21 August 2025
Dialog (DLG MK)
A Steady Quarter
Energy & Petrochemicals | Oil & Gas Services
Neutral (Maintained)
Target Price (Return): MYR2.02 (8.0%)
Price (Market Cap): MYR1.87 (USD2,496m)
ESG score: 2.7 (out of 4)
Avg Daily Turnover (MYR/USD): 9.86m/2.32m
Analyst
Sean Lim, CFA
+603 2302 8128
sean.lim@rhbgroup.com
Share Performance (%)
YTD | 1m | 3m | 6m | 12m | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Absolute | 1.1 | 14.0 | 20.6 | 15.4 | (25.2) |
Relative | 4.4 | 9.9 | 18.1 | 14.7 | (21.9) |
52-wk Price low/high (MYR): 1.14-2.52 |
Dialog (DLG MK)
Price Close —-Relative to FBM KLCI (RHS)
Source: Bloomberg
Dialog Malaysia Results Review
- Maintain NEUTRAL, new MYR2.02 TP from MYR1.93, 8% upside with c.2% FY26F (Jun) yield. Dialog’s 4QFY25 results pointed to a stable performance, with a marginal QoQ uptick in core earnings led by stronger JV & associate contributions. The stock has rebounded from its recent low, which we believe reflects the recovery of numbers from an exceptionally weak 2QFY25.
- Within our expectations. At 99% and 106% of our and Street full-year estimates, Dialog’s FY25 core earnings of MYR423m (-31% YoY) are in line with our expectation, but surpassed the consensus projection.
- 4QFY25 core earnings improved by 2% QoQ on the back of stronger revenue (+5%; increased activities in Malaysia, Australia and New Zealand) and JV & associate contributions (+25%; sustained occupancy levels and storage rates as well as FX gains) despite the lower EBITDA margins recorded (4QFY25: 25% vs 3QFY25: 27%). Cumulatively, FY25 core earnings were down by 31% YoY to MYR423m, no thanks to an exceptionally weak 2QFY25 that resulted in additional cost provisions to account for cost overruns and EPCC project losses.
- Outlook. Occupancy levels and monthly storage rates for independent terminals are still well sustained, at above 90% and above SGD6/cu m. We are generally positive on the recently announced 272,000cbm expansion plan in Pengerang for Pengerang Biorefinery. Further long-term growth could be expected for the upcoming aromatics plant with an estimated 1m cu m capacity, and new Phase 3 expansion of the Pengerang complex – which is still in the discussion stage. Additionally, management guided that the Baram Junior Cluster (BJC) Small Field Asset Production Sharing Contract (SFA PSC) would require USD235m in capex. The field has a reserve profile of 137bcf of gas and 2mmboe in condensate. First gas is expected by 1 Jan 2027. Following the earnings recovery, we remain cautious over the EPCC and fabrication division. Dialog will focus on internal jobs for now, given the current geopolitical and market uncertainties.
- We maintain our FY26-27F earnings but lift our SOP-based TP to MYR2.02 from MYR1.93, after updating the latest net cash assumptions. An unchanged 6% ESG discount is imputed into our intrinsic value for the stock (to derive our TP), as per our in-house proprietary methodology since Dialog’s ESG score of 2.7 is below the 3.0 country median.
Forecasts and Valuation
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover (MYRm) | 3,152 | 2,502 | 2,900 | 3,136 | 3,388 |
Recurring net profit (MYRm) | 611 | 423 | 574 | 610 | 676 |
Recurring net profit growth (%) | 20.5 | (30.8) | 35.8 | 6.3 | 10.7 |
Recurring P/E (x) | 18.99 | 27.42 | 20.20 | 19.01 | 17.16 |
P/B (x) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
P/CF (x) | 9.77 | 11.41 | 64.26 | 22.43 | 19.90 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 15.21 | 28.30 | 18.19 | 16.64 | 14.21 |
Return on average equity (%) | 10.0 | 5.2 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.3 |
Net debt to equity (%) | 2.0 | net cash | 6.1 | 8.2 | 9.5 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Overall ESG Score: 2.7 (out of 4)
E Score: 1.8 (MODERATE)
S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
G Score: 4.0 (EXCELLENT)
Please refer to the ESG analysis on the next page
Emissions And ESG
Trend analysis
In FY23, its scope 1 and 2 emissions increased 16.6% YoY to 17,326 tCO2e from 14,865 tCO2e primarily due to greater operational demands at DIALOG Terminals Langsat.
Emissions (tCO2e)
Jun-23 | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Scope 1 | 9,033 | 8,722 | na | na |
Scope 2 | 10,545 | 10,858 | na | na |
Scope 3 | na | na | na | na |
Total emissions | 19,578 | 19,580 | na | na |
Source: Company data, RHB
Latest ESG-Related Developments
- Dialog established the Green Centre of Excellence (Green COE) in Mar 2023 which is a core group to coordinate and support the implementation of green initiatives.
- In July 2024, the group announced its second expansion into renewable fuel storage at DIALOG Terminals Langsat 3 (DTL3) in Malaysia, adding 150,000 m³ of capacity, of which 100,000 m³ is dedicated to storing Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and Hydrotreated Vegetable Oils (HVO).
- In Sep 2024, Dialog introduced its Environmental Policy, further building on the groundwork laid by its Sustainability Policy.
ESG Unbundled
Overall ESG Score: 2.7 (out of 4)
Last Updated: Feb 2025
E Score: 1.8 (MODERATE)
Dialog aspires to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050. Its efforts to achieve said target include the adoption of solar power generation across all operations, conservation of biodiversity, management of water consumption and waste management. Additionally, the group carries out Environmental Impact Assessments (EIA) for its plants and terminals. Its total emissions for FY24 remain relatively flat at 19,580 tCO2e, compared to 19,576 tCO2e in FY23.
S Score: 3.0 (GOOD)
The group prioritises the health and safety of its employees, contractors and visitors, ie zero fatalities of employees and contractors in FY24. However, its total recordable incident rate (TRIR) increased to 0.72 from FY23’s 0.35. Dialog also participates in community initiatives, eg partnering with MyKasih for a river clean-up and plastic upcycling workshop.
G Score: 4.0 (EXCELLENT)
Board characteristics are in line with Bursa Malaysia and Malaysian Code on Corporate Governance requirements. Directors are skilled and experienced, and 33% are women. There is also sufficient disclosure provided on its financial position, stakeholder relationship, and risk factors, which are compliant with the local regulatory framework. Dialog follows recommendations and guidelines that ensure shareholder rights are protected.
ESG Rating History
Financial Exhibits
Financial summary (MYR)
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring EPS | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 |
DPS | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
BVPS | 0.96 | 0.93 | 0.98 | 1.03 | 1.09 |
Return on average equity (%) | 10.0 | 5.2 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.3 |
Valuation metrics
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recurring P/E (x) | 18.99 | 27.42 | 20.20 | 19.01 | 17.16 |
P/B (x) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
FCF Yield (%) | 6.7 | 6.4 | (1.9) | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 15.21 | 28.30 | 18.19 | 16.64 | 14.21 |
EV/EBIT (x) | 30.03 | 433.97 | 36.18 | 33.21 | 26.69 |
Income statement (MYRm)
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total turnover | 3,152 | 2,502 | 2,900 | 3,136 | 3,388 |
Gross profit | 668 | 530 | 615 | 665 | 718 |
EBITDA | 676 | 352 | 556 | 594 | 676 |
Depreciation and amortisation | (334) | (329) | (276) | (296) | (316) |
Operating profit | 342 | 23 | 279 | 298 | 360 |
Net interest | (65) | (49) | (61) | (69) | (78) |
Pre-tax profit | 679 | 376 | 650 | 691 | 765 |
Taxation | (74) | (66) | (65) | (69) | (77) |
Reported net profit | 575 | 304 | 574 | 610 | 676 |
Recurring net profit | 611 | 423 | 574 | 610 | 676 |
Cash flow (MYRm)
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change in working capital | 7 | 314 | (315) | (5) | (5) |
Cash flow from operations | 1,187 | 1,016 | 180 | 517 | 583 |
Capex | (414) | (270) | (400) | (400) | (400) |
Cash flow from investing activities | (551) | (479) | (410) | (406) | (406) |
Dividends paid | (220) | (231) | (258) | (274) | (304) |
Cash flow from financing activities | (789) | (418) | 3 | (14) | (43) |
Cash at beginning of period | 1,721 | 1,573 | 1,670 | 1,443 | 1,540 |
Net change in cash | (153) | 120 | (227) | 97 | 133 |
Ending balance cash | 1,572 | 1,670 | 1,443 | 1,540 | 1,674 |
Balance sheet (MYRm)
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total cash and equivalents | 1,573 | 1,670 | 1,443 | 1,540 | 1,674 |
Tangible fixed assets | 3,507 | 3,371 | 3,495 | 3,599 | 3,682 |
Total investments | 2,012 | 2,044 | 2,408 | 2,802 | 3,217 |
Total assets | 9,130 | 8,687 | 9,468 | 10,158 | 10,890 |
Short-term debt | 128 | 724 | 714 | 704 | 694 |
Total long-term debt | 1,575 | 861 | 1,131 | 1,401 | 1,671 |
Total liabilities | 2,623 | 2,443 | 2,897 | 3,239 | 3,587 |
Total equity | 6,508 | 6,244 | 6,571 | 6,919 | 7,304 |
Total liabilities & equity | 9,130 | 8,687 | 9,468 | 10,158 | 10,890 |
Key metrics
Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26F | Jun-27F | Jun-28F | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue growth (%) | 5.0 | (20.6) | 15.9 | 8.1 | 8.0 |
Recurrent EPS growth (%) | 20.5 | (30.8) | 35.8 | 6.3 | 10.7 |
Gross margin (%) | 21.2 | 21.2 | 21.2 | 21.2 | 21.2 |
Operating EBITDA margin (%) | 21.4 | 14.1 | 19.2 | 18.9 | 20.0 |
Net profit margin (%) | 18.2 | 12.1 | 19.8 | 19.5 | 19.9 |
Dividend payout ratio (%) | 46.4 | 44.9 | 44.9 | 44.9 | 44.9 |
Capex/sales (%) | 13.1 | 10.8 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 11.8 |
Interest cover (x) | 5.28 | 0.47 | 4.59 | 4.29 | 4.61 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Figure 1: Dialog’s FY25 results review
FYE Jun (MYRm) | 4QFY24 | 3QFY25 | 4QFY25 | QoQ | YoY | FY24 | FY25 | YoY | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 810.1 | 578.8 | 608.3 | 5% | (25%) | 3,151.9 | 2,501.6 | (21%) | QoQ: Increased activities in Malaysia, Australia and New Zealand. |
EBITDA | 171.7 | 156.9 | 163.6 | 4% | (5%) | 675.9 | 352.3 | (48%) | |
Depreciation | (81.0) | (82.3) | (79.4) | (4%) | (2%) | (333.7) | (329.3) | (1%) | |
EBIT | 90.7 | 74.6 | 84.2 | 13% | (7%) | 342.2 | 23.0 | (93%) | |
Other operating income | 11.0 | 15.7 | 16.7 | 6% | 51% | 91.8 | 68.6 | (25%) | |
Interest expense | (14.9) | (11.2) | (12.6) | 13% | (15%) | (64.8) | (48.8) | (25%) | |
JV and Associates | 84.0 | 74.7 | 93.1 | 25% | 11% | 309.9 | 333.2 | 8% | QoQ: sustained occupancy levels and storage rates as well as FX gain. |
Exceptional items | 26.8 | 0.6 | (9.2) | (1701%) | (134%) | 35.7 | 119.1 | 233% | |
Pre-tax profit | 170.8 | 153.8 | 181.3 | 18% | 6% | 679.1 | 375.9 | (45%) | |
Taxation | (25.6) | (19.0) | (29.5) | 56% | 15% | (73.8) | (66.2) | (10%) | |
Minority interest | (6.8) | 0.1 | (4.4) | (3894%) | (35%) | (30.3) | (5.9) | (81%) | |
Net profit | 138.4 | 135.0 | 147.4 | 9% | 6% | 575.0 | 303.8 | (47%) | |
Core Net Profit | 165.2 | 135.5 | 138.2 | 2% | (16%) | 610.7 | 422.9 | (31%) | Within expectations. |
EPS (sen) | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2% | (16%) | 9.8 | 6.8 | (31%) | |
EBITDA margin | 21.2 | 27.1 | 26.9 | 21.4 | 14.1 | ||||
EBIT margin | 11.2 | 12.9 | 13.8 | 10.9 | 0.9 | ||||
Pre-tax margin | 21.1 | 26.6 | 29.8 | 21.5 | 15.0 | ||||
Net margin | 20.4 | 23.4 | 22.7 | 19.4 | 16.9 | ||||
Effective tax rate | 15.0 | 12.3 | 16.3 | 10.9 | 17.6 |
Source: Company data, RHB
Figure 2: SOP valuation
Segments | Value (MYRm) | Remarks |
---|---|---|
Core business | 1,591 | 14x FY26F P/E, below -2SD from its 5-year mean |
Pengerang Independent Terminal | 2,310 | WACC: 6.7%, 46% stake |
Kertih Terminal | 141 | WACC: 6.7%, 30% stake |
Tanjung Langsat 1, 2, and 3 Terminals | 2,192 | WACC: 6.7%, 100% stake |
Pengerang Dedicated Terminal | 2,385 | WACC: 6.7%, 25% stake |
Pengerang Terminal (further expansion) | 1,545 | WACC: 6.7%, 51% stake, 50% discount |
LNG Regasification Terminal | 2,385 | WACC: 6.7%, 25% stake |
Upstream (including BJC PSC, POEC) | 630 | USD60/bbl long term crude oil price forecast |
Total | 13,035 | |
Net cash/(debt) | 85 | |
Shares (m) | 6,202 | |
ESG premium/(discount) | (6%) | ESG score of 2.7 |
TP (MYR) | 2.02 |
Source: RHB
Recommendation Chart
This is a conceptual representation of the Recommendation Chart. It shows the price close and various recommendations over time.
Labels: Buy, Neutral, Sell, Trading Buy, Take Profit, Not Rated. Data ranges: Aug-20 Feb-21 Aug-21 Feb-22 Aug-22 Feb-23 Aug-23 Feb-24 Aug-24 Feb-25
Source: RHB, Bloomberg
Date | Recommendation | Target Price | Price |
---|---|---|---|
2025-05-15 | Neutral | 1.93 | 1.77 |
2025-02-14 | Neutral | 1.95 | 1.57 |
2025-01-09 | Buy | 3.11 | 1.84 |
2024-11-19 | Buy | 3.09 | 1.99 |
2024-08-16 | Buy | 3.09 | 2.49 |
2024-05-14 | Buy | 2.96 | 2.48 |
2023-11-14 | Buy | 2.79 | 2.11 |
2023-08-16 | Buy | 2.85 | 2.21 |
2023-05-18 | Buy | 2.86 | 2.20 |
2023-01-18 | Buy | 2.98 | 2.57 |
2022-08-19 | Buy | 2.96 | 2.32 |
2022-05-18 | Buy | 2.96 | 2.35 |
2021-11-16 | Buy | 3.40 | 2.88 |
2021-08-19 | Buy | 3.14 | 2.60 |
2021-05-19 | Buy | 3.53 | 2.88 |
Source: RHB, Bloomberg
See important disclosures at the end of this report
RHB Guide to Investment Ratings
- Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months
- Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain
- Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months
- Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels
- Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months
- Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage
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This report has been prepared by RHB for distribution in the United States, subject to applicable provisions of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The views and opinions in this report are those of the author(s) and are not necessarily those of the RHB Group, its subsidiaries, or their affiliates. The RHB Group and its subsidiaries and affiliates, as well as their officers, directors, associates, connected parties, and/or employees, may have had positions in the securities and/or financial instruments referenced herein, or may have provided investment banking or other services to the companies discussed in this report, within the past 12 months. Any individual involved in the preparation of this report certifies that the views expressed herein accurately and exclusively reflect his or her personal views and opinions about any and all of the issuers or securities analysed in this report. This report is not intended to be a prospectus or any other offering document. This report has not been registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, nor has it been approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or any state securities authority. Accordingly, U.S. persons who receive this report should not assume that the securities discussed in this report have been registered under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or that such securities have been approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or any state securities authority. RHB is not a registered broker-dealer in the United States and is not subject to all of the rules of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), including those that protect investors. U.S. persons who receive this report should be aware that their rights and remedies under U.S. securities laws may be different from those of persons who transact in securities outside the United States. Furthermore, the information contained in this report may not be subject to any applicable restrictions under Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) rules regarding communications with the public. U.S. persons who receive this report should be aware that RHB may not be a member of the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), and consequently, U.S. persons who transact in securities through RHB may not be protected by SIPC.
RHB did not receive compensation for investment banking or corporate finance services from the subject company in the past 12 months.
RHB did not receive compensation for underwriting or sales agent services from the subject company in the past 12 months.
RHB did not receive compensation for any other services from the subject company in the past 12 months.
RHB does not have, and is not a party to, any material conflicts of interest in the subject company in the past 12 months.
RHB had a beneficial ownership of 1% or more of the equity securities of the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication or the most recent quarter end.
RHB Bank Berhad and/or its subsidiaries and/or its affiliates do not have any interest in the securities of the subject company.
Analyst Certification
- (1) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
- (2) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
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