Sime Darby Property (SDPR MK)On Track To Multiply Long-Term Value; BUY






Sime Darby Property (SDPR MK) On Track To Multiply Long-Term Value; BUY


RHB
Compliant
Shariah

22 August 2025

Sime Darby Property (SDPR MK)
On Track To Multiply Long-Term Value; BUY

Malaysia Results Review

Property | Real Estate

Target Price (Return): MYR2.33 (+54%)
Price (Market Cap): MYR1.51 (USD2,430m)
ESG score: 3.2 (out of 4)
Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD): 17.3m/4.07m

Analyst

Loong Kok Wen, CFA
+603 2302 8116
loong.kok.wen@rhbgroup.com

  • Maintain BUY and MYR2.33 TP, 54% upside with c.3% FY26F yield. Sime Darby Property’s 2Q25 earnings fell below expectations, as some projects are at the initial stage of construction. Property sales were fairly strong, with MYR2bn booked in 1H25, ie on track to meet its full-year MYR3.6bn target. Looking ahead, SDPR will start developing three more warehousing facilities in Bandar Bukit Raja, as Metrohub 1 and 2 are already 100% and 88% occupied. This should strengthen the company’s long-term recurring income base and expand its asset portfolio for the upcoming REIT listing exercise.
  • 2Q25 results review. As expected, property development revenue improved QoQ, as construction works accelerated after a slow 1Q25. The property investment segment continued to grow, with full-quarter contributions from the warehouse in Bandar Bukit Raja following the completion of the acquisition of the remaining 50% stake, back in March. The performance of the leisure & hospitality segment was boosted by increased banqueting activities, especially during the Aidil Fitri festive season. Meanwhile, net gearing increased to 0.31x from 0.28x in 1Q25, driven by funding requirements to grow income-generating investment properties. Just like in 2Q24, a 1.5 sen first DPS was declared.
  • Stronger property sales in 2Q25. 2Q25 property sales amounted to MYR1.07bn, vs MYR927.5m in 1Q25. 1H25 total sales of MYR2bn were mainly contributed by industrial products (MYR803m, 40% of total), followed by residential landed (MYR506.2m, 25% of total), residential high-rise (MYR449m, 22% of total), and commercial products (MYR211.6m, 10% of total). Among all the segments, residential landed grew the most QoQ – chiefly due to the strong take-up rate in Elmina Ridge 2. About MYR2.2bn worth of projects were launched in 1H25, and the major ones include Elmina Ridge 2 (a premium landed residential phase with a GDV of MYR272m), SJCC East One (a residential high-rise transit-oriented development with a GDV of MYR533m), and Karya (2-storey shophouses in Bandar Bukit Raja 2 with a GDV of MYR151m).
  • MYR1.6bn launches for 2H25. Management plans to roll out another MYR1.6bn worth of launches. In addition to the current bookings of MYR1.6bn to be converted into contractual sales, SDPR should be able to meet (or surpass) its MYR3.6bn sales target by the year-end.
  • Forecasts. We make minimal changes to our earnings forecasts. Unbilled sales stood at MYR3.9bn, from MYR3.8bn as at 1Q25.
  • Maintain TP. Our TP (with a 4% ESG premium) is based on a 25% discount to RNAV.

Share Performance (%)

YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m
Absolute (10.7) (5.0) 2.7 (3.2) 9.4
Relative (7.7) (9.5) (0.4) (3.3) 12.0
52-wk Price low/high (MYR) 1.10 – 1.74
Sime Darby Property (SDPR MK)
Price Close • Relative to FBM KLCI (RHS)
Chart data not provided in OCR.

Source: Bloomberg

Forecasts and Valuation

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total turnover (MYRm) 3,437 4,251 4,383 4,512 5,051
Recurring net profit (MYRm) 403 502 572 609 655
Recurring net profit growth (%) 46.9 24.7 13.9 6.4 7.7
Recurring EPS (MYR) 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10
DPS (MYR) 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05
Recurring P/E (x) 25.50 20.45 17.95 16.88 15.67
P/B (x) 1.02 1.00 0.97 0.94 0.91
Dividend Yield (%) 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 3.0
Return on average equity (%) 4.2 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.9
Net debt to equity (%) 22.3 23.9 29.1 29.4 34.8

Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)

E Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)

S Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)

G Score: 2.7 (GOOD)

Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page

Source: Company data, RHB

Sime Darby Property
Malaysia Results Review
Property | Real Estate

22 August 2025

Emissions And ESG

Trend analysis

The reduction in SDPR’s Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions in 2022 was mainly due to energy efficiency initiatives through retrofitting of components, as well as the implementation of energy-saving practices.

Emissions (tCO2e)

Dec-22 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25
Scope 1 744 na na na
Scope 2 13,510 na na na
Scope 3 na na na na
Total emissions 14,254 na na na

Source: Company data, RHB

Latest ESG-Related Developments

SDPR plans to install solar solutions at its township developments, and will also venture into solar farming to supply green energy to off-takers, potentially from its industrial parks.

ESG Unbundled

Overall ESG Score: 3.2 (out of 4)
Last Updated: 20 May 2025

E Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
SDPR has converted 36,000 tonnes of palm oil trunks into biomass fuel pellets at some of its townships. It has also planted >90,000 trees since Sep 2011. So far, it has seven green certified projects.

S Score: 3.3 (EXCELLENT)
SDPR has built homes for the B40 community and multi-generational inclusive homes with access for the disabled. It also has 600 members in its young sustainability ambassadors programme, an educational engagement for children centred around sustainable living, civil society and the environment.

G Score: 2.7 (GOOD)
56% of its board members are independent directors, with full disclosure on remuneration, which includes salaries and bonuses on a named basis. SDPR has an in-house investor relations team and holds investor meetings regularly, embodying good transparency and disclosure practices.

ESG Rating History

ESG Rating History Chart (Data not provided in OCR)

Source: RHB

Sime Darby Property
Malaysia Results Review
Property | Real Estate

22 August 2025

Financial Exhibits

Asia
Malaysia
Property
Sime Darby Property
SDPR MK
Buy

Financial summary (MYR)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Recurring EPS 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10
EPS 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10
DPS 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05
BVPS 1.48 1.51 1.56 1.61 1.66
Return on average equity (%) 4.2 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.9
Return on average assets (%) 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.5

Valuation basis

Our SOP valuation comprises:

  1. 25% discount to RNAV for the property segment;
  2. DCF for the data centre investments.

Valuation metrics

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Recurring P/E (x) 25.50 20.45 17.95 16.88 15.67
P/B (x) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Dividend Yield (%) 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 3.0
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.47 10.23 11.90 11.05 10.70

Key drivers

Large landbank

Key risks

Weaker-than-expected market conditions

Company Profile

Sime Darby Property is the largest landowner among all the listed developers, with various township, commercial and integrated developments under its belt.

Income statement (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total turnover 3,437 4,251 4,383 4,512 5,051
Gross profit 1,009 1,356 1,311 1,416 1,546
EBITDA 655 982 900 982 1,082
Depreciation and amortisation (32) (65) (44) (62) (84)
Operating profit 623 917 856 920 998
Net interest 40 42 40 32 10
Pre-tax profit 610 780 815 872 939
Taxation (193) (262) (236) (253) (272)
Reported net profit 408 502 572 609 655
Recurring net profit 403 502 572 609 655

Cash flow (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Change in working capital (244) 115 (338) (41) (170)
Cash flow from operations 258 877 365 720 651
Capex (39) (47) (700) (500) (1,000)
Cash flow from investing activities (39) (47) (700) (500) (1,000)
Dividends paid (157) (172) (204) (238) (272)
Cash flow from financing activities 1 (11) (204) (238) (272)
Cash at beginning of period 985 603 640 488 656
Net change in cash 220 819 (539) (18) (621)
Ending balance cash 1,206 1,421 102 470 35

Balance sheet (MYRm)

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Total cash and equivalents 603 640 488 656 731
Tangible fixed assets 6,245 7,164 7,821 8,259 9,175
Intangible assets 6 9 9 9 9
Total investments 3,315 2,961 2,961 2,961 2,961
Total other assets 1,771 1,704 1,704 1,704 1,704
Total assets 15,940 16,524 17,479 18,179 19,561
Short-term debt 413 1,213 1,213 1,213 1,213
Total long-term debt 2,481 1,932 2,432 2,732 3,532
Total liabilities 5,657 6,027 6,641 6,994 8,015
Shareholders’ equity 10,057 10,266 10,600 10,936 11,285
Minority interests 226 231 238 249 260
Total equity 10,284 10,497 10,838 11,185 11,545
Total liabilities & equity 15,940 16,524 17,479 18,179 19,561

Key metrics

Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25F Dec-26F Dec-27F
Revenue growth (%) 25.3 23.7 3.1 2.9 11.9
Recurring net profit growth (%) 46.9 24.7 13.9 6.4 7.7
Recurrent EPS growth (%) 46.9 24.7 13.9 6.4 7.7
Gross margin (%) 29.4 31.9 29.9 31.4 30.6
Recurring net profit margin (%) 11.7 11.8 13.1 13.5 13.0
Dividend payout ratio (%) 42.2 40.6 41.6 44.7 46.7

Source: Company data, RHB

Sime Darby Property
Malaysia Results Review
Property | Real Estate

22 August 2025

Results At a Glance

Figure 1: Quarterly results

FYE Dec (MYRm) 1Q24 4Q24 1Q25 QoQ (%) YoY (%) Comments
Turnover 978.7 977.0 871.6 (10.8) (10.9)
Prop Dev. 925.6 908.1 808.3 (11.0) (12.7) The lower revenue was mainly due to lesser launches in 2H24 and lower financial progress from industrial products, as these have yet to meet the revenue recognition criteria.
Prop Investment 29.1 43.3 38.7 (10.6) 33.3 Revenue was higher in 4Q24 due to higher turnover under the concession arrangement, while the retail sub-segment benefited from higher rent from gross turnover and the boost from festive period promotions.
Leisure & Hospitality 24.0 25.7 24.5 (4.4) 2.2
EBIT 196.2 157.5 189.3 20.2 (3.5)
Prop Dev. 190.6 310.2 231.8 (25.3) 21.6
Prop Investment 7.7 6.4 11.6 80.1 n.m.
Leisure & Hospitality (1.7) (3.6) (3.1) (15.3) 76.6
Net interest 8.0 8.9 11.8 33.2 47.5 Finance costs decreased in 1Q25 from higher interest capitalisation as qualifying assets grew.
Pretax profit 180.8 143.3 179.6 25.3 (0.7) The improvement in PBT margin in 1Q25 was attributed to lower marketing and selling expenses, driven by more cost-effective promotional efforts during the quarter.
Taxation (53.5) (51.3) (57.4) 12.0 7.5
Minority interest (3.8) (3.6) (3.7) 4.4 (0.4)
Net profit 123.6 88.4 118.4 33.9 (4.2)
Core net profit 123.6 88.4 118.4 33.9 (4.2) Below expectations.
EPS (sen) 1.8 1.3 1.7 0.0
Gross DPS (sen) 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0
NTA/share (RM) 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0
EBIT margin (%) 20.0 16.1 21.7 0.0
Pretax margin (%) 18.5 14.7 20.6 0.0
Tax rate (%) 29.6 35.8 32.0 0.0

Source: Company data, RHB

Sime Darby Property
Malaysia Results Review
Property | Real Estate

22 August 2025

Figure 2: RNAV estimate

Property development

Remaining nett acreage Remaining GDV (MYRm) Effective interest NPV @9.7% (MYRm)
Bukit Jelutong, Shah Alam 79 1,700 60% 57.19
Elmina West 783 17,000 100% 949.12
Elmina East 132 2,000 100% 155.36
Denai Alam 37 700 100% 58.98
Kota Elmina 838 9,700 100% 651.27
Bandar Bukit Raja 1, Klang 32 300 100% 29.81
Bandar Bukit Raja 2 & 3 Klang 781 13,200 100% 886.26
Serenia City, Dengkil/Sepang 459 7,700 100% 623.43
Nilai Impian 1, Nilai 177 1,200 100% 96.72
Nilai Impian 2, Nilai 174 2,400 100% 178.12
Bandar Ainsdale, Seremban 164 1,200 100% 47.10
Bandar University Pagoh, Muar 1,937 8,800 100% 558.36
Taman Pasir Putih, Pasir Gudang 62 200 100% 15.29
Hamilton (MVV) 90 500 100% 37.38
Ara Damansara 3 100 100% 11.97
KLGCC Resort 35 4,900 100% 518.95
KL East 31 2,500 100% 219.28
Putra Heights 29 2,100 100% 162.69
SJ7 39 5,200 100% 389.93
SJCC 22 4,000 100% 218.97
Vision Business Park, Labu 760 3,040 100% 141.39
New Kapar land (Bandar Bukit Raja 4) 949 3,500 100% 150.30
Battersea Power Station London 15 24,072 40% 6.50
Land for future development 1,473 25,260 100% 692.51
Non-core land 1,123 100% 2,067
Total 10,247 141,572 8,924

Unbilled sales 432.00

Shareholders’ equity 10,324.56

Total RNAV for property 19,680.13

Discount to RNAV 25%

Discounted RNAV for property 14,760.10

Google DC 1 575.91

Google DC 2 1,590.70

Total RNAV 16,926.71

Share cap 6,800.84

RNAV/share 2.49

Holding co discount 10%

Intrinsic price 2.24

ESG premium/discount 4%

Target price 2.33

Source: Company data, RHB

Sime Darby Property
Malaysia Results Review
Property | Real Estate

22 August 2025

Recommendation Chart

Recommendation Chart (Data not provided in OCR)
Date Recommendation Target Price Price
2025-02-26 Buy 2.33 1.47
2024-12-02 Buy 2.33 1.50
2024-10-27 Buy 2.20 1.47
2024-08-22 Buy 2.00 1.40
2024-06-11 Buy 2.00 1.34
2024-05-23 Buy 1.54 1.16
2024-05-22 Buy 1.42 1.07
2024-02-25 Buy 1.05 0.80
2023-11-26 Buy 0.93 0.63
2023-08-28 Buy 0.93 0.69
2023-07-30 Buy 0.67 0.59
2023-05-25 Buy 0.55 0.47
2022-11-29 Neutral 0.55 0.49
2022-08-29 Neutral 0.53 0.49
2022-08-25 Neutral 0.53 0.48

Source: RHB, Bloomberg

RHB

RHB Guide to Investment Ratings

Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months

Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain

Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months

Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels

Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months

Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage

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  1. RHBIB does not have a financial interest in the securities or other capital market products of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
  2. RHBIB is not a market maker in the securities or capital market products of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
  3. None of RHBIB’s staff or associated person serve as a director or board member* of the subject company(ies) covered in this report

*For the avoidance of doubt, the confirmation is only limited to the staff of research department

Indonesia

Save as disclosed in the following link RHB Research Conflict Disclosures Aug 2025 and to the best of our knowledge, PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia hereby declares that:

  1. PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia and its investment analysts, does not have any interest in the securities of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
    For the avoidance of doubt, interest in securities include the following:
    1. Holding directly or indirectly, individually or jointly own/hold securities or entitled for dividends, interest or proceeds from the sale or exercise of the subject company’s securities covered in this report*;
    2. Being bound by an agreement to purchase securities or has the right to transfer the securities or has the right to pre subscribe the securities*.
    3. Being bound or required to buy the remaining securities that are not subscribed/placed out pursuant to an Initial Public Offering*.
    4. Managing or jointly with other parties managing such parties as referred to in (a), (b) or (c) above.
  2. PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia is not a market maker in the securities or capital market products of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
  3. None of PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia’s staff** or associated person serve as a director or board member* of the subject company(ies) covered in this report.
  4. PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia did not receive compensation for investment banking or corporate finance services from the subject company in the past 12 months.
  5. PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia** did not receive compensation or benefit (including gift and special cost arrangement e.g. company/issuer-sponsored and paid trip) in relation to the production of this report:

Notes:
*The overall disclosure is limited to information pertaining to PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia only.
**The disclosure is limited to Research staff of PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia only.

Singapore

Save as disclosed in the following link RHB Research Conflict Disclosures Aug 2025 and to the best of our knowledge, the Singapore Research department of RHB Bank Berhad (through its Singapore branch) hereby declares that:

  1. RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or associated companies do not make a market in any issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
  2. RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies and its analysts do not have a financial interest (including a shareholding of 1% or more) in the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
  3. RHB Bank Berhad’s Singapore research staff or connected persons do not serve on the board or trustee positions of the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
  4. RHB Bank Berhad, its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies do not have and have not within the last 12 months had any corporate finance advisory relationship with the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report or any other relationship that may create a potential conflict of interest.
  5. RHB Bank Berhad, or person associated or connected to it do not have any interest in the acquisition or disposal of, the securities, specified securities based derivatives contracts or units in a collective investment scheme covered by the Singapore research analysts in this report.
  6. RHB Bank Berhad’s Singapore research analysts do not receive any compensation or benefit in connection with the production of this research report or recommendation on the issuer covered by the Singapore research analysts.

Analyst Certification

The analyst(s) who prepared this report, and their associates hereby, certify that:

  1. they do not have any financial interest in the securities or other capital market products of the subject companies mentioned in this report, except for:
Analyst Company
  1. no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

RHB

KUALA LUMPUR

RHB Investment Bank Bhd
Level 3A, Tower One, RHB Centre
Jalan Tun Razak
Kuala Lumpur 50400
Malaysia
Tel: +603 2302 8100
Fax: +603 2302 8134

JAKARTA

PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia
Revenue Tower, 11th Floor, District 8 – SCBD
Jl. Jendral Sudirman Kav 52-53
Jakarta 12190
Indonesia
Tel: +6221 5093 9888
Fax: +6221 5093 9777

SINGAPORE

RHB Bank Berhad (Singapore branch)
90 Cecil Street
#04-00 RHB Bank Building
Singapore 069531
Fax: +65 6509 0470


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