Sunway Bhd: Wins Land Tender at Chuan Grove, Singapore






Sunway Bhd: Wins Land Tender at Chuan Grove, Singapore


Sunway Bhd: Wins Land Tender at Chuan Grove, Singapore

COMPANY UPDATE

Friday, July 18, 2025

FBMKLCI: 1,520.94

Sector: Property

Thiam Chiann Wen

Tel: +603-2167 9615

cwthiam@ta.com.my

www.taonline.com.my

TP: RM5.68 (+13.8%)

Last Traded: RM4.99

BUY (ESG: ★★★★★)

Wins Singapore Land Tender at Chuan Grove

Sunway, through a joint venture (JV) with Sing Holdings Residential Pte Ltd (35:65 shareholding), has successfully secured a 15,831.5 sqm land parcel at Chuan Grove, Singapore, for SGD703.6mn (approximately RM2.34bn). The 3.9-acre site, awarded by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), carries a 99-year lease term. Based on the maximum allowable gross floor area (GFA) of 47,495 sqm, the winning bid translates to SGD1,376 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr).

The Chuan Grove tender, which closed on 8 July 2025, garnered strong competition with seven bids submitted. The Sunway-Sing Holdings JV emerged top with a bid 7.3% above CDL’s offer, while Sim Lian Group trailed by just 0.1%. Kingsford, developer of Chuan Park (launched in November 2024), ranked fourth at SGD1,251 psf ppr – see Appendix 1.

Separately, a nearby plot with a potential yield of 505 units was launched for tender in May, with submissions closing on 4 September – see Appendix 2.

Prime Location with Strong Connectivity

The site is located along Chuan Grove off Lorong Chuan in District 19. Spanning 170,409 sq ft, this 99-year leasehold parcel is conveniently situated within 400 metres of Lorong Chuan MRT Station on the Circle Line, providing easy access to the Bishan and Serangoon MRT interchanges just one stop away. By 1H 2026, the completion of additional stations between Harbour Front and Marina Bay will fully close the Circle Line loop, further enhancing connectivity. The site is also near the Central Expressway (CTE), allowing a 10-minute drive to Singapore’s Central area.

Amenities include nearby malls such as NEX, Junction 8, Upper Serangoon Shopping Centre, and NTP+ at New Tech Park. The location is family-friendly, with St. Gabriel’s Primary School and Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary School within 1km, alongside international options like the Australian International School and Stamford American International School – see Appendix 3 & 4 for location of the site.

Residential Development Targeted for Launch in 1H2026

The land is earmarked for a high-rise residential development comprising three towers with approximately 550 units. The project’s development timeline spans 60 months, starting on 17 July 2025, with an official launch expected in 2H2026. The GDV for the project has not been determined yet.

Share Information
Bloomberg Code SWB MK
Stock Code 5211
Listing Main Market
Share Cap (mn) 6,225.4
Market Cap (RMmn) 31,064.5
52-wk Hi/Lo (RM) 5.10/3.51
12-mth Avg Daily Vol (‘000 shrs) 0.6
Estimated Free Float (%) 49.0
Beta 1.4
Major Shareholders (%)
Tan Sri Dato’ Seri Dr. Jeffery Cheah (59.4) EPF (8.5)
Forecast Revision
FY25 FY26
Forecast Revision (%) 0.0 0.0
Net profit (RMmn) 1044.5 1126.8
Consensus 1059.4 1161.4
TA’s / Consensus (%) 98.6 97.0
Previous Rating Buy (Maintained)
Consensus TP (RM) 5.23
Financial Indicators
FY25 FY26
Net gearing (%) 43.5 40.9
CFPS (sen) 3.7 7.4
P/CFPS (x) 133.4 67.5
ROE (%) 6.8 7.1
ROA (%) 3.2 3.4
NTA/Share (RM) 2.3 2.4
Price/ NTA (x) 2.2 2.1
Share Performance (%)
Price Change SWB FBM KLCI
1 mth 5.3 0.6
3 mth 13.7 2.5
6 mth 18.8 (2.9)
12 mth 20.5 (6.9)

(12-Mth) Share Price relative to the FBMKLCI. Source: Bloomberg

Our View

Positive on Sunway’s Expansion Drive in Singapore.

We view this successful tender as a strategic move that strengthens Sunway’s residential pipeline in Singapore. Notably, it marks Sunway’s first partnership with Sing Holdings, expanding its partnership base beyond its long-standing collaboration with Hoi Hup Realty.

The Chuan Grove site complements Sunway’s ongoing efforts to scale up its Singapore presence. Its current project pipeline includes:

  • Private Condominiums: Terra Hill (launched in February 2023; 49% take-up), The Continuum (launched in April 2023; 72% take-up), and the Tampines site (targeted launch in 1H2026).
  • Executive Condominiums (EC): Novo Place (launched in November 2024; 97% sold), and Otto Place (launching in July 2025).

Primed for Success: Strategic Location and Proven Market Demand

We believe Sunway’s entry into Chuan Grove is well-positioned to capture demand, given the site’s prime location within the mature and established Serangoon planning area. The neighbourhood’s appeal is driven by its proximity to reputable schools, a wide range of amenities, excellent MRT connectivity, and limited new residential supply. These factors combine to make it a highly desirable address for homebuyers.

Additionally, the robust participation in the land tender, with the top four bids clustered within a 10% range, reflects broad developer confidence in the site’s value. Notably, the winning bid of SGD1,376 psf ppr ranks as the second highest Outside Central Region (OCR) land bid in 2025, just slightly below the SGD1,388 psf ppr benchmark set at Bayshore Road. This signal continued optimism for well-located OCR developments.

The strong sales performance of Chuan Park by Kingsford Group, just 200 metres from Chuan Grove, reinforces our positive view. Launched in November 2024, Chuan Park achieved 76% take-up during its launch weekend and has since reached 84% sales at a median price of SGD2,591 psf. With limited unsold inventory in the area and steady demand from HDB upgraders and potential downgraders from nearby landed estates Serangoon, Bishan, and Ang Mo Kio, we believe Chuan Grove is well-positioned to replicate this success.

Potential GDV of SGD1.2bn to 1.4bn.

We estimate Chuan Grove’s potential gross development value (GDV) at SGD1.2bn to SGD1.4bn. Based on a land cost-to-GDV ratio of 50-60%, this implies an indicative launch price of between SGD2,300 and SGD2,800 psf (see Figure 1).

Figure 1: Potential GDV

Land Cost (SGD mn) 703.6
Land Cost to GDV ratio (%) 50% 60%
GDV (SGD mn) 1407 1173
Max GFA (sqm) 47,495 47,495
Max GFA (sq ft) 511,231 511,231
Average Selling Price (SGD/psf) 2,753 2,294
Source: TA Research

This range is broadly in line with Chuan Park’s recent transactions, where prices have remained resilient since its launch in November 2024. From January to June 2025, Chuan Park recorded average unit prices between SGD2,545 and SGD2,693 psf, with the highest transacted prices consistently exceeding SGD2,700 psf from April to June, reaching up to SGD2,766 psf (see Appendix 5).

Separately, property consultants expect new launches in the vicinity to start from SGD2,700 psf, with average selling prices potentially reaching between SGD2,900 and SGD3,000 psf, depending on specifications, finishes, and market conditions at launch.

Impact

No change to our FY25-27 earnings forecasts pending more details on the proposed development.

Valuation

We maintain Buy on Sunway with an unchanged TP of RM5.68/share, based on SOP valuation and a 5% ESG premium.

SOP Valuation Table

Stake Value (RM mn) RM/share* Valuation Methodology
Property Dev & Inv 100.0% 11,521.7 1.74 22x CY26 Earnings
SunCon 54.6% 4,066.1 0.62 TP of RM5.76
Sunway REIT 40.9% 3,067.6 0.46 TP of RM2.19
Healthcare 84.0% 16,170.0 2.45 25x CY26 EV/EBITDA
Trading & Manufacturing 100.0% 571.2 0.09 12x CY26 Earnings
Quarry & Others 100.0% 384.5 0.06 12x CY26 Earnings
Total 35,781.1 5.41
ESG ★★★★★ 5.0%
Fair Value 5.68
Note*: Fully diluted. The calculation of value/share includes the ordinary shares that will be issued upon the mandatory conversion of ICPS.
Source: TA Research

Appendices

Appendix I: List of Bidders for Chuan Grove Government Land Sales (GLS)

Ranking Name of Tenderer Tendered Sale Price ($) Tendered Sale Price in $PSM of GFA
1 Sing Holdings Residential Pte. Ltd. and Sunway Developments Pte. Ltd. 703,600,000.00 14,814.19
2 CDL Divine Pte. Ltd. 655,500,000.00 13,801.45
3 Sim Lian Land Pte Ltd and Sim Lian Development Pte Ltd 655,000,000.00 13,790.93
4 Kingsford Huray Development Pte Ltd 639,570,000.00 13,466.05
5 Coli (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. 615,000,000.00 12,948.73
6 Intrepid Investments Pte. Ltd. and TID Residential Pte. Ltd. 598,504,178.00 12,601.41
7 Japura Development Pte Ltd 512,000,000.00 10,780.08
Source: URA

Appendix 2: Chuan Grove GLS and Chuan Grove Plot 2 GLS Overview

Chuan Grove Plot 2 Chuan Grove
Site Location Chuan Grove Plot 2 Chuan Grove
Site Area 14,514.3 m2 15,831.5 m2
Land Use Zoning / Allowable Development Residential Residential
Gross Floor Area (GFA) Overall GFA
Maximum GFA: 43,543 sqm
Minimum GFA: 39,189 sqm
An Early Childhood Development Centre with a minimum GFA of 500 sqm shall be provided within the development.
Overall GFA
Maximum GFA: 47,495 sqm
Minimum GFA: 42,746 sqm
An Early Childhood Development Centre with a minimum GFA of 500 sqm shall be provided within the development.
Maximum Building Height Up to a maximum allowable height control of 100m to 110m High-rise Zone 1: Up to a maximum allowable height control of 90m
High-rise Zone 2: Up to a maximum allowable height control of 100m
Estimated Number of Housing Units 505 550
Lease Period 99 years 99 years
Source: URA

Appendix 3: Location of the Land

The site is located in Singapore, near major natural parks like Sungei Buloh Wetland Reserve, Chestnut Nature Park, and Thomson Nature Park. The specific site, Chuan Grove, is situated in a central residential area, close to Bishan, Serangoon, Toa Payoh, and Bidadari. It is strategically positioned near major transportation hubs and landmarks like Changi Airport and the Singapore Air Force Museum.

Appendix 4: Location of the Land

The site is within walking distance of the Lorong Chuan MRT Station and is only one (1) stop away from Bishan and Serangoon MRT interchanges.

Connectivity

  • Lorong Chuan MRT Station (walking distance)
  • Bishan MRT interchanges
  • Serangoon MRT interchanges
  • Central Expressway
  • The Pan Island Expressway

Nearby facilities and amenities

  • NTP+ mall
  • Junction 8
  • NEX
  • Education institutions include St Gabriel’s Primary School, Kuo Chuan Presbyterian Primary School, Nanyang Junior College and The Australian International School.

Appendix 5: Chuan Park Transactions, Unit Price (SGD psf)

Period Average Unit Price ($psf) Highest Unit Price ($psf)
Nov 2024 (Qtr4) $2,586 $2,765
Dec 2024 (Qtr4) $2,665 $2,727
Jan 2025 (Qtr1) $2,634 $2,728
Feb 2025 (Qtr1) $2,592 $2,785
Mar 2025 (Qtr1) $2,545 $2,692
Apr 2025 (Qtr2) $2,663 $2,717
May 2025 (Qtr2) $2,567 $2,741
Jun 2025 (Qtr2) $2,693 $2,766
Source: SRI Research, URA Realis

Earnings Summary

Profit and Loss (RM’mn)

FYE Dec 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
Revenue 6139.8 7882.5 7931.6 8493.3 9045.8
EBITDA 785.6 1031.4 975.4 1053.8 1102.5
Depreciation (121.2) (144.1) (120.1) (137.3) (133.7)
Amortisation 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
EBIT 664.4 887.3 855.3 916.5 968.8
Finance cost (68.2) (6.3) (87.4) (91.4) (95.4)
Associate & JV 397.0 643.1 595.7 651.4 786.0
EI 84.6 187.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
PBT 993.2 1524.1 1363.6 1476.5 1659.4
Tax (137.7) (241.8) (259.1) (280.5) (315.3)
MI (117.8) (128.0) (60.1) (69.1) (74.9)
Net profit 737.8 1154.2 1044.5 1126.8 1269.2
Core profit 653.2 966.4 1044.5 1126.8 1269.2
Core EPS (sen) 10.1 13.9 15.4 17.0 19.2
DPS (sen) 5.5 6.0 7.5 8.5 8.5

Balance Sheet (RM’mn)

FYE Dec 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
PPE 1,357.7 1,251.6 1,431.6 1,394.3 1,360.5
Land held for dev 2,365.7 2,145.4 2,145.4 2,145.4 2,145.4
Associate & JV 9,795.0 9,961.7 10,393.4 10,875.4 11,661.4
Investment Properties 2,663.7 2,973.0 3,073.0 3,273.0 3,423.0
Goodwill 388.3 387.9 387.9 387.9 387.9
Others 2,068.9 1,841.2 1,841.2 1,841.2 1,841.2
LT Assets 18,639.1 18,560.9 19,272.5 19,917.2 20,819.5
Property dev. Cost 2,528.3 2,926.5 2,926.5 2,926.5 2,926.5
Inventories 213.7 247.3 982.2 1,051.8 1,120.2
Trade & other receivables 2,790.3 3,304.0 2,853.6 3,055.7 3,254.5
Cash & Cash equivalent 2,300.4 4,355.7 4,623.4 5,118.5 5,504.0
Others 2,112.1 2,115.9 2,115.9 2,115.9 2,115.9
ST Assets 9,944.7 12,949.5 13,501.7 14,268.4 14,921.1
Asset held for sale 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Assets 28,583.8 31,510.4 32,774.2 34,185.6 35,740.6
Trade and other payables 3,102.7 3,762.0 3,917.2 4,194.6 4,467.4
ST Borrowings 6,017.6 5,971.8 6,221.8 6,471.8 6,721.8
Others 121.3 182.6 182.6 182.6 182.6
ST Liabilities 9,241.6 9,916.5 10,321.7 10,849.1 11,371.9
LT Borrowings 3,632.7 4,905.4 5,155.4 5,405.4 5,655.4
Others 709.2 750.8 750.8 750.8 750.8
LT Liabilities 4,341.9 5,656.2 5,906.2 6,156.2 6,406.2
Share Cap 6,160.8 7,048.7 7,537.6 7,782.1 7,782.1
Reserves 7,689.6 7,941.7 8,001.5 8,321.9 9,029.1
Shareholder’s Funds 13,850.4 14,990.4 15,539.1 16,103.9 16,811.1
Perps 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MI 1,149.9 947.2 1,007.3 1,076.4 1,151.4
Liabilities + Equities 28,583.8 31,510.4 32,774.2 34,185.6 35,740.6

Cash Flow (RM’mn)

FYE Dec 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
PBT 993.2 1524.1 1363.6 1476.5 1659.4
Depr & Amort 121.2 144.1 120.1 137.3 133.7
Change in working assets (237.3) 111.9 (129.3) 5.8 5.7
Tax (137.7) (241.8) (259.1) (280.5) (315.3)
Others (280.5) 35.8 (431.7) (482.0) (786.0)
CFO 459.0 1574.1 663.6 857.0 697.5
Capex (258.1) (329.0) (300.0) (100.0) (100.0)
Property Inv (86.1) (116.0) (100.0) (200.0) (150.0)
Others (214.3) 418.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
CFI (558.4) (26.3) (400.0) (300.0) (250.0)
Net Addition/Rpmt 46.0 690.9 500.0 500.0 500.0
Dividend Paid (326.8) (395.3) (495.8) (562.0) (562.0)
Others 676.4 217.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
CFF 415.9 572.5 4.2 (62.0) (62.0)
Change in cash 316.4 2120.4 267.7 495.1 385.5
FCF/share (1.6) 22.0 3.5 7.2 5.8

Ratios

FYE Dec 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
EPS Growth (%) 6.3 37.1 10.9 10.6 12.6
PER (x) 49.3 35.9 32.4 29.3 26.0
GDPS (sen) 5.5 6.0 7.5 8.5 8.5
Div Yield (%) 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7
Net Debt (RM mn) 7349.9 6521.5 6753.8 6758.7 6873.2
Net gearing (x) 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
ROE (%) 5.0 6.7 6.8 7.1 7.7
ROA (%) 2.4 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.6
NTA/share (RM) 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5
P/NTA (x) 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0

Assumptions

FYE Dec 2023 2024 2025F 2026F 2027F
New Property Sales 2445.0 3007.0 3600.0 3600.0 3750.0
Property Margins 20.5 17.1 17.9 18.0 17.8

Sector Recommendation Guideline

OVERWEIGHT: The total return of the sector, as per our coverage universe, exceeds 12%.

NEUTRAL: The total return of the sector, as per our coverage universe, is within the range of 7% to 12%.

UNDERWEIGHT: The total return of the sector, as per our coverage universe, is lower than 7%.

Stock Recommendation Guideline

BUY: Total return of the stock exceeds 12%.

HOLD: Total return of the stock is within the range of 7% to 12%.

SELL: Total return of the stock is lower than 7%.

Not Rated: The company is not under coverage. The report is for information only.

Total Return of the stock includes expected share price appreciation, adjustment for ESG rating and gross dividend. Gross dividend is excluded from total return if dividend discount model valuation is used to avoid double counting. Total Return of the sector is market capitalisation weighted average of total return of the stocks in the sector.

ESG Scoring & Guideline

Scoring Environmental Social Governance Average
Remark ★★★★★
The group implements a comprehensive programme aiming to reduce to GHG emission, water & waste with relevant targets and deadlines. It implemented a Zero Single Plastic Use Policy in its property division’s assets, venues, and events.
★★★★★
The group provides a conducive work environment, promoting diversity and equal opportunity. The company has strict regulations concerning health and safety, collaborating with suppliers and subcontractors to enforce them.
★★★★★
Sunway upholds high standards of corporate governance and transparency to safeguard shareholders’ interests. It has an in-house investor relations team that is easily contactable.
★★★★★
★★★★★ (≥80%) Displayed market leading capabilities in integrating ESG factors in all aspects of operations, management and future directions. +5% premium to target price
★★★★ (60-79%) Above adequate integration of ESG factors into most aspects of operations, management and future directions. +3% premium to target price
★★★ (40-59%) Adequate integration of ESG factors into operations, management and future directions. No changes to target price
★★ (20-39%) Have some integration of ESG factors in operations and management but are insufficient. -3% discount to target price
★ (<20%) Minimal or no integration of ESG factors in operations and management. -5% discount to target price

Disclaimer

The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy and/or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein.

As of Friday, July 18, 2025, the analyst, Thiam Chiann Wen, who prepared this report, has interest in the following securities covered in this report: (a) nil


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