) |
Pre-tax profit | 339 | 365 | 407 | 436 | 449 |
Taxation | (1) | (3) | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Recurring net profit | 338 | 362 | 409 | 438 | 451 |
Cash flow (MYRm)
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change in working capital | 49 | (34) | (1) | 20 | 26 |
Cash flow from operations | 299 | 403 | 445 | 500 | 520 |
Cash flow from investing activities | 125 | (1,224) | 0 | 475 | 0 |
Dividends paid | (339) | (354) | (409) | (438) | (451) |
Cash flow from financing activities | (268) | 697 | (852) | (1,357) | (895) |
Cash at beginning of period | 251 | 425 | 290 | 340 | 450 |
Net change in cash | 156 | (124) | (407) | (382) | (375) |
Ending balance cash | 408 | 301 | (117) | (42) | 76 |
Balance sheet (MYRm)
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total cash and equivalents | 425 | 290 | 340 | 450 | 552 |
Tangible fixed assets | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Total investments | 8,990 | 10,385 | 10,385 | 9,910 | 9,910 |
Total other assets | 0 | 87 | 96 | 105 | 116 |
Total assets | 9,539 | 10,803 | 10,854 | 10,497 | 10,613 |
Short-term debt | 1,637 | 1,737 | 1,737 | 1,737 | 1,737 |
Total long-term debt | 2,000 | 2,730 | 2,836 | 2,466 | 2,572 |
Total liabilities | 4,023 | 4,931 | 4,982 | 4,625 | 4,741 |
Shareholders’ equity | 5,516 | 5,872 | 5,872 | 5,872 | 5,872 |
Total equity | 5,516 | 5,872 | 5,872 | 5,872 | 5,872 |
Net debt | 3,212 | 4,177 | 4,233 | 3,753 | 3,757 |
Total liabilities & equity | 9,539 | 10,803 | 10,854 | 10,497 | 10,613 |
Key metrics
Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25F | Dec-26F | Dec-27F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue growth (%) | 10.2 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
Recurrent EPS growth (%) | 0.3 | 7.1 | 13.1 | 7.2 | 3.0 |
Operating EBITDA margin (%) | 66.4 | 67.5 | 66.0 | 66.0 | 66.0 |
Net profit margin (%) | 47.9 | 47.1 | 46.6 | 48.8 | 48.9 |
Dividend payout ratio (%) | 94.5 | 95.1 | 95.1 | 95.5 | 95.6 |
Interest cover (x) | 3.37 | 3.11 | 3.16 | 3.53 | 3.54 |
Results At a Glance
Figure 1: SREIT’s results summary
FYE Dec (MYRm) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | 1H24 | 1H25 | YoY (%) | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 175.6 | 218.9 | 211.4 | (3.4) | 20.4 | 354.2 | 430.3 | 21.5 | Revenue grew from the contribution of new acquisitions, and stronger performance from Sunway Pyramid |
Net property income | 129.3 | 157.2 | 154.9 | (1.5) | 19.8 | 259.8 | 312.1 | 20.1 | |
Interest expense | (40.0) | (42.5) | (43.8) | 3.1 | 9.5 | (77.6) | (86.3) | 11.2 | |
Interest income | 2.1 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 51.7 | >100 | 8.4 | 8.5 | >100 | Higher interest income from larger cash balances – mainly advance rentals ahead of SST implementation |
Pretax profit | 145.1 | 104.6 | 102.4 | (2.1) | (29.4) | 232.0 | 206.9 | (10.8) | |
Tax | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | nm | nm | 0.0 | 0.0 | nm | |
Reported net profit | 145.1 | 104.6 | 102.4 | (2.1) | (29.4) | 232.0 | 206.9 | (10.8) | |
Core net profit | 78.9 | 98.6 | 102.3 | 3.8 | 29.7 | 165.8 | 200.9 | 21.1 | Within expectations |
Core earnings per unit (sen) | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 29.7 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 21.1 | |
Dividends per unit (sen) | 4.7 | 0.0 | 5.7 | nm | 21.9 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 21.9 | Dividends announced semi-annually |
NPI margin (%) | 73.6 | 71.8 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 72.5 | ||||
Pretax margin (%) | 82.6 | 47.8 | 48.4 | 65.5 | 48.1 | ||||
Net margin (%) | 44.9 | 45.0 | 48.4 | 46.8 | 46.7 |
Figure 2: SREIT’s segmental revenue
FYE Dec (MYRm) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | 1H24 | 1H25 | YoY (%) | % of total revenue contribution (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail | 123.7 | 168.4 | 160.0 | (5.0) | 29.4 | 250.0 | 299.7 | 19.9 | 75.2 |
Hospitality | 19.2 | 16.1 | 16.7 | 3.9 | (12.9) | 38.3 | 32.9 | (14.3) | 8.2 |
Office | 20.8 | 20.4 | 20.4 | (0.3) | (2.2) | 42.1 | 40.8 | (3.1) | 10.2 |
Services | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 19.2 | 19.6 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
Industrial | 2.2 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 99.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 22.0 | 1.4 |
Total Revenue | 175.6 | 218.9 | 211.4 | -3.4 | 20.4 | 354.2 | 398.4 | 12.5 | 100.0 |
Figure 3: SREIT’s segmental NPI
FYE Dec (MYRm) | 2Q24 | 1Q25 | 2Q25 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | 1H24 | 1H25 | YoY (%) | % of total NPI contribution (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail | 86.2 | 116.8 | 114.1 | (2.3) | 32.4 | 173.1 | 215.2 | 24.3 | 73.2 |
Hospitality | 18.5 | 15.0 | 15.6 | 4.1 | (15.8) | 36.6 | 30.5 | (16.6) | 10.4 |
Office | 13.0 | 12.4 | 12.2 | (1.2) | (6.1) | 26.9 | 24.6 | (8.5) | 8.4 |
Services | 9.6 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 19.2 | 19.6 | 2.3 | 6.7 |
Industrial | 2.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | (1.7) | 57.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | (1.1) | 1.4 |
Total NPI | 129.3 | 157.2 | 154.9 | -1.5 | 19.8 | 259.8 | 293.9 | 13.1 | 100.0 |
Recommendation Chart
Date | Recommendation | Target Price | Price |
---|---|---|---|
2025-05-15 | Buy | 2.13 | 2.00 |
2025-02-03 | Buy | 2.07 | 1.87 |
2024-12-04 | Buy | 2.07 | 1.85 |
2024-11-15 | Buy | 1.94 | 1.82 |
2024-08-26 | Buy | 1.92 | 1.69 |
2024-08-16 | Buy | 1.85 | 1.67 |
2024-06-23 | Buy | 1.77 | 1.58 |
2023-11-17 | Buy | 1.74 | 1.55 |
2023-11-06 | Buy | 1.74 | 1.53 |
2022-11-20 | Buy | 1.60 | 1.40 |
2022-08-19 | Neutral | 1.46 | 1.54 |
2022-05-19 | Neutral | 1.46 | 1.52 |
2022-01-31 | Neutral | 1.45 | 1.39 |
2021-10-20 | Neutral | 1.54 | 1.46 |
2021-09-01 | Neutral | 1.48 | 1.43 |